Jacobe Smith vs. Bruce Whitehead
Welterweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 3
Fighter Elo 1565Confident: Jacobe SmithFighter Elo 1390
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
Jacobe SmithBruce Whitehead
30%Decision11%
27%KO/TKO11%
16%Submission5%
41%Goes the Distance
9.6 minAverage Length, of 15
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Where the Gap Comes From
In Fighter Elo points. Jacobe Smith is ahead by 175 in total.
Jacobe SmithBruce Whitehead
Past Results+72Experience+43Striking+39Grappling+28Activity+1Age and Build+9
Projected Numbers
The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.
| Jacobe Smith | Bruce Whitehead | |
|---|---|---|
| 39.16 to 81 | Significant Strikes | 29.14 to 61 |
| 1.60 to 4 | Takedowns | 0.70 to 2 |
| 0.30 to 1 | Knockdowns | 0.20 to 1 |
| 3 min0.1 to 7.8 | Control Time | 1.4 min0 to 4.3 |
| 0.40 to 2 | Submission Attempts | 0.20 to 1 |
Chance of at Least
Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.
Jacobe Smith49%
Bruce Whitehead35%
Worth Knowing
Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.
- Jacobe Smith is unbeaten in the UFC at 3-0.
- Bruce Whitehead is making a UFC debut, so there is less to go on.
- The biggest single edge is past results: 72 Fighter Elo points in favor of Jacobe Smith.
- The likeliest single ending in the forecast is Jacobe Smith by decision, at 30%.
Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.