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Fight Forecasts You Can Check.

Phins rates every UFC fighter and forecasts every fight: who wins, how it ends, and the numbers each fighter is likely to put up. Every forecast is saved before the fights and graded in public afterwards.

See This Week's CardHow It Is Graded
8,245Fights Analyzed
92Analytics and Data Measured
638Active Fighters Studied
Main Event · Women's Flyweight · 5 Rounds
Natalia Silva61%
Wang Cong39%
63%Goes the Distance
36%Natalia Silva by decision, the likeliest ending
18.6 minAverage Length
Full Forecast
This Week

UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang

Saturday, October 3 · 14 fights
All 14 Forecasts
  1. Main Event · Women's Flyweight · 5 RoundsNatalia Silva61%39%Wang CongLean
  2. Bantamweight · 3 RoundsDeiveson Figueiredo34%66%Payton TalbottConfident
  3. Lightweight · 3 RoundsKing Green63%37%Esteban RibovicsLean
  4. Welterweight · 3 RoundsRoberto Soldic55%45%Khaos WilliamsLean
  5. Middleweight · 3 RoundsAteba Gautier68%32%Roman KopylovConfident
  6. Flyweight · 3 RoundsImanol Rodriguez48%52%Alden CoriaToss-Up

Graded in Public

Every forecast is saved before the fights and graded after. Nothing is edited later, and the misses stay on the page.

63.4%of winners called, across 5,756 past fights the model had not seen
68.5%right when it said "Confident"
78.6%right when it said "Very Confident"

The past-fight figures come from replaying 2015 to 2026, each year forecast by a version of the model that had only seen earlier years. The live record starts with UFC 332.

See the Record
Rankings by Fighter Elo

Pound for Pound

Every Weight Class
Men
  1. 1Islam MakhachevWelterweight1832
  2. 2Ciryl GaneHeavyweight1813
  3. 3Quillan SalkilldLightweight1809
  4. 4Umar NurmagomedovBantamweight1798
  5. 5Khamzat ChimaevMiddleweight1797
Women
  1. 1Fatima KlineWomen's Strawweight1701
  2. 2Valentina ShevchenkoWomen's Flyweight1700
  3. 3Luana SantosWomen's Bantamweight1677
  4. 4Erin BlanchfieldWomen's Flyweight1671
  5. 5Zhang WeiliWomen's Flyweight1651

What Is in a Forecast

One model, trained on every UFC fight since 2006.

Who Wins, and How Sure

A win chance for each fighter and a plain label for how sure the model is, from Toss-Up to Very Confident.

How It Ends

Knockout, submission or decision for each fighter, the round, and the chance the fight goes the distance.

Projected Numbers

Strikes, takedowns, knockdowns, control time and submission attempts, each with the range it usually lands in.

Where the Gap Comes From

How much of the difference between two fighters is results, age and build, striking, grappling and activity.

Questions

All Questions
Is this betting advice?

No. Phins is a forecasting and analytics site. It takes no bets and tells no one what to bet.

Does the model use betting odds?

No. It learns only from fight results and fight statistics.

How accurate is it?

See the Record page. It shows the live record as it builds, and how the model did when replayed over past fights.