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Light Heavyweight · Active

Diyar Nurgozhay

UFC Record
2-2
Age
29
Height
6'2"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1510Today
1501Classic Elo
140014501500155020261490 going into Brendson Ribeiro, Mar 20251462 going into Uran Satybaldiev, Aug 20251432 going into Rafael Tobias, Mar 20261451 going into Bruno Lopes, Aug 20261510 today1510
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1501Today
1510Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

14501500155020261500 going into Brendson Ribeiro, Mar 20251483 going into Uran Satybaldiev, Aug 20251467 going into Rafael Tobias, Mar 20261485 going into Bruno Lopes, Aug 20261501 today1501
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

5.68Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
63%Striking Accuracy
2.84Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
57%Striking Defense
1.03Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.54Takedowns per 15 Minutes
75%Takedown Accuracy
70%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
9%Share of Fight Time in Control
7.3 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins101
Losses020

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Bruno LopesKO/TKO · R1 4:59Aug 8, 2026UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Diyar NurgozhayBruno Lopes
1451Fighter Elo Going In1410
1485Classic Elo Going In1487
48 of 70Significant Strikes14 of 25
48 of 70Total Strikes14 of 25
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
2Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:08Control Time0:03
Winvs. Rafael TobiasUnanimous DecisionMar 7, 2026UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Diyar NurgozhayRafael Tobias
1432Fighter Elo Going In1481
1467Classic Elo Going In1500
94 of 143Significant Strikes39 of 101
100 of 150Total Strikes52 of 114
0 of 1Takedowns2 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:28Control Time2:31
Lossvs. Uran SatybaldievSubmission · R1 2:45Aug 23, 2025UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Diyar NurgozhayUran Satybaldiev
1462Fighter Elo Going In1445
1483Classic Elo Going In1487
7 of 11Significant Strikes2 of 9
13 of 19Total Strikes3 of 10
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts2
0:18Control Time1:10
Lossvs. Brendson RibeiroSubmission · R2 1:28Mar 15, 2025UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Diyar NurgozhayBrendson Ribeiro
1490Fighter Elo Going In1424
1500Classic Elo Going In1485
17 of 39Significant Strikes28 of 58
20 of 42Total Strikes29 of 60
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:49Control Time0:14