Lucas Brennan
- UFC Record
- 0-1
- Age
- 26
- Stance
- Southpaw
Fighter Elo
The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.
Joins the rankings after 3 UFC fights.
Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.
How Fighter Elo Works
Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.
Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.
Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.
Career Numbers
Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.
| Ended By | KO/TKO | Submission | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Fight History
Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.
Lossvs. Francis MarshallUnanimous DecisionApr 25, 2026UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Lucas Brennan | Francis Marshall | |
|---|---|---|
| 1502 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1468 |
| 1500 | Classic Elo Going In | 1499 |
| 9 of 36 | Significant Strikes | 33 of 69 |
| 20 of 48 | Total Strikes | 60 of 99 |
| 0 of 6 | Takedowns | 2 of 3 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 0 |
| 1 | Submission Attempts | 0 |
| 0:47 | Control Time | 6:36 |