King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics
Lightweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 3
Fighter Elo 1530Lean: King GreenFighter Elo 1434
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
King GreenEsteban Ribovics
38%Decision14%
16%KO/TKO19%
9%Submission3%
52%Goes the Distance
10.5 minAverage Length, of 15
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Where the Gap Comes From
In Fighter Elo points. King Green is ahead by 96 in total.
King GreenEsteban Ribovics
Striking+200Grappling+11Past Results+8Activity+5Experience+40Age and Build+90
Projected Numbers
The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.
| King Green | Esteban Ribovics | |
|---|---|---|
| 98.415 to 195 | Significant Strikes | 8215 to 160 |
| 10 to 3 | Takedowns | 0.20 to 1 |
| 0.30 to 1 | Knockdowns | 0.30 to 1 |
| 1.3 min0 to 4.2 | Control Time | 0.4 min0 to 1.2 |
| 0.20 to 1 | Submission Attempts | 0.1usually 0 |
Chance of at Least
Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.
King Green50%
Esteban Ribovics40%
Worth Knowing
Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.
- King Green has won 4 in a row in the UFC.
- Esteban Ribovics won by KO/TKO against Edson Barboza last time out, in 2026.
- Esteban Ribovics is younger by 10 years.
- King Green has a longer reach by 2 inches.
- Both have fought Edson Barboza: King Green lost by decision in 2014, Esteban Ribovics won by KO/TKO in 2026.
- Both have fought Terrance McKinney: King Green won by KO/TKO in 2026, Esteban Ribovics won by KO/TKO in 2024.
- King Green has 30 UFC fights to Esteban Ribovics's 8.
Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.