Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott
Bantamweight · 3 Rounds · Saturday, October 3
Fighter Elo 1527Confident: Payton TalbottFighter Elo 1644
How It Ends
The chance of each ending, for each fighter.
Deiveson FigueiredoPayton Talbott
18%Decision32%
6%KO/TKO29%
10%Submission6%
50%Goes the Distance
11 minAverage Length, of 15
When It Ends
The chance of a finish in each round, or of going to the judges.
Where the Gap Comes From
In Fighter Elo points. Payton Talbott is ahead by 117 in total.
Deiveson FigueiredoPayton Talbott
Past Results+41Grappling+39Experience+27Activity+9Striking+98Age and Build+116
Projected Numbers
The average over 20,000 simulated fights. Under each, the range 8 in 10 of those fights fall in.
| Deiveson Figueiredo | Payton Talbott | |
|---|---|---|
| 25.55 to 50 | Significant Strikes | 49.411 to 93 |
| 1.90 to 5 | Takedowns | 0.50 to 2 |
| 0.20 to 1 | Knockdowns | 0.30 to 1 |
| 2.3 min0 to 6.5 | Control Time | 1.3 min0 to 4 |
| 0.40 to 1 | Submission Attempts | 0.20 to 1 |
Chance of at Least
Choose a stat and a number. The chances are read off the simulated fights.
Deiveson Figueiredo26%
Payton Talbott64%
Worth Knowing
Facts from the two fighters' UFC records.
- Deiveson Figueiredo has lost their last 2 UFC fights.
- Payton Talbott won by decision against Henry Cejudo last time out, in 2025.
- Payton Talbott is younger by 11 years.
- Payton Talbott has a longer reach by 2 inches.
- Payton Talbott lands 5.9 significant strikes a minute to Deiveson Figueiredo's 2.6.
- Payton Talbott has never been finished in 6 UFC fights.
- Deiveson Figueiredo has 22 UFC fights to Payton Talbott's 6.
Phins is forecasting and analytics, not betting advice.