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Women's Flyweight · Active

Ernesta Kareckaite

UFC Record
1-2
Age
28
Height
5'9"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1400Today
1484Best, Jan 2025
1485Classic Elo
140014501500202520261466 going into Dione Barbosa, May 20241484 going into Nicolle Caliari, Jan 20251450 going into Regina Tarin, Feb 20261400 today1400
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1485Today
1501Best, Feb 2026
1400Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550202520261500 going into Dione Barbosa, May 20241484 going into Nicolle Caliari, Jan 20251501 going into Regina Tarin, Feb 20261485 today1485
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

5.62Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
40%Striking Accuracy
4.89Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
54%Striking Defense
0.00Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.67Takedowns per 15 Minutes
67%Takedown Accuracy
79%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
14%Share of Fight Time in Control
15.0 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins001
Losses002

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Regina TarinUnanimous DecisionFeb 28, 2026UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ernesta KareckaiteRegina Tarin
1450Fighter Elo Going In1382
1501Classic Elo Going In1500
105 of 249Significant Strikes114 of 239
127 of 279Total Strikes125 of 250
1 of 2Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:17Control Time1:02
Winvs. Nicolle CaliariSplit DecisionJan 11, 2025UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2

Women's Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ernesta KareckaiteNicolle Caliari
1484Fighter Elo Going In1392
1484Classic Elo Going In1500
95 of 226Significant Strikes67 of 166
126 of 266Total Strikes86 of 194
0 of 0Takedowns3 of 14
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:33Control Time3:34
Lossvs. Dione BarbosaUnanimous DecisionMay 4, 2024UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg

Women's Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ernesta KareckaiteDione Barbosa
1466Fighter Elo Going In1416
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
53 of 156Significant Strikes39 of 71
100 of 220Total Strikes87 of 124
1 of 1Takedowns2 of 11
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
3:25Control Time3:51