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Lightweight · Active

Evan Elder

UFC Record
3-2
Age
29
Height
5'10"
Reach
72"
Stance
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Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1405Today
1431Best, Apr 2022
1516Classic Elo
130013501400145020232024202520261431 going into Preston Parsons, Apr 20221301 going into Nazim Sadykhov, Feb 20231323 going into Genaro Valdez, Jul 20231380 going into Darrius Flowers, Jul 20241408 going into Gauge Young, Apr 20251405 today1405
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1516Today
1405Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

14501500155020232024202520261500 going into Preston Parsons, Apr 20221483 going into Nazim Sadykhov, Feb 20231468 going into Genaro Valdez, Jul 20231484 going into Darrius Flowers, Jul 20241500 going into Gauge Young, Apr 20251516 today1516
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

5.66Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
51%Striking Accuracy
4.94Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
57%Striking Defense
0.48Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.48Takedowns per 15 Minutes
15%Takedown Accuracy
40%Takedown Defense
0.48Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
9%Share of Fight Time in Control
12.5 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins012
Losses101

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Gauge YoungUnanimous DecisionApr 26, 2025UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Evan ElderGauge Young
1408Fighter Elo Going In1430
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
115 of 210Significant Strikes81 of 183
115 of 210Total Strikes81 of 183
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:16Control Time0:02
Winvs. Darrius FlowersSubmission · R2 1:46Jul 13, 2024UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Evan ElderDarrius Flowers
1380Fighter Elo Going In1394
1484Classic Elo Going In1471
45 of 86Significant Strikes24 of 60
61 of 104Total Strikes26 of 65
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:01Control Time0:28
Winvs. Genaro ValdezUnanimous DecisionJul 15, 2023UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Evan ElderGenaro Valdez
1323Fighter Elo Going In1369
1468Classic Elo Going In1468
96 of 195Significant Strikes64 of 236
96 of 195Total Strikes65 of 237
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
0:06Control Time0:02
Lossvs. Nazim SadykhovTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R3 0:38Feb 18, 2023UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Evan ElderNazim Sadykhov
1301Fighter Elo Going In1459
1483Classic Elo Going In1500
70 of 142Significant Strikes64 of 132
84 of 158Total Strikes71 of 141
1 of 6Takedowns1 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:33Control Time0:19
Lossvs. Preston ParsonsUnanimous DecisionApr 23, 2022UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Evan ElderPreston Parsons
1431Fighter Elo Going In1383
1500Classic Elo Going In1486
27 of 60Significant Strikes75 of 112
34 of 67Total Strikes121 of 160
0 of 2Takedowns4 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts5
1:47Control Time7:48