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Heavyweight · Last Fought Mar 2019

Justin Willis

UFC Record
4-1
Age
39
Height
6'1"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1604Going Into Their Last Fight, Mar 2019
1604Best, Mar 2019
1544Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

1400150016001700201820191405 going into James Mulheron, Jul 20171519 going into Allen Crowder, Dec 20171595 going into Chase Sherman, Apr 20181562 going into Mark Hunt, Dec 20181604 going into Curtis Blaydes, Mar 20191604
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1544After Their Last Fight, Mar 2019
1560Best, Mar 2019
1604Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015501600201820191500 going into James Mulheron, Jul 20171516 going into Allen Crowder, Dec 20171531 going into Chase Sherman, Apr 20181545 going into Mark Hunt, Dec 20181560 going into Curtis Blaydes, Mar 20191544 after their last fight1544
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.37Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
59%Striking Accuracy
2.57Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
58%Striking Defense
0.48Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.96Takedowns per 15 Minutes
67%Takedown Accuracy
36%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
10%Share of Fight Time in Control
12.5 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins103
Losses001

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Curtis BlaydesUnanimous DecisionMar 23, 2019UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Justin WillisCurtis Blaydes
1604Fighter Elo Going In1681
1560Classic Elo Going In1552
2 of 9Significant Strikes22 of 33
9 of 16Total Strikes72 of 90
0 of 0Takedowns7 of 11
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time11:44
Winvs. Mark HuntUnanimous DecisionDec 1, 2018UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Justin WillisMark Hunt
1562Fighter Elo Going In1340
1545Classic Elo Going In1527
59 of 103Significant Strikes19 of 60
59 of 103Total Strikes19 of 60
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Winvs. Chase ShermanUnanimous DecisionApr 21, 2018UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Justin WillisChase Sherman
1595Fighter Elo Going In1436
1531Classic Elo Going In1484
76 of 109Significant Strikes69 of 137
118 of 153Total Strikes112 of 180
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:00Control Time2:01
Winvs. Allen CrowderKO/TKO · R1 2:33Dec 2, 2017UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Justin WillisAllen Crowder
1519Fighter Elo Going In1451
1516Classic Elo Going In1500
22 of 44Significant Strikes15 of 38
25 of 47Total Strikes17 of 41
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00
Winvs. James MulheronUnanimous DecisionJul 16, 2017UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Justin WillisJames Mulheron
1405Fighter Elo Going In1391
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
52 of 91Significant Strikes36 of 114
72 of 114Total Strikes56 of 136
3 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:25Control Time0:40