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Lightweight · Active

Lance Gibson Jr.

UFC Record
1-1
Age
31

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1464Going Into Their Last Fight, Mar 2026
1464Best, Mar 2026
1505Classic Elo

Joins the rankings after 3 UFC fights.

135014001450150020261372 going into King Green, Dec 20251464 going into Chase Hooper, Mar 20261464
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1505Today
1464Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

14501500155020261500 going into King Green, Dec 20251486 going into Chase Hooper, Mar 20261505 today1505
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.40Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
46%Striking Accuracy
4.24Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
56%Striking Defense
0.84Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.67Takedowns per 15 Minutes
67%Takedown Accuracy
75%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
7%Share of Fight Time in Control
9.0 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins100
Losses001

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Chase HooperKO/TKO · R1 2:56Mar 28, 2026UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lance Gibson Jr.Chase Hooper
1464Fighter Elo Going In1552
1486Classic Elo Going In1555
13 of 22Significant Strikes11 of 32
19 of 28Total Strikes13 of 34
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 2
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:07Control Time0:06
Lossvs. King GreenSplit DecisionDec 13, 2025UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lance Gibson Jr.King Green
1372Fighter Elo Going In1509
1500Classic Elo Going In1533
30 of 72Significant Strikes65 of 141
35 of 77Total Strikes74 of 150
2 of 3Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:10Control Time0:44