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Featherweight · Active

Lucas Alexander

UFC Record
1-3
Age
31
Height
5'11"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1366Today
1517Best, Nov 2023
1468Classic Elo
130014001500160020232024202520261414 going into Joanderson Brito, Oct 20221406 going into Steven Peterson, Mar 20231517 going into Jeka Saragih, Nov 20231426 going into Bogdan Grad, Feb 20251366 today1366
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1468Today
1500Best, Oct 2022
1366Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150020232024202520261500 going into Joanderson Brito, Oct 20221484 going into Steven Peterson, Mar 20231500 going into Jeka Saragih, Nov 20231483 going into Bogdan Grad, Feb 20251468 today1468
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.69Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
57%Striking Accuracy
2.87Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
56%Striking Defense
0.54Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.00Takedowns per 15 Minutes
0%Takedown Accuracy
60%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
11%Share of Fight Time in Control
7.0 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins001
Losses210

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Bogdan GradKO/TKO · R2 4:22Feb 1, 2025UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lucas AlexanderBogdan Grad
1426Fighter Elo Going In1370
1483Classic Elo Going In1500
34 of 52Significant Strikes46 of 66
47 of 71Total Strikes59 of 86
0 of 1Takedowns3 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:13Control Time4:18
Lossvs. Jeka SaragihKO/TKO · R1 1:31Nov 18, 2023UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lucas AlexanderJeka Saragih
1517Fighter Elo Going In1370
1500Classic Elo Going In1484
11 of 16Significant Strikes4 of 9
11 of 16Total Strikes4 of 9
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:05
Winvs. Steven PetersonUnanimous DecisionMar 25, 2023UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lucas AlexanderSteven Peterson
1406Fighter Elo Going In1317
1484Classic Elo Going In1485
85 of 158Significant Strikes26 of 101
86 of 159Total Strikes27 of 102
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 4
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:55Control Time0:31
Lossvs. Joanderson BritoSubmission · R1 2:02Oct 15, 2022UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Lucas AlexanderJoanderson Brito
1414Fighter Elo Going In1517
1500Classic Elo Going In1502
1 of 2Significant Strikes4 of 8
1 of 2Total Strikes7 of 11
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time1:25