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All Fighters
Lightweight · Last Fought Aug 2009

Marcus Aurelio

UFC Record
2-4
Age
53
Height
5'10"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1380Going Into Their Last Fight, Aug 2009
1507Best, Apr 2008
1471Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

13501400145015001550200820091430 going into Clay Guida, Aug 20071462 going into Luke Caudillo, Nov 20071507 going into Ryan Roberts, Apr 20081485 going into Tyson Griffin, Jul 20081374 going into Hermes Franca, Oct 20081380 going into Evan Dunham, Aug 20091380
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1471After Their Last Fight, Aug 2009
1515Best, Jul 2008
1380Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550200820091500 going into Clay Guida, Aug 20071483 going into Luke Caudillo, Nov 20071499 going into Ryan Roberts, Apr 20081515 going into Tyson Griffin, Jul 20081501 going into Hermes Franca, Oct 20081486 going into Evan Dunham, Aug 20091471 after their last fight1471
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.36Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
33%Striking Accuracy
4.01Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
60%Striking Defense
0.23Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.16Takedowns per 15 Minutes
14%Takedown Accuracy
33%Takedown Defense
0.69Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
14%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins110
Losses004

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Evan DunhamSplit DecisionAug 29, 2009UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Marcus AurelioEvan Dunham
1380Fighter Elo Going In1535
1486Classic Elo Going In1516
27 of 102Significant Strikes58 of 161
57 of 133Total Strikes70 of 175
3 of 15Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
4:13Control Time1:02
Lossvs. Hermes FrancaUnanimous DecisionOct 25, 2008UFC 90: Silva vs Cote

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Marcus AurelioHermes Franca
1374Fighter Elo Going In1482
1501Classic Elo Going In1516
40 of 104Significant Strikes60 of 122
55 of 120Total Strikes65 of 127
1 of 9Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:50Control Time0:02
Lossvs. Tyson GriffinUnanimous DecisionJul 5, 2008UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Marcus AurelioTyson Griffin
1485Fighter Elo Going In1624
1515Classic Elo Going In1548
20 of 80Significant Strikes92 of 175
41 of 102Total Strikes144 of 227
0 of 4Takedowns3 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:29Control Time6:17
Winvs. Ryan RobertsSubmission · R1 0:16Apr 2, 2008UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Marcus AurelioRyan Roberts
1507Fighter Elo Going In1376
1499Classic Elo Going In1500
6 of 11Significant Strikes0 of 1
6 of 11Total Strikes0 of 1
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:06Control Time0:00
Winvs. Luke CaudilloKO/TKO · R1 4:29Nov 17, 2007UFC 78: Validation

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Marcus AurelioLuke Caudillo
1462Fighter Elo Going In1331
1483Classic Elo Going In1483
20 of 27Significant Strikes6 of 13
71 of 81Total Strikes11 of 18
1 of 4Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:23Control Time0:15
Lossvs. Clay GuidaSplit DecisionAug 25, 2007UFC 74: Respect

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Marcus AurelioClay Guida
1430Fighter Elo Going In1539
1500Classic Elo Going In1484
40 of 135Significant Strikes44 of 181
47 of 142Total Strikes71 of 208
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time3:27