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Welterweight · Last Fought Apr 2019

Keita Nakamura

UFC Record
4-7
Age
42
Height
5'11"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1372Going Into Their Last Fight, Apr 2019
1514Best, Feb 2008
1469Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

130014001500160020072009201120132015201720191473 going into Brock Larson, Dec 20061480 going into Drew Fickett, Apr 20071514 going into Rob Emerson, Feb 20081372 going into Li Jingliang, Sep 20151372 going into Tom Breese, Feb 20161359 going into Kyle Noke, Jul 20161388 going into Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, Oct 20161412 going into Alex Morono, Sep 20171406 going into Anthony Rocco Martin, Apr 20181376 going into Salim Touahri, Dec 20181372 going into Sultan Aliev, Apr 20191372
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1469After Their Last Fight, Apr 2019
1500Best, Dec 2006
1372Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150020072009201120132015201720191500 going into Brock Larson, Dec 20061483 going into Drew Fickett, Apr 20071468 going into Rob Emerson, Feb 20081454 going into Li Jingliang, Sep 20151472 going into Tom Breese, Feb 20161459 going into Kyle Noke, Jul 20161478 going into Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, Oct 20161463 going into Alex Morono, Sep 20171482 going into Anthony Rocco Martin, Apr 20181468 going into Salim Touahri, Dec 20181484 going into Sultan Aliev, Apr 20191469 after their last fight1469
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.14Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
36%Striking Accuracy
3.33Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
58%Striking Defense
0.38Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.72Takedowns per 15 Minutes
51%Takedown Accuracy
64%Takedown Defense
0.38Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
15%Share of Fight Time in Control
14.3 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins022
Losses007

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Sultan AlievUnanimous DecisionApr 20, 2019UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Keita NakamuraSultan Aliev
1372Fighter Elo Going In1393
1484Classic Elo Going In1488
29 of 81Significant Strikes25 of 63
57 of 109Total Strikes32 of 70
0 of 1Takedowns2 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:18Control Time5:46
Winvs. Salim TouahriSplit DecisionDec 1, 2018UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Keita NakamuraSalim Touahri
1376Fighter Elo Going In1434
1468Classic Elo Going In1485
41 of 97Significant Strikes34 of 79
55 of 112Total Strikes42 of 87
0 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:40
Lossvs. Anthony Rocco MartinUnanimous DecisionApr 21, 2018UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Keita NakamuraAnthony Rocco Martin
1406Fighter Elo Going In1558
1482Classic Elo Going In1508
24 of 83Significant Strikes56 of 133
26 of 85Total Strikes65 of 142
2 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
1:39Control Time0:31
Winvs. Alex MoronoSplit DecisionSep 22, 2017UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Keita NakamuraAlex Morono
1412Fighter Elo Going In1618
1463Classic Elo Going In1532
27 of 86Significant Strikes38 of 123
29 of 88Total Strikes39 of 124
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:45Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosUnanimous DecisionOct 1, 2016UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Keita NakamuraElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
1388Fighter Elo Going In1504
1478Classic Elo Going In1502
24 of 58Significant Strikes34 of 120
64 of 113Total Strikes45 of 131
5 of 6Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
7:41Control Time1:16
Winvs. Kyle NokeSubmission · R2 4:59Jul 13, 2016UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Keita NakamuraKyle Noke
1359Fighter Elo Going In1499
1459Classic Elo Going In1523
41 of 113Significant Strikes44 of 77
45 of 117Total Strikes48 of 81
0 of 2Takedowns2 of 2
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:31Control Time0:33
Lossvs. Tom BreeseUnanimous DecisionFeb 27, 2016UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Keita NakamuraTom Breese
1372Fighter Elo Going In1718
1472Classic Elo Going In1532
6 of 16Significant Strikes32 of 59
16 of 27Total Strikes88 of 121
3 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
4:00Control Time6:25
Winvs. Li JingliangSubmission · R3 2:17Sep 26, 2015UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Keita NakamuraLi Jingliang
1372Fighter Elo Going In1505
1454Classic Elo Going In1515
40 of 87Significant Strikes79 of 142
85 of 138Total Strikes88 of 151
0 of 2Takedowns1 of 1
1Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
4:20Control Time1:35
Lossvs. Rob EmersonSplit DecisionFeb 2, 2008UFC 81: Breaking Point

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Keita NakamuraRob Emerson
1514Fighter Elo Going In1457
1468Classic Elo Going In1500
57 of 191Significant Strikes81 of 212
66 of 203Total Strikes89 of 220
4 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:28Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Drew FickettUnanimous DecisionApr 5, 2007UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Keita NakamuraDrew Fickett
1480Fighter Elo Going In1518
1483Classic Elo Going In1504
32 of 88Significant Strikes79 of 174
49 of 118Total Strikes132 of 241
2 of 2Takedowns2 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:01Control Time6:43
Lossvs. Brock LarsonUnanimous DecisionDec 13, 2006UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Keita NakamuraBrock Larson
1473Fighter Elo Going In1380
1500Classic Elo Going In1484
16 of 44Significant Strikes22 of 55
75 of 104Total Strikes42 of 79
0 of 1Takedowns5 of 20
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time10:01