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Flyweight · Active

Matt Schnell

UFC Record
7-9
Age
36
Height
5'8"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1252Today
1489Best, Dec 2019
1475Classic Elo
#395 Men: Pound for Pound#44 Flyweight
1200130014001500201720192021202320251412 going into Rob Font, Dec 20161355 going into Hector Sandoval, Apr 20171397 going into Marco Beltran, Oct 20171419 going into Naoki Inoue, Jun 20181458 going into Louis Smolka, Mar 20191465 going into Jordan Espinosa, Aug 20191489 going into Alexandre Pantoja, Dec 20191393 going into Tyson Nam, Jan 20211407 going into Brandon Royval, May 20221430 going into Sumudaerji, Jul 20221425 going into Matheus Nicolau, Dec 20221341 going into Steve Erceg, Mar 20241343 going into Cody Durden, Sep 20241353 going into Jimmy Flick, Apr 20251317 going into Joseph Morales, Nov 20251296 going into Alessandro Costa, Jun 20261252 today1252
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1475Today
1537Best, Dec 2019
1252Fighter Elo
#356 Men: Pound for Pound#35 Flyweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550201720192021202320251500 going into Rob Font, Dec 20161485 going into Hector Sandoval, Apr 20171470 going into Marco Beltran, Oct 20171488 going into Naoki Inoue, Jun 20181505 going into Louis Smolka, Mar 20191521 going into Jordan Espinosa, Aug 20191537 going into Alexandre Pantoja, Dec 20191521 going into Tyson Nam, Jan 20211537 going into Brandon Royval, May 20221520 going into Sumudaerji, Jul 20221536 going into Matheus Nicolau, Dec 20221522 going into Steve Erceg, Mar 20241506 going into Cody Durden, Sep 20241491 going into Jimmy Flick, Apr 20251506 going into Joseph Morales, Nov 20251490 going into Alessandro Costa, Jun 20261475 today1475
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.05Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
40%Striking Accuracy
4.18Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
55%Striking Defense
0.12Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.59Takedowns per 15 Minutes
46%Takedown Accuracy
44%Takedown Defense
1.18Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
7%Share of Fight Time in Control
7.5 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins034
Losses630

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Alessandro CostaKO/TKO · R1 2:28Jun 6, 2026UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellAlessandro Costa
1296Fighter Elo Going In1437
1490Classic Elo Going In1502
8 of 21Significant Strikes19 of 23
8 of 21Total Strikes19 of 23
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:05
Lossvs. Joseph MoralesSubmission · R1 2:54Nov 8, 2025UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellJoseph Morales
1317Fighter Elo Going In1441
1506Classic Elo Going In1500
4 of 11Significant Strikes5 of 11
5 of 12Total Strikes12 of 18
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:15Control Time1:12
Winvs. Jimmy FlickUnanimous DecisionApr 26, 2025UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellJimmy Flick
1353Fighter Elo Going In1201
1491Classic Elo Going In1484
35 of 61Significant Strikes12 of 20
88 of 117Total Strikes48 of 60
0 of 0Takedowns5 of 7
0Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts1
3:53Control Time8:28
Lossvs. Cody DurdenSubmission · R2 0:29Sep 7, 2024UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellCody Durden
1343Fighter Elo Going In1443
1506Classic Elo Going In1514
40 of 83Significant Strikes34 of 78
40 of 83Total Strikes37 of 81
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time0:10
Lossvs. Steve ErcegKO/TKO · R2 0:26Mar 2, 2024UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellSteve Erceg
1341Fighter Elo Going In1575
1522Classic Elo Going In1532
22 of 78Significant Strikes34 of 72
25 of 84Total Strikes34 of 72
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:05
Lossvs. Matheus NicolauKO/TKO · R2 1:44Dec 3, 2022UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellMatheus Nicolau
1425Fighter Elo Going In1520
1536Classic Elo Going In1574
20 of 59Significant Strikes32 of 42
29 of 68Total Strikes40 of 50
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:47
Winvs. SumudaerjiSubmission · R2 4:24Jul 16, 2022UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellSumudaerji
1430Fighter Elo Going In1479
1520Classic Elo Going In1529
47 of 81Significant Strikes58 of 83
79 of 120Total Strikes67 of 92
2 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
2Submission Attempts0
2:40Control Time2:13
Lossvs. Brandon RoyvalSubmission · R1 2:14May 7, 2022UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellBrandon Royval
1407Fighter Elo Going In1450
1537Classic Elo Going In1518
12 of 33Significant Strikes14 of 39
15 of 36Total Strikes14 of 39
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:54Control Time0:13
Winvs. Tyson NamSplit DecisionJan 20, 2021UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellTyson Nam
1393Fighter Elo Going In1412
1521Classic Elo Going In1506
85 of 214Significant Strikes58 of 193
85 of 214Total Strikes58 of 193
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Alexandre PantojaKO/TKO · R1 4:17Dec 21, 2019UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellAlexandre Pantoja
1489Fighter Elo Going In1550
1537Classic Elo Going In1545
20 of 52Significant Strikes34 of 62
35 of 68Total Strikes36 of 64
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time1:12
Winvs. Jordan EspinosaSubmission · R1 1:23Aug 3, 2019UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellJordan Espinosa
1465Fighter Elo Going In1562
1521Classic Elo Going In1515
3 of 12Significant Strikes5 of 6
3 of 12Total Strikes5 of 6
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:25
Winvs. Louis SmolkaSubmission · R1 3:18Mar 9, 2019UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellLouis Smolka
1458Fighter Elo Going In1492
1505Classic Elo Going In1511
14 of 40Significant Strikes13 of 24
16 of 42Total Strikes14 of 25
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
0:28Control Time1:18
Winvs. Naoki InoueSplit DecisionJun 23, 2018UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellNaoki Inoue
1419Fighter Elo Going In1620
1488Classic Elo Going In1516
71 of 183Significant Strikes48 of 196
79 of 192Total Strikes64 of 212
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:37
Winvs. Marco BeltranUnanimous DecisionOct 7, 2017UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellMarco Beltran
1397Fighter Elo Going In1380
1470Classic Elo Going In1511
38 of 140Significant Strikes34 of 109
38 of 140Total Strikes45 of 120
0 of 2Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:16Control Time0:11
Lossvs. Hector SandovalKO/TKO · R1 4:24Apr 22, 2017UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellHector Sandoval
1355Fighter Elo Going In1444
1485Classic Elo Going In1503
16 of 40Significant Strikes32 of 50
27 of 52Total Strikes52 of 70
1 of 1Takedowns3 of 8
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:06Control Time0:58
Lossvs. Rob FontKO/TKO · R1 3:47Dec 3, 2016The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt SchnellRob Font
1412Fighter Elo Going In1530
1500Classic Elo Going In1517
14 of 33Significant Strikes26 of 33
25 of 44Total Strikes32 of 40
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time2:08