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Bantamweight · Active

Mario Bautista

UFC Record
12-3
Age
33
Height
5'9"
Reach
69"
Stance
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Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1637Today
1633Classic Elo
#61 Men: Pound for Pound#11 Bantamweight
140015001600170020202021202220232024202520261419 going into Cory Sandhagen, Jan 20191441 going into Jin Soo Son, Jul 20191438 going into Miles Johns, Feb 20201447 going into Trevin Jones, Mar 20211420 going into Jay Perrin, Feb 20221470 going into Brian Kelleher, Jun 20221508 going into Benito Lopez, Nov 20221552 going into Guido Cannetti, Mar 20231577 going into Da'Mon Blackshear, Aug 20231552 going into Ricky Simon, Jan 20241598 going into Jose Aldo, Oct 20241565 going into Patchy Mix, Jun 20251570 going into Umar Nurmagomedov, Oct 20251571 going into Vinicius Oliveira, Feb 20261592 going into Cory Sandhagen, Jul 20261637 today1637
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1633Today
1637Fighter Elo
#29 Men: Pound for Pound#4 Bantamweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015501600165020202021202220232024202520261500 going into Cory Sandhagen, Jan 20191486 going into Jin Soo Son, Jul 20191501 going into Miles Johns, Feb 20201518 going into Trevin Jones, Mar 20211501 going into Jay Perrin, Feb 20221517 going into Brian Kelleher, Jun 20221534 going into Benito Lopez, Nov 20221549 going into Guido Cannetti, Mar 20231563 going into Da'Mon Blackshear, Aug 20231576 going into Ricky Simon, Jan 20241593 going into Jose Aldo, Oct 20241610 going into Patchy Mix, Jun 20251621 going into Umar Nurmagomedov, Oct 20251603 going into Vinicius Oliveira, Feb 20261617 going into Cory Sandhagen, Jul 20261633 today1633
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

5.52Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
50%Striking Accuracy
4.17Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
54%Striking Defense
0.29Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
2.49Takedowns per 15 Minutes
39%Takedown Accuracy
57%Takedown Defense
1.05Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
23%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.4 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins147
Losses111

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Cory SandhagenUnanimous DecisionJul 11, 2026UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaCory Sandhagen
1592Fighter Elo Going In1723
1617Classic Elo Going In1608
114 of 185Significant Strikes89 of 176
143 of 215Total Strikes104 of 196
8 of 20Takedowns1 of 4
1Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts0
3:21Control Time1:13
Winvs. Vinicius OliveiraSubmission · R2 4:46Feb 7, 2026UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Mario BautistaVinicius Oliveira
1571Fighter Elo Going In1668
1603Classic Elo Going In1568
15 of 27Significant Strikes12 of 21
49 of 63Total Strikes18 of 27
5 of 7Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
5:47Control Time1:39
Lossvs. Umar NurmagomedovUnanimous DecisionOct 25, 2025UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaUmar Nurmagomedov
1570Fighter Elo Going In1838
1621Classic Elo Going In1583
20 of 54Significant Strikes32 of 54
33 of 67Total Strikes81 of 105
0 of 1Takedowns11 of 14
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:04Control Time10:46
Winvs. Patchy MixUnanimous DecisionJun 7, 2025UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaPatchy Mix
1565Fighter Elo Going In1472
1610Classic Elo Going In1500
173 of 302Significant Strikes122 of 304
173 of 302Total Strikes122 of 304
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Winvs. Jose AldoSplit DecisionOct 5, 2024UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaJose Aldo
1598Fighter Elo Going In1521
1593Classic Elo Going In1615
49 of 142Significant Strikes51 of 117
90 of 196Total Strikes65 of 139
0 of 10Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
7:15Control Time0:00
Winvs. Ricky SimonUnanimous DecisionJan 13, 2024UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaRicky Simon
1552Fighter Elo Going In1645
1576Classic Elo Going In1581
112 of 270Significant Strikes45 of 108
118 of 276Total Strikes52 of 115
0 of 3Takedowns2 of 13
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:14Control Time3:00
Winvs. Da'Mon BlackshearUnanimous DecisionAug 19, 2023UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaDa'Mon Blackshear
1577Fighter Elo Going In1470
1563Classic Elo Going In1516
79 of 137Significant Strikes90 of 174
102 of 161Total Strikes108 of 192
2 of 10Takedowns4 of 7
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
4:04Control Time3:00
Winvs. Guido CannettiSubmission · R1 3:18Mar 11, 2023UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaGuido Cannetti
1552Fighter Elo Going In1281
1549Classic Elo Going In1491
3 of 4Significant Strikes2 of 5
5 of 6Total Strikes5 of 8
3 of 4Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:36Control Time0:16
Winvs. Benito LopezSubmission · R1 4:54Nov 5, 2022UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaBenito Lopez
1508Fighter Elo Going In1381
1534Classic Elo Going In1516
44 of 67Significant Strikes17 of 25
49 of 72Total Strikes17 of 25
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts0
2:36Control Time0:00
Winvs. Brian KelleherSubmission · R1 2:27Jun 25, 2022UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaBrian Kelleher
1470Fighter Elo Going In1394
1517Classic Elo Going In1532
6 of 17Significant Strikes2 of 3
6 of 17Total Strikes2 of 3
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:28Control Time0:00
Winvs. Jay PerrinUnanimous DecisionFeb 19, 2022UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaJay Perrin
1420Fighter Elo Going In1324
1501Classic Elo Going In1500
72 of 125Significant Strikes42 of 107
112 of 173Total Strikes57 of 122
4 of 6Takedowns2 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
6:30Control Time1:45
Lossvs. Trevin JonesKO/TKO · R2 0:47Mar 6, 2021UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaTrevin Jones
1447Fighter Elo Going In1374
1518Classic Elo Going In1500
21 of 42Significant Strikes23 of 30
43 of 64Total Strikes36 of 44
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 3
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:09Control Time1:26
Winvs. Miles JohnsKO/TKO · R2 1:41Feb 8, 2020UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaMiles Johns
1438Fighter Elo Going In1569
1501Classic Elo Going In1517
18 of 67Significant Strikes13 of 44
18 of 67Total Strikes13 of 44
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:04Control Time0:00
Winvs. Jin Soo SonUnanimous DecisionJul 20, 2019UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaJin Soo Son
1441Fighter Elo Going In1447
1486Classic Elo Going In1485
129 of 248Significant Strikes95 of 200
179 of 301Total Strikes106 of 213
0 of 2Takedowns2 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:55Control Time1:38
Lossvs. Cory SandhagenSubmission · R1 3:31Jan 19, 2019UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mario BautistaCory Sandhagen
1419Fighter Elo Going In1583
1500Classic Elo Going In1533
9 of 30Significant Strikes17 of 54
10 of 32Total Strikes17 of 55
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts2
0:54Control Time0:38