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Heavyweight · Active

Sergei Pavlovich

UFC Record
9-3
Age
34
Height
6'3"
Reach
84"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1672Today
1737Best, Nov 2023
1607Classic Elo
#37 Men: Pound for Pound#8 Heavyweight
1400150016001700180020192021202320251469 going into Alistair Overeem, Nov 20181498 going into Marcelo Golm, Apr 20191537 going into Maurice Greene, Oct 20191516 going into Shamil Abdurakhimov, Mar 20221569 going into Derrick Lewis, Jul 20221636 going into Tai Tuivasa, Dec 20221680 going into Curtis Blaydes, Apr 20231737 going into Tom Aspinall, Nov 20231664 going into Alexander Volkov, Jun 20241641 going into Jairzinho Rozenstruik, Feb 20251656 going into Waldo Cortes Acosta, Aug 20251677 going into Tallison Teixeira, May 20261672 today1672
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1607Today
1672Fighter Elo
#48 Men: Pound for Pound#7 Heavyweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015501600165020192021202320251500 going into Alistair Overeem, Nov 20181486 going into Marcelo Golm, Apr 20191502 going into Maurice Greene, Oct 20191520 going into Shamil Abdurakhimov, Mar 20221536 going into Derrick Lewis, Jul 20221556 going into Tai Tuivasa, Dec 20221573 going into Curtis Blaydes, Apr 20231592 going into Tom Aspinall, Nov 20231576 going into Alexander Volkov, Jun 20241561 going into Jairzinho Rozenstruik, Feb 20251578 going into Waldo Cortes Acosta, Aug 20251594 going into Tallison Teixeira, May 20261607 today1607
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.49Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
45%Striking Accuracy
3.58Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
56%Striking Defense
1.89Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.47Takedowns per 15 Minutes
25%Takedown Accuracy
75%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
12%Share of Fight Time in Control
5.3 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins702
Losses201

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Tallison TeixeiraKO/TKO · R1 0:39May 30, 2026UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sergei PavlovichTallison Teixeira
1677Fighter Elo Going In1536
1594Classic Elo Going In1520
7 of 9Significant Strikes0 of 4
10 of 13Total Strikes0 of 4
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:05Control Time0:00
Winvs. Waldo Cortes AcostaUnanimous DecisionAug 23, 2025UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sergei PavlovichWaldo Cortes Acosta
1656Fighter Elo Going In1636
1578Classic Elo Going In1588
61 of 133Significant Strikes45 of 117
63 of 136Total Strikes45 of 117
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:08Control Time0:00
Winvs. Jairzinho RozenstruikUnanimous DecisionFeb 1, 2025UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sergei PavlovichJairzinho Rozenstruik
1641Fighter Elo Going In1663
1561Classic Elo Going In1569
25 of 60Significant Strikes17 of 55
145 of 208Total Strikes23 of 63
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
6:17Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Alexander VolkovUnanimous DecisionJun 22, 2024UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sergei PavlovichAlexander Volkov
1664Fighter Elo Going In1668
1576Classic Elo Going In1613
46 of 134Significant Strikes83 of 159
46 of 134Total Strikes83 of 160
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:15Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Tom AspinallKO/TKO · R1 1:09Nov 11, 2023UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira

UFC Interim Heavyweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Sergei PavlovichTom Aspinall
1737Fighter Elo Going In1723
1592Classic Elo Going In1584
1 of 7Significant Strikes10 of 14
1 of 7Total Strikes10 of 14
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:02
Winvs. Curtis BlaydesKO/TKO · R1 3:08Apr 22, 2023UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Sergei PavlovichCurtis Blaydes
1680Fighter Elo Going In1788
1573Classic Elo Going In1642
36 of 85Significant Strikes14 of 56
36 of 85Total Strikes14 of 56
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00
Winvs. Tai TuivasaKO/TKO · R1 0:54Dec 3, 2022UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sergei PavlovichTai Tuivasa
1636Fighter Elo Going In1506
1556Classic Elo Going In1568
23 of 44Significant Strikes2 of 10
23 of 44Total Strikes2 of 10
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
2Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:09Control Time0:00
Winvs. Derrick LewisKO/TKO · R1 0:55Jul 30, 2022UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sergei PavlovichDerrick Lewis
1569Fighter Elo Going In1513
1536Classic Elo Going In1624
15 of 24Significant Strikes4 of 6
15 of 24Total Strikes4 of 6
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00
Winvs. Shamil AbdurakhimovKO/TKO · R1 4:03Mar 19, 2022UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sergei PavlovichShamil Abdurakhimov
1516Fighter Elo Going In1414
1520Classic Elo Going In1521
21 of 47Significant Strikes17 of 34
22 of 48Total Strikes17 of 34
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:12Control Time0:00
Winvs. Maurice GreeneKO/TKO · R1 2:11Oct 26, 2019UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sergei PavlovichMaurice Greene
1537Fighter Elo Going In1505
1502Classic Elo Going In1545
20 of 37Significant Strikes8 of 22
21 of 38Total Strikes8 of 22
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:15Control Time0:00
Winvs. Marcelo GolmKO/TKO · R1 1:06Apr 20, 2019UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sergei PavlovichMarcelo Golm
1498Fighter Elo Going In1490
1486Classic Elo Going In1483
17 of 26Significant Strikes5 of 15
17 of 26Total Strikes5 of 15
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Alistair OvereemKO/TKO · R1 4:21Nov 24, 2018UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2

Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sergei PavlovichAlistair Overeem
1469Fighter Elo Going In1519
1500Classic Elo Going In1554
13 of 32Significant Strikes22 of 26
18 of 37Total Strikes26 of 31
0 of 2Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:12Control Time1:57