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Flyweight · Active

Allan Nascimento

UFC Record
4-2
Age
35
Height
5'8"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1411Today
1435Best, May 2022
1529Classic Elo
135014001450202220232024202520261365 going into Tagir Ulanbekov, Oct 20211435 going into Jake Hadley, May 20221411 going into Carlos Hernandez, Jan 20231397 going into Jafel Filho, May 20251414 going into Cody Durden, Nov 20251406 going into Mitch Raposo, Jun 20261411 today1411
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1529Today
1548Best, Jun 2026
1411Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550202220232024202520261500 going into Tagir Ulanbekov, Oct 20211485 going into Jake Hadley, May 20221501 going into Carlos Hernandez, Jan 20231518 going into Jafel Filho, May 20251534 going into Cody Durden, Nov 20251548 going into Mitch Raposo, Jun 20261529 today1529
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.41Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
45%Striking Accuracy
1.93Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
57%Striking Defense
0.21Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.05Takedowns per 15 Minutes
25%Takedown Accuracy
44%Takedown Defense
1.05Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
33%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.9 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins022
Losses002

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Mitch RaposoSplit DecisionJun 20, 2026UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Allan NascimentoMitch Raposo
1406Fighter Elo Going In1506
1548Classic Elo Going In1485
58 of 142Significant Strikes38 of 89
98 of 195Total Strikes54 of 108
0 of 4Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:21Control Time0:47
Winvs. Cody DurdenSubmission · R2 3:13Nov 1, 2025UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Allan NascimentoCody Durden
1414Fighter Elo Going In1345
1534Classic Elo Going In1496
52 of 115Significant Strikes57 of 128
52 of 115Total Strikes57 of 128
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:21Control Time0:05
Winvs. Jafel FilhoUnanimous DecisionMay 31, 2025UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Allan NascimentoJafel Filho
1397Fighter Elo Going In1453
1518Classic Elo Going In1519
12 of 24Significant Strikes14 of 30
30 of 58Total Strikes40 of 63
1 of 6Takedowns4 of 7
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
7:03Control Time6:20
Winvs. Carlos HernandezSubmission · R1 3:16Jan 14, 2023UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Allan NascimentoCarlos Hernandez
1411Fighter Elo Going In1432
1501Classic Elo Going In1516
6 of 11Significant Strikes3 of 7
9 of 14Total Strikes3 of 7
2 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:23Control Time0:00
Winvs. Jake HadleyUnanimous DecisionMay 14, 2022UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Allan NascimentoJake Hadley
1435Fighter Elo Going In1493
1485Classic Elo Going In1500
19 of 52Significant Strikes8 of 29
36 of 69Total Strikes26 of 47
2 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
9:27Control Time3:50
Lossvs. Tagir UlanbekovSplit DecisionOct 30, 2021UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Allan NascimentoTagir Ulanbekov
1365Fighter Elo Going In1499
1500Classic Elo Going In1515
25 of 37Significant Strikes18 of 40
74 of 86Total Strikes62 of 87
0 of 1Takedowns4 of 5
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts1
0:16Control Time12:04