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Flyweight · Active

Carlos Hernandez

UFC Record
3-4
Age
32
Height
5'8"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1392Today
1453Best, Dec 2023
1487Classic Elo
#297 Men: Pound for Pound#33 Flyweight
135014001450150020232024202520261381 going into Victor Altamirano, Feb 20221432 going into Allan Nascimento, Jan 20231407 going into Denys Bondar, Jun 20231453 going into Tatsuro Taira, Dec 20231396 going into Rei Tsuruya, Jun 20241397 going into Nyamjargal Tumendemberel, Nov 20241451 going into HyunSung Park, May 20251392 today1392
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1487Today
1516Best, Jan 2023
1392Fighter Elo
#334 Men: Pound for Pound#33 Flyweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

14501500155020232024202520261500 going into Victor Altamirano, Feb 20221516 going into Allan Nascimento, Jan 20231499 going into Denys Bondar, Jun 20231515 going into Tatsuro Taira, Dec 20231501 going into Rei Tsuruya, Jun 20241485 going into Nyamjargal Tumendemberel, Nov 20241501 going into HyunSung Park, May 20251487 today1487
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.56Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
45%Striking Accuracy
3.51Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
51%Striking Defense
0.00Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.89Takedowns per 15 Minutes
26%Takedown Accuracy
64%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
17%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.2 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins003
Losses121

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. HyunSung ParkSubmission · R1 2:26May 17, 2025UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Carlos HernandezHyunSung Park
1451Fighter Elo Going In1449
1501Classic Elo Going In1530
4 of 17Significant Strikes14 of 22
4 of 17Total Strikes17 of 27
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time0:33
Winvs. Nyamjargal TumendemberelSplit DecisionNov 23, 2024UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Carlos HernandezNyamjargal Tumendemberel
1397Fighter Elo Going In1415
1485Classic Elo Going In1500
44 of 105Significant Strikes26 of 93
46 of 110Total Strikes28 of 95
4 of 14Takedowns0 of 3
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
4:45Control Time0:15
Lossvs. Rei TsuruyaUnanimous DecisionJun 29, 2024UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Carlos HernandezRei Tsuruya
1396Fighter Elo Going In1456
1501Classic Elo Going In1500
16 of 32Significant Strikes17 of 32
26 of 45Total Strikes62 of 83
1 of 2Takedowns3 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:29Control Time6:19
Lossvs. Tatsuro TairaKO/TKO · R2 0:55Dec 9, 2023UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Carlos HernandezTatsuro Taira
1453Fighter Elo Going In1661
1515Classic Elo Going In1560
2 of 4Significant Strikes33 of 43
2 of 4Total Strikes44 of 60
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:53Control Time3:36
Winvs. Denys BondarUnanimous DecisionJun 17, 2023UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Carlos HernandezDenys Bondar
1407Fighter Elo Going In1319
1499Classic Elo Going In1483
102 of 233Significant Strikes76 of 170
108 of 239Total Strikes82 of 176
2 of 7Takedowns2 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:40Control Time0:29
Lossvs. Allan NascimentoSubmission · R1 3:16Jan 14, 2023UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Carlos HernandezAllan Nascimento
1432Fighter Elo Going In1411
1516Classic Elo Going In1501
3 of 7Significant Strikes6 of 11
3 of 7Total Strikes9 of 14
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time2:23
Winvs. Victor AltamiranoSplit DecisionFeb 26, 2022UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Carlos HernandezVictor Altamirano
1381Fighter Elo Going In1400
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
84 of 172Significant Strikes79 of 138
90 of 178Total Strikes92 of 152
2 of 9Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:22Control Time1:27