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Flyweight · Active

Steve Erceg

UFC Record
5-4
Age
31
Height
5'8"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1530Today
1575Best, Mar 2024
1521Classic Elo
#137 Men: Pound for Pound#14 Flyweight
13001400150016002024202520261394 going into David Dvorak, Jun 20231469 going into Alessandro Costa, Nov 20231575 going into Matt Schnell, Mar 20241539 going into Alexandre Pantoja, May 20241570 going into Kai Kara-France, Aug 20241527 going into Brandon Moreno, Mar 20251564 going into Ode Osbourne, Aug 20251540 going into Tim Elliott, May 20261573 going into Ramazan Temirov, Jul 20261530 today1530
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1521Today
1548Best, May 2024
1530Fighter Elo
#255 Men: Pound for Pound#23 Flyweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015502024202520261500 going into David Dvorak, Jun 20231517 going into Alessandro Costa, Nov 20231532 going into Matt Schnell, Mar 20241548 going into Alexandre Pantoja, May 20241535 going into Kai Kara-France, Aug 20241519 going into Brandon Moreno, Mar 20251506 going into Ode Osbourne, Aug 20251521 going into Tim Elliott, May 20261537 going into Ramazan Temirov, Jul 20261521 today1521
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.56Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
47%Striking Accuracy
4.14Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
56%Striking Defense
0.12Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.09Takedowns per 15 Minutes
27%Takedown Accuracy
67%Takedown Defense
0.36Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
11%Share of Fight Time in Control
13.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins104
Losses202

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Ramazan TemirovKO/TKO · R1 4:21Jul 25, 2026UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Steve ErcegRamazan Temirov
1573Fighter Elo Going In1464
1537Classic Elo Going In1533
11 of 42Significant Strikes27 of 61
11 of 42Total Strikes32 of 67
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:08Control Time0:06
Winvs. Tim ElliottUnanimous DecisionMay 2, 2026UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Steve ErcegTim Elliott
1540Fighter Elo Going In1428
1521Classic Elo Going In1522
136 of 254Significant Strikes90 of 261
136 of 254Total Strikes93 of 265
1 of 3Takedowns2 of 11
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:29Control Time0:34
Winvs. Ode OsbourneUnanimous DecisionAug 9, 2025UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez

Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Steve ErcegOde Osbourne
1564Fighter Elo Going In1357
1506Classic Elo Going In1485
20 of 53Significant Strikes35 of 74
39 of 82Total Strikes47 of 89
3 of 10Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
4:47Control Time1:09
Lossvs. Brandon MorenoUnanimous DecisionMar 29, 2025UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Steve ErcegBrandon Moreno
1527Fighter Elo Going In1673
1519Classic Elo Going In1587
116 of 279Significant Strikes89 of 176
119 of 282Total Strikes95 of 182
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time1:25
Lossvs. Kai Kara-FranceKO/TKO · R1 4:04Aug 17, 2024UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Steve ErcegKai Kara-France
1570Fighter Elo Going In1489
1535Classic Elo Going In1541
9 of 29Significant Strikes18 of 51
9 of 29Total Strikes18 of 51
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:08
Lossvs. Alexandre PantojaUnanimous DecisionMay 4, 2024UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg

UFC Flyweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Steve ErcegAlexandre Pantoja
1539Fighter Elo Going In1507
1548Classic Elo Going In1617
111 of 212Significant Strikes125 of 242
129 of 233Total Strikes143 of 262
1 of 6Takedowns9 of 19
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:32Control Time8:15
Winvs. Matt SchnellKO/TKO · R2 0:26Mar 2, 2024UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Steve ErcegMatt Schnell
1575Fighter Elo Going In1341
1532Classic Elo Going In1522
34 of 72Significant Strikes22 of 78
34 of 72Total Strikes25 of 84
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:05Control Time0:00
Winvs. Alessandro CostaUnanimous DecisionNov 11, 2023UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Steve ErcegAlessandro Costa
1469Fighter Elo Going In1555
1517Classic Elo Going In1503
74 of 125Significant Strikes54 of 97
104 of 162Total Strikes85 of 129
1 of 8Takedowns1 of 6
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
6:29Control Time1:14
Winvs. David DvorakUnanimous DecisionJun 10, 2023UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana

Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Steve ErcegDavid Dvorak
1394Fighter Elo Going In1470
1500Classic Elo Going In1513
54 of 140Significant Strikes53 of 114
56 of 142Total Strikes56 of 117
3 of 4Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:29Control Time1:57