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Lightweight · Active

Grant Dawson

UFC Record
12-2-1
Age
32
Height
5'10"
Reach
72"
Stance
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Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1659Today
1701Best, Jan 2025
1631Classic Elo
#41 Men: Pound for Pound#6 Lightweight
150016001700180020202021202220232024202520261508 going into Julian Erosa, Mar 20191536 going into Michael Trizano, May 20191649 going into Darrick Minner, Feb 20201594 going into Nad Narimani, Jul 20201624 going into Leonardo Santos, Mar 20211670 going into Ricky Glenn, Oct 20211612 going into Jared Gordon, Apr 20221637 going into Mark Madsen, Nov 20221683 going into Damir Ismagulov, Jul 20231690 going into King Green, Oct 20231640 going into Joe Solecki, Jun 20241681 going into Rafa Garcia, Oct 20241701 going into Diego Ferreira, Jan 20251684 going into Manuel Torres, Dec 20251633 going into Mateusz Rebecki, May 20261659 today1659
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1631Today
1640Best, Dec 2025
1659Fighter Elo
#31 Men: Pound for Pound#6 Lightweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015501600165020202021202220232024202520261500 going into Julian Erosa, Mar 20191515 going into Michael Trizano, May 20191532 going into Darrick Minner, Feb 20201547 going into Nad Narimani, Jul 20201561 going into Leonardo Santos, Mar 20211579 going into Ricky Glenn, Oct 20211576 going into Jared Gordon, Apr 20221591 going into Mark Madsen, Nov 20221606 going into Damir Ismagulov, Jul 20231620 going into King Green, Oct 20231600 going into Joe Solecki, Jun 20241614 going into Rafa Garcia, Oct 20241626 going into Diego Ferreira, Jan 20251640 going into Manuel Torres, Dec 20251619 going into Mateusz Rebecki, May 20261631 today1631
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.11Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
51%Striking Accuracy
2.20Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
45%Striking Defense
0.09Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
3.62Takedowns per 15 Minutes
39%Takedown Accuracy
70%Takedown Defense
1.24Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
65%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.3 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins255
Losses200

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Mateusz RebeckiSubmission · R3 4:42May 9, 2026UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonMateusz Rebecki
1633Fighter Elo Going In1518
1619Classic Elo Going In1517
35 of 94Significant Strikes33 of 64
71 of 136Total Strikes49 of 81
1 of 3Takedowns1 of 5
0Knockdowns1
4Submission Attempts0
7:08Control Time2:22
Lossvs. Manuel TorresKO/TKO · R1 2:25Dec 6, 2025UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonManuel Torres
1684Fighter Elo Going In1521
1640Classic Elo Going In1546
8 of 21Significant Strikes9 of 17
8 of 21Total Strikes9 of 17
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:04
Winvs. Diego FerreiraUnanimous DecisionJan 18, 2025UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonDiego Ferreira
1701Fighter Elo Going In1523
1626Classic Elo Going In1579
56 of 98Significant Strikes41 of 61
195 of 269Total Strikes84 of 113
6 of 11Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
10:50Control Time0:20
Winvs. Rafa GarciaKO/TKO · R2 1:42Oct 12, 2024UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonRafa Garcia
1681Fighter Elo Going In1587
1614Classic Elo Going In1523
44 of 90Significant Strikes5 of 12
80 of 144Total Strikes29 of 38
2 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
5:09Control Time0:00
Winvs. Joe SoleckiUnanimous DecisionJun 1, 2024UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonJoe Solecki
1640Fighter Elo Going In1567
1600Classic Elo Going In1546
46 of 70Significant Strikes12 of 19
146 of 190Total Strikes27 of 35
3 of 3Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
13:46Control Time0:14
Lossvs. King GreenKO/TKO · R1 0:33Oct 7, 2023UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Grant DawsonKing Green
1690Fighter Elo Going In1579
1620Classic Elo Going In1545
0 of 6Significant Strikes7 of 11
0 of 6Total Strikes7 of 11
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:05
Winvs. Damir IsmagulovUnanimous DecisionJul 1, 2023UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonDamir Ismagulov
1683Fighter Elo Going In1534
1606Classic Elo Going In1557
30 of 57Significant Strikes13 of 28
84 of 128Total Strikes35 of 54
3 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
12:24Control Time0:08
Winvs. Mark MadsenSubmission · R3 2:05Nov 5, 2022UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonMark Madsen
1637Fighter Elo Going In1503
1591Classic Elo Going In1564
33 of 49Significant Strikes15 of 30
73 of 96Total Strikes50 of 70
2 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
9:31Control Time0:24
Winvs. Jared GordonSubmission · R3 4:11Apr 30, 2022UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonJared Gordon
1612Fighter Elo Going In1518
1576Classic Elo Going In1550
54 of 111Significant Strikes77 of 119
98 of 163Total Strikes111 of 153
7 of 17Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
7:11Control Time1:12
Drawvs. Ricky GlennMajority DecisionOct 23, 2021UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonRicky Glenn
1670Fighter Elo Going In1477
1579Classic Elo Going In1522
24 of 31Significant Strikes28 of 41
71 of 85Total Strikes88 of 104
3 of 11Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
8:26Control Time4:30
Winvs. Leonardo SantosKO/TKO · R3 4:59Mar 20, 2021UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonLeonardo Santos
1624Fighter Elo Going In1489
1561Classic Elo Going In1604
46 of 84Significant Strikes30 of 67
75 of 132Total Strikes74 of 115
1 of 13Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
8:18Control Time1:21
Winvs. Nad NarimaniUnanimous DecisionJul 18, 2020UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonNad Narimani
1594Fighter Elo Going In1403
1547Classic Elo Going In1514
53 of 115Significant Strikes31 of 76
136 of 218Total Strikes57 of 105
2 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
8:11Control Time0:09
Winvs. Darrick MinnerSubmission · R2 1:38Feb 29, 2020UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonDarrick Minner
1649Fighter Elo Going In1290
1532Classic Elo Going In1500
15 of 22Significant Strikes4 of 7
42 of 52Total Strikes26 of 29
2 of 3Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts2
5:14Control Time0:25
Winvs. Michael TrizanoSubmission · R2 2:27May 18, 2019UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonMichael Trizano
1536Fighter Elo Going In1556
1515Classic Elo Going In1532
27 of 56Significant Strikes20 of 41
34 of 63Total Strikes24 of 45
3 of 10Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
4:11Control Time0:34
Winvs. Julian ErosaUnanimous DecisionMar 9, 2019UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Grant DawsonJulian Erosa
1508Fighter Elo Going In1367
1500Classic Elo Going In1483
57 of 128Significant Strikes49 of 85
86 of 166Total Strikes70 of 109
6 of 11Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
10:07Control Time0:17