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Featherweight · Active

Julian Erosa

UFC Record
9-9
Age
37
Height
6'1"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1335Today
1495Best, Mar 2016
1516Classic Elo
#345 Men: Pound for Pound#61 Featherweight
12001300140015002016201820202022202420261430 going into Marcin Wrzosek, Dec 20151495 going into Teruto Ishihara, Mar 20161468 going into Devonte Smith, Nov 20181367 going into Grant Dawson, Mar 20191360 going into Julio Arce, May 20191269 going into Sean Woodson, Jun 20201362 going into Nate Landwehr, Feb 20211374 going into SeungWoo Choi, Jun 20211333 going into Charles Jourdain, Sep 20211375 going into Steven Peterson, Feb 20221363 going into Hakeem Dawodu, Sep 20221390 going into Alex Caceres, Dec 20221363 going into Fernando Padilla, Apr 20231347 going into Ricardo Ramos, Mar 20241360 going into Christian Rodriguez, Jul 20241368 going into Darren Elkins, Apr 20251396 going into Melquizael Costa, May 20251376 going into Lerryan Douglas, Mar 20261335 today1335
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1516Today
1550Best, May 2025
1335Fighter Elo
#269 Men: Pound for Pound#44 Featherweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015502016201820202022202420261500 going into Marcin Wrzosek, Dec 20151516 going into Teruto Ishihara, Mar 20161499 going into Devonte Smith, Nov 20181483 going into Grant Dawson, Mar 20191468 going into Julio Arce, May 20191454 going into Sean Woodson, Jun 20201473 going into Nate Landwehr, Feb 20211490 going into SeungWoo Choi, Jun 20211475 going into Charles Jourdain, Sep 20211492 going into Steven Peterson, Feb 20221509 going into Hakeem Dawodu, Sep 20221527 going into Alex Caceres, Dec 20221512 going into Fernando Padilla, Apr 20231496 going into Ricardo Ramos, Mar 20241513 going into Christian Rodriguez, Jul 20241531 going into Darren Elkins, Apr 20251550 going into Melquizael Costa, May 20251533 going into Lerryan Douglas, Mar 20261516 today1516
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

6.06Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
48%Striking Accuracy
6.23Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
49%Striking Defense
0.11Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.81Takedowns per 15 Minutes
45%Takedown Accuracy
62%Takedown Defense
0.74Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
15%Share of Fight Time in Control
7.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins243
Losses702

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Lerryan DouglasKO/TKO · R1 3:33Mar 28, 2026UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaLerryan Douglas
1376Fighter Elo Going In1405
1533Classic Elo Going In1500
17 of 46Significant Strikes29 of 48
18 of 47Total Strikes30 of 49
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:03Control Time0:05
Lossvs. Melquizael CostaUnanimous DecisionMay 17, 2025UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaMelquizael Costa
1396Fighter Elo Going In1523
1550Classic Elo Going In1539
69 of 173Significant Strikes102 of 204
85 of 202Total Strikes128 of 236
3 of 10Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
3:34Control Time0:23
Winvs. Darren ElkinsKO/TKO · R1 4:15Apr 12, 2025UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaDarren Elkins
1368Fighter Elo Going In1362
1531Classic Elo Going In1586
54 of 73Significant Strikes13 of 31
69 of 92Total Strikes18 of 45
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:48Control Time0:48
Winvs. Christian RodriguezSubmission · R1 4:49Jul 13, 2024UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaChristian Rodriguez
1360Fighter Elo Going In1617
1513Classic Elo Going In1551
35 of 88Significant Strikes33 of 75
39 of 94Total Strikes33 of 76
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:41Control Time0:19
Winvs. Ricardo RamosSubmission · R1 2:15Mar 23, 2024UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaRicardo Ramos
1347Fighter Elo Going In1534
1496Classic Elo Going In1534
4 of 11Significant Strikes7 of 17
11 of 21Total Strikes12 of 23
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time1:27
Lossvs. Fernando PadillaKO/TKO · R1 1:41Apr 29, 2023UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaFernando Padilla
1363Fighter Elo Going In1418
1512Classic Elo Going In1500
15 of 24Significant Strikes20 of 29
15 of 24Total Strikes20 of 29
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:02
Lossvs. Alex CaceresKO/TKO · R1 3:04Dec 17, 2022UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaAlex Caceres
1390Fighter Elo Going In1478
1527Classic Elo Going In1550
10 of 22Significant Strikes16 of 30
10 of 22Total Strikes16 of 30
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:05
Winvs. Hakeem DawoduUnanimous DecisionSep 10, 2022UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaHakeem Dawodu
1363Fighter Elo Going In1586
1509Classic Elo Going In1562
92 of 188Significant Strikes74 of 147
152 of 257Total Strikes90 of 163
2 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:22Control Time0:12
Winvs. Steven PetersonSplit DecisionFeb 5, 2022UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaSteven Peterson
1375Fighter Elo Going In1397
1492Classic Elo Going In1502
155 of 291Significant Strikes148 of 247
163 of 300Total Strikes174 of 276
3 of 5Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
1:52Control Time0:44
Winvs. Charles JourdainSubmission · R3 2:56Sep 4, 2021UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaCharles Jourdain
1333Fighter Elo Going In1593
1475Classic Elo Going In1504
103 of 214Significant Strikes85 of 163
106 of 217Total Strikes103 of 181
2 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
2:35Control Time0:02
Lossvs. SeungWoo ChoiKO/TKO · R1 1:37Jun 19, 2021UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaSeungWoo Choi
1374Fighter Elo Going In1453
1490Classic Elo Going In1503
10 of 20Significant Strikes13 of 29
10 of 20Total Strikes14 of 30
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:03
Winvs. Nate LandwehrKO/TKO · R1 0:56Feb 20, 2021UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaNate Landwehr
1362Fighter Elo Going In1458
1473Classic Elo Going In1504
15 of 23Significant Strikes9 of 14
17 of 25Total Strikes9 of 14
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time0:00
Winvs. Sean WoodsonSubmission · R3 2:44Jun 27, 2020UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaSean Woodson
1269Fighter Elo Going In1563
1454Classic Elo Going In1515
103 of 206Significant Strikes106 of 219
107 of 210Total Strikes116 of 230
3 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
1:13Control Time0:05
Lossvs. Julio ArceKO/TKO · R3 1:49May 18, 2019UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaJulio Arce
1360Fighter Elo Going In1521
1468Classic Elo Going In1513
43 of 160Significant Strikes74 of 160
46 of 164Total Strikes74 of 160
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:33Control Time0:13
Lossvs. Grant DawsonUnanimous DecisionMar 9, 2019UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaGrant Dawson
1367Fighter Elo Going In1508
1483Classic Elo Going In1500
49 of 85Significant Strikes57 of 128
70 of 109Total Strikes86 of 166
0 of 0Takedowns6 of 11
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
0:17Control Time10:07
Lossvs. Devonte SmithKO/TKO · R1 0:46Nov 10, 2018UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaDevonte Smith
1468Fighter Elo Going In1526
1499Classic Elo Going In1500
4 of 7Significant Strikes13 of 19
4 of 7Total Strikes13 of 19
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:03
Lossvs. Teruto IshiharaKO/TKO · R2 0:34Mar 5, 2016UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaTeruto Ishihara
1495Fighter Elo Going In1551
1516Classic Elo Going In1499
16 of 44Significant Strikes27 of 51
24 of 52Total Strikes31 of 55
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
1:03Control Time0:08
Winvs. Marcin WrzosekSplit DecisionDec 11, 2015The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Julian ErosaMarcin Wrzosek
1430Fighter Elo Going In1403
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
61 of 108Significant Strikes52 of 119
107 of 159Total Strikes124 of 204
2 of 3Takedowns3 of 12
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
4:39Control Time4:41