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Lightweight · Active

Mateusz Rebecki

UFC Record
5-4
Age
33
Height
5'7"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1542Today
1649Best, Nov 2023
1519Classic Elo
14001500160017002024202520261433 going into Nick Fiore, Jan 20231548 going into Loik Radzhabov, Jun 20231649 going into Roosevelt Roberts, Nov 20231600 going into Diego Ferreira, May 20241482 going into Myktybek Orolbai, Oct 20241526 going into Chris Duncan, Aug 20251535 going into Ludovit Klein, Oct 20251518 going into Grant Dawson, May 20261519 going into Kyle Prepolec, Aug 20261542 today1542
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1519Today
1548Best, Aug 2025
1542Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015502024202520261500 going into Nick Fiore, Jan 20231516 going into Loik Radzhabov, Jun 20231532 going into Roosevelt Roberts, Nov 20231547 going into Diego Ferreira, May 20241532 going into Myktybek Orolbai, Oct 20241548 going into Chris Duncan, Aug 20251532 going into Ludovit Klein, Oct 20251517 going into Grant Dawson, May 20261506 going into Kyle Prepolec, Aug 20261519 today1519
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

5.43Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
49%Striking Accuracy
4.29Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
55%Striking Defense
0.71Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
2.86Takedowns per 15 Minutes
50%Takedown Accuracy
53%Takedown Defense
0.29Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
29%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.7 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins212
Losses112

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Kyle PrepolecKO/TKO · R1 4:41Aug 1, 2026UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mateusz RebeckiKyle Prepolec
1519Fighter Elo Going In1215
1506Classic Elo Going In1444
75 of 98Significant Strikes2 of 13
132 of 174Total Strikes11 of 23
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:04Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Grant DawsonSubmission · R3 4:42May 9, 2026UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mateusz RebeckiGrant Dawson
1518Fighter Elo Going In1633
1517Classic Elo Going In1619
33 of 64Significant Strikes35 of 94
49 of 81Total Strikes71 of 136
1 of 5Takedowns1 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts4
2:22Control Time7:08
Lossvs. Ludovit KleinMajority DecisionOct 25, 2025UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mateusz RebeckiLudovit Klein
1535Fighter Elo Going In1529
1532Classic Elo Going In1560
72 of 159Significant Strikes82 of 140
113 of 208Total Strikes90 of 149
3 of 12Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
5:03Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Chris DuncanUnanimous DecisionAug 2, 2025UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mateusz RebeckiChris Duncan
1526Fighter Elo Going In1557
1548Classic Elo Going In1546
114 of 267Significant Strikes92 of 222
123 of 278Total Strikes95 of 225
2 of 6Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:23Control Time0:27
Winvs. Myktybek OrolbaiSplit DecisionOct 26, 2024UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mateusz RebeckiMyktybek Orolbai
1482Fighter Elo Going In1683
1532Classic Elo Going In1535
71 of 146Significant Strikes61 of 135
93 of 174Total Strikes85 of 162
3 of 4Takedowns2 of 5
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:24Control Time2:05
Lossvs. Diego FerreiraKO/TKO · R3 4:51May 11, 2024UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mateusz RebeckiDiego Ferreira
1600Fighter Elo Going In1468
1547Classic Elo Going In1564
52 of 137Significant Strikes123 of 241
60 of 146Total Strikes151 of 272
4 of 5Takedowns3 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:26Control Time2:12
Winvs. Roosevelt RobertsSubmission · R1 3:08Nov 11, 2023UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mateusz RebeckiRoosevelt Roberts
1649Fighter Elo Going In1445
1532Classic Elo Going In1512
10 of 16Significant Strikes2 of 7
28 of 38Total Strikes6 of 12
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:14Control Time0:13
Winvs. Loik RadzhabovKO/TKO · R2 2:36Jun 24, 2023UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mateusz RebeckiLoik Radzhabov
1548Fighter Elo Going In1420
1516Classic Elo Going In1516
54 of 95Significant Strikes19 of 54
64 of 110Total Strikes19 of 54
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
2Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:57Control Time0:03
Winvs. Nick FioreUnanimous DecisionJan 14, 2023UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mateusz RebeckiNick Fiore
1433Fighter Elo Going In1430
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
89 of 171Significant Strikes34 of 93
130 of 228Total Strikes52 of 113
3 of 4Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
8:27Control Time0:34