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All Fighters
Lightweight · Last Fought Feb 2023

Rafael Alves

UFC Record
1-3
Age
35
Height
5'8"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1448Going Into Their Last Fight, Feb 2023
1567Best, Jul 2022
1474Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

1300140015001600202220231382 going into Damir Ismagulov, May 20211490 going into Marc Diakiese, Nov 20211567 going into Drew Dober, Jul 20221448 going into Nurullo Aliev, Feb 20231448
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1474After Their Last Fight, Feb 2023
1503Best, Jul 2022
1448Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550202220231500 going into Damir Ismagulov, May 20211486 going into Marc Diakiese, Nov 20211503 going into Drew Dober, Jul 20221489 going into Nurullo Aliev, Feb 20231474 after their last fight1474
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

1.82Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
50%Striking Accuracy
3.23Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
58%Striking Defense
0.35Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.35Takedowns per 15 Minutes
25%Takedown Accuracy
38%Takedown Defense
1.39Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
9%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins010
Losses102

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Nurullo AlievMajority DecisionFeb 25, 2023UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael AlvesNurullo Aliev
1448Fighter Elo Going In1537
1489Classic Elo Going In1500
6 of 17Significant Strikes19 of 45
25 of 36Total Strikes92 of 140
0 of 0Takedowns3 of 4
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
1:18Control Time10:51
Lossvs. Drew DoberKO/TKO · R3 1:30Jul 30, 2022UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael AlvesDrew Dober
1567Fighter Elo Going In1458
1503Classic Elo Going In1553
37 of 68Significant Strikes62 of 151
46 of 80Total Strikes62 of 151
1 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
2:21Control Time0:07
Winvs. Marc DiakieseSubmission · R1 1:48Nov 13, 2021UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael AlvesMarc Diakiese
1490Fighter Elo Going In1479
1486Classic Elo Going In1509
6 of 11Significant Strikes3 of 13
6 of 11Total Strikes3 of 13
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:03
Lossvs. Damir IsmagulovUnanimous DecisionMay 22, 2021UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rafael AlvesDamir Ismagulov
1382Fighter Elo Going In1522
1500Classic Elo Going In1546
30 of 63Significant Strikes56 of 126
36 of 69Total Strikes141 of 220
0 of 1Takedowns2 of 3
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:16Control Time7:40