Rafael Estevam
- UFC Record
- 3-1
- Age
- 30
- Height
- 5'8"
- Reach
- 69"
- Stance
- Orthodox
Fighter Elo
The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.
Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.
How Fighter Elo Works
Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.
Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.
Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.
Career Numbers
Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.
| Ended By | KO/TKO | Submission | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Fight History
Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.
Lossvs. Ethyn EwingKO/TKO · R3 1:44Apr 4, 2026UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Bantamweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Rafael Estevam | Ethyn Ewing | |
|---|---|---|
| 1479 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1502 |
| 1547 | Classic Elo Going In | 1517 |
| 44 of 185 | Significant Strikes | 114 of 197 |
| 45 of 186 | Total Strikes | 116 of 200 |
| 0 of 8 | Takedowns | 0 of 0 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 1 |
| 0 | Submission Attempts | 0 |
| 0:00 | Control Time | 0:22 |
Winvs. Felipe BunesUnanimous DecisionAug 2, 2025UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Rafael Estevam | Felipe Bunes | |
|---|---|---|
| 1475 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1301 |
| 1532 | Classic Elo Going In | 1501 |
| 33 of 70 | Significant Strikes | 26 of 56 |
| 128 of 204 | Total Strikes | 38 of 75 |
| 5 of 9 | Takedowns | 0 of 1 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 0 |
| 0 | Submission Attempts | 2 |
| 10:42 | Control Time | 0:03 |
Winvs. Jesus AguilarUnanimous DecisionFeb 15, 2025UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Rafael Estevam | Jesus Aguilar | |
|---|---|---|
| 1338 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1400 |
| 1515 | Classic Elo Going In | 1531 |
| 11 of 30 | Significant Strikes | 35 of 87 |
| 60 of 96 | Total Strikes | 41 of 95 |
| 11 of 19 | Takedowns | 2 of 5 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 0 |
| 0 | Submission Attempts | 2 |
| 9:22 | Control Time | 1:14 |
Winvs. Charles JohnsonUnanimous DecisionNov 18, 2023UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Flyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Rafael Estevam | Charles Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| 1404 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1459 |
| 1500 | Classic Elo Going In | 1484 |
| 18 of 43 | Significant Strikes | 72 of 109 |
| 35 of 77 | Total Strikes | 116 of 161 |
| 3 of 22 | Takedowns | 0 of 0 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 0 |
| 1 | Submission Attempts | 0 |
| 9:23 | Control Time | 0:43 |