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Welterweight · Active

Colby Covington

UFC Record
12-5
Age
38
Height
5'11"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1555Today
1774Best, Jun 2018
1613Classic Elo
140015001600170018002015201720192021202320251423 going into Anying Wang, Aug 20141556 going into Wagner Silva, Nov 20141688 going into Mike Pyle, May 20151614 going into Warlley Alves, Dec 20151601 going into Jonathan Meunier, Jun 20161642 going into Max Griffin, Aug 20161692 going into Bryan Barberena, Dec 20161731 going into Dong Hyun Kim, Jun 20171752 going into Demian Maia, Oct 20171774 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Jun 20181710 going into Robbie Lawler, Aug 20191770 going into Kamaru Usman, Dec 20191735 going into Tyron Woodley, Sep 20201684 going into Kamaru Usman, Nov 20211734 going into Jorge Masvidal, Mar 20221653 going into Leon Edwards, Dec 20231654 going into Joaquin Buckley, Dec 20241555 today1555
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1613Today
1645Best, Dec 2019
1555Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

15001550160016502015201720192021202320251500 going into Anying Wang, Aug 20141517 going into Wagner Silva, Nov 20141531 going into Mike Pyle, May 20151548 going into Warlley Alves, Dec 20151532 going into Jonathan Meunier, Jun 20161547 going into Max Griffin, Aug 20161561 going into Bryan Barberena, Dec 20161576 going into Dong Hyun Kim, Jun 20171594 going into Demian Maia, Oct 20171613 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Jun 20181631 going into Robbie Lawler, Aug 20191645 going into Kamaru Usman, Dec 20191630 going into Tyron Woodley, Sep 20201644 going into Kamaru Usman, Nov 20211631 going into Jorge Masvidal, Mar 20221645 going into Leon Edwards, Dec 20231631 going into Joaquin Buckley, Dec 20241613 today1613
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.81Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
38%Striking Accuracy
3.09Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
55%Striking Defense
0.05Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
3.65Takedowns per 15 Minutes
43%Takedown Accuracy
69%Takedown Defense
0.16Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
43%Share of Fight Time in Control
16.9 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins327
Losses212

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Joaquin BuckleyTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R3 4:42Dec 14, 2024UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Colby CovingtonJoaquin Buckley
1654Fighter Elo Going In1644
1631Classic Elo Going In1598
37 of 124Significant Strikes75 of 151
71 of 161Total Strikes81 of 160
1 of 8Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
3:40Control Time1:18
Lossvs. Leon EdwardsUnanimous DecisionDec 16, 2023UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington

UFC Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Colby CovingtonLeon Edwards
1653Fighter Elo Going In1728
1645Classic Elo Going In1681
44 of 126Significant Strikes57 of 108
109 of 194Total Strikes65 of 116
2 of 10Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
5:04Control Time1:27
Winvs. Jorge MasvidalUnanimous DecisionMar 5, 2022UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Colby CovingtonJorge Masvidal
1734Fighter Elo Going In1588
1631Classic Elo Going In1578
94 of 201Significant Strikes67 of 140
218 of 338Total Strikes90 of 166
6 of 15Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
16:14Control Time0:21
Lossvs. Kamaru UsmanUnanimous DecisionNov 6, 2021UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2

UFC Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Colby CovingtonKamaru Usman
1684Fighter Elo Going In1873
1644Classic Elo Going In1710
107 of 281Significant Strikes123 of 293
119 of 298Total Strikes158 of 336
0 of 11Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
1:54Control Time1:16
Winvs. Tyron WoodleyKO/TKO · R5 1:19Sep 19, 2020UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Colby CovingtonTyron Woodley
1735Fighter Elo Going In1611
1630Classic Elo Going In1601
78 of 143Significant Strikes34 of 83
232 of 311Total Strikes67 of 116
3 of 8Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
12:01Control Time0:14
Lossvs. Kamaru UsmanKO/TKO · R5 4:10Dec 14, 2019UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington

UFC Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Colby CovingtonKamaru Usman
1770Fighter Elo Going In1846
1645Classic Elo Going In1657
143 of 395Significant Strikes175 of 360
143 of 395Total Strikes175 of 360
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:11
Winvs. Robbie LawlerUnanimous DecisionAug 3, 2019UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Colby CovingtonRobbie Lawler
1710Fighter Elo Going In1429
1631Classic Elo Going In1595
179 of 515Significant Strikes78 of 167
201 of 541Total Strikes82 of 171
10 of 18Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
8:42Control Time0:00
Winvs. Rafael Dos AnjosUnanimous DecisionJun 9, 2018UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2

UFC Interim Welterweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Colby CovingtonRafael Dos Anjos
1774Fighter Elo Going In1607
1613Classic Elo Going In1655
99 of 296Significant Strikes105 of 198
142 of 346Total Strikes130 of 223
7 of 18Takedowns3 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
12:36Control Time2:14
Winvs. Demian MaiaUnanimous DecisionOct 28, 2017UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Colby CovingtonDemian Maia
1752Fighter Elo Going In1628
1594Classic Elo Going In1653
88 of 317Significant Strikes53 of 151
121 of 351Total Strikes59 of 157
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 13
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:46Control Time0:02
Winvs. Dong Hyun KimUnanimous DecisionJun 17, 2017UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Colby CovingtonDong Hyun Kim
1731Fighter Elo Going In1550
1576Classic Elo Going In1627
47 of 105Significant Strikes19 of 54
92 of 154Total Strikes64 of 102
8 of 15Takedowns2 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
10:09Control Time1:08
Winvs. Bryan BarberenaUnanimous DecisionDec 17, 2016UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Colby CovingtonBryan Barberena
1692Fighter Elo Going In1605
1561Classic Elo Going In1537
76 of 141Significant Strikes41 of 111
96 of 167Total Strikes100 of 172
12 of 17Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
9:05Control Time0:00
Winvs. Max GriffinKO/TKO · R3 2:18Aug 20, 2016UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Colby CovingtonMax Griffin
1642Fighter Elo Going In1391
1547Classic Elo Going In1500
26 of 46Significant Strikes13 of 35
161 of 216Total Strikes33 of 58
6 of 9Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
10:08Control Time0:07
Winvs. Jonathan MeunierSubmission · R3 0:54Jun 18, 2016UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Colby CovingtonJonathan Meunier
1601Fighter Elo Going In1419
1532Classic Elo Going In1500
19 of 34Significant Strikes16 of 23
78 of 107Total Strikes40 of 52
5 of 9Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
9:08Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Warlley AlvesSubmission · R1 1:26Dec 12, 2015UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Colby CovingtonWarlley Alves
1614Fighter Elo Going In1631
1548Classic Elo Going In1549
2 of 2Significant Strikes2 of 4
2 of 2Total Strikes2 of 4
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:03Control Time0:00
Winvs. Mike PyleUnanimous DecisionMay 23, 2015UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Colby CovingtonMike Pyle
1688Fighter Elo Going In1420
1531Classic Elo Going In1558
26 of 51Significant Strikes16 of 26
95 of 129Total Strikes33 of 46
2 of 10Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
11:22Control Time0:41
Winvs. Wagner SilvaSubmission · R3 3:26Nov 8, 2014UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Colby CovingtonWagner Silva
1556Fighter Elo Going In1371
1517Classic Elo Going In1484
23 of 62Significant Strikes16 of 59
97 of 155Total Strikes23 of 66
5 of 12Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
8:21Control Time0:02
Winvs. Anying WangKO/TKO · R1 4:50Aug 23, 2014UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Colby CovingtonAnying Wang
1423Fighter Elo Going In1532
1500Classic Elo Going In1516
11 of 17Significant Strikes0 of 5
66 of 88Total Strikes2 of 7
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:51Control Time0:00