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Welterweight · Last Fought Aug 2016

Rick Story

UFC Record
12-7
Age
42
Height
5'9"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1606Going Into Their Last Fight, Aug 2016
1711Best, May 2011
1575Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

1400150016001700180020102011201220132014201520161498 going into John Hathaway, Jun 20091606 going into Brian Foster, Sep 20091664 going into Jesse Lennox, Jan 20101627 going into Nick Osipczak, Apr 20101632 going into Dustin Hazelett, Aug 20101692 going into Johny Hendricks, Dec 20101711 going into Thiago Alves, May 20111703 going into Charlie Brenneman, Jun 20111699 going into Martin Kampmann, Nov 20111681 going into Brock Jardine, Jun 20121687 going into Demian Maia, Oct 20121661 going into Quinn Mulhern, Mar 20131656 going into Mike Pyle, May 20131660 going into Brian Ebersole, Nov 20131664 going into Kelvin Gastelum, Mar 20141642 going into Leonardo Mafra, Jul 20141628 going into Gunnar Nelson, Oct 20141607 going into Tarec Saffiedine, May 20161606 going into Donald Cerrone, Aug 20161606
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1575After Their Last Fight, Aug 2016
1587Best, Aug 2016
1606Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550160020102011201220132014201520161500 going into John Hathaway, Jun 20091485 going into Brian Foster, Sep 20091501 going into Jesse Lennox, Jan 20101518 going into Nick Osipczak, Apr 20101535 going into Dustin Hazelett, Aug 20101551 going into Johny Hendricks, Dec 20101567 going into Thiago Alves, May 20111585 going into Charlie Brenneman, Jun 20111566 going into Martin Kampmann, Nov 20111549 going into Brock Jardine, Jun 20121562 going into Demian Maia, Oct 20121547 going into Quinn Mulhern, Mar 20131561 going into Mike Pyle, May 20131545 going into Brian Ebersole, Nov 20131561 going into Kelvin Gastelum, Mar 20141544 going into Leonardo Mafra, Jul 20141557 going into Gunnar Nelson, Oct 20141573 going into Tarec Saffiedine, May 20161587 going into Donald Cerrone, Aug 20161575 after their last fight1575
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.80Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
42%Striking Accuracy
2.17Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
62%Striking Defense
0.38Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
2.53Takedowns per 15 Minutes
48%Takedown Accuracy
63%Takedown Defense
0.89Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
32%Share of Fight Time in Control
12.5 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins228
Losses115

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Donald CerroneKO/TKO · R2 2:02Aug 20, 2016UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryDonald Cerrone
1606Fighter Elo Going In1642
1587Classic Elo Going In1674
17 of 51Significant Strikes45 of 73
19 of 54Total Strikes48 of 76
1 of 5Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
1:42Control Time0:42
Winvs. Tarec SaffiedineUnanimous DecisionMay 29, 2016UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryTarec Saffiedine
1607Fighter Elo Going In1533
1573Classic Elo Going In1523
58 of 111Significant Strikes32 of 71
97 of 150Total Strikes47 of 86
0 of 6Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
6:53Control Time0:37
Winvs. Gunnar NelsonSplit DecisionOct 4, 2014UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rick StoryGunnar Nelson
1628Fighter Elo Going In1662
1557Classic Elo Going In1560
168 of 315Significant Strikes53 of 107
211 of 360Total Strikes54 of 108
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 4
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:36Control Time0:22
Winvs. Leonardo MafraSubmission · R2 2:12Jul 16, 2014UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryLeonardo Mafra
1642Fighter Elo Going In1329
1544Classic Elo Going In1484
24 of 39Significant Strikes11 of 20
53 of 70Total Strikes21 of 32
3 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
5:45Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Kelvin GastelumSplit DecisionMar 15, 2014UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryKelvin Gastelum
1664Fighter Elo Going In1663
1561Classic Elo Going In1532
45 of 163Significant Strikes59 of 137
51 of 170Total Strikes62 of 142
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 2
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:20Control Time1:30
Winvs. Brian EbersoleUnanimous DecisionNov 16, 2013UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryBrian Ebersole
1660Fighter Elo Going In1461
1545Classic Elo Going In1546
71 of 199Significant Strikes42 of 114
75 of 203Total Strikes42 of 114
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 7
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:03Control Time0:25
Lossvs. Mike PyleSplit DecisionMay 25, 2013UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryMike Pyle
1656Fighter Elo Going In1507
1561Classic Elo Going In1563
57 of 111Significant Strikes33 of 74
94 of 149Total Strikes86 of 133
3 of 7Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
9:29Control Time0:24
Winvs. Quinn MulhernKO/TKO · R1 3:05Mar 16, 2013UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryQuinn Mulhern
1661Fighter Elo Going In1493
1547Classic Elo Going In1500
20 of 49Significant Strikes9 of 50
26 of 55Total Strikes9 of 51
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:07Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Demian MaiaSubmission · R1 2:30Oct 13, 2012UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryDemian Maia
1687Fighter Elo Going In1577
1562Classic Elo Going In1582
3 of 5Significant Strikes5 of 8
10 of 12Total Strikes9 of 12
0 of 0Takedowns3 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time2:14
Winvs. Brock JardineUnanimous DecisionJun 22, 2012UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryBrock Jardine
1681Fighter Elo Going In1365
1549Classic Elo Going In1500
51 of 125Significant Strikes18 of 60
67 of 142Total Strikes21 of 63
5 of 6Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
5:15Control Time0:46
Lossvs. Martin KampmannSplit DecisionNov 19, 2011UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryMartin Kampmann
1699Fighter Elo Going In1609
1566Classic Elo Going In1546
61 of 170Significant Strikes38 of 147
73 of 183Total Strikes55 of 165
1 of 3Takedowns3 of 9
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:36Control Time4:55
Lossvs. Charlie BrennemanUnanimous DecisionJun 26, 2011UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryCharlie Brenneman
1703Fighter Elo Going In1466
1585Classic Elo Going In1517
17 of 46Significant Strikes11 of 26
61 of 91Total Strikes70 of 86
2 of 4Takedowns5 of 8
0Knockdowns0
4Submission Attempts0
2:46Control Time9:44
Winvs. Thiago AlvesUnanimous DecisionMay 28, 2011UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryThiago Alves
1711Fighter Elo Going In1662
1567Classic Elo Going In1598
62 of 169Significant Strikes41 of 111
79 of 187Total Strikes54 of 125
4 of 14Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
7:36Control Time1:00
Winvs. Johny HendricksUnanimous DecisionDec 4, 2010The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryJohny Hendricks
1692Fighter Elo Going In1698
1551Classic Elo Going In1562
55 of 125Significant Strikes24 of 58
98 of 170Total Strikes45 of 79
2 of 5Takedowns6 of 13
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
2:51Control Time6:17
Winvs. Dustin HazelettKO/TKO · R2 1:15Aug 7, 2010UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryDustin Hazelett
1632Fighter Elo Going In1568
1535Classic Elo Going In1533
75 of 110Significant Strikes7 of 17
132 of 169Total Strikes7 of 17
3 of 3Takedowns0 of 2
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
5:08Control Time0:00
Winvs. Nick OsipczakSplit DecisionApr 10, 2010UFC 112: Invincible

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryNick Osipczak
1627Fighter Elo Going In1703
1518Classic Elo Going In1533
31 of 72Significant Strikes28 of 41
83 of 130Total Strikes49 of 63
3 of 10Takedowns2 of 4
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
9:54Control Time2:25
Winvs. Jesse LennoxSplit DecisionJan 11, 2010UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryJesse Lennox
1664Fighter Elo Going In1486
1501Classic Elo Going In1516
47 of 172Significant Strikes22 of 128
67 of 192Total Strikes24 of 130
2 of 3Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
4:23Control Time1:04
Winvs. Brian FosterSubmission · R2 1:09Sep 19, 2009UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryBrian Foster
1606Fighter Elo Going In1433
1485Classic Elo Going In1500
18 of 59Significant Strikes6 of 47
35 of 78Total Strikes16 of 57
3 of 4Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
4:22Control Time0:05
Lossvs. John HathawayUnanimous DecisionJun 13, 2009UFC 99: The Comeback

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rick StoryJohn Hathaway
1498Fighter Elo Going In1717
1500Classic Elo Going In1516
21 of 67Significant Strikes31 of 85
47 of 94Total Strikes102 of 159
4 of 4Takedowns4 of 10
0Knockdowns0
5Submission Attempts3
4:08Control Time6:51