Phins
Create Account
All Fighters
Light Heavyweight · Active

Paul Craig

UFC Record
9-10-1
Age
38
Height
6'3"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1317Today
1692Best, Mar 2017
1493Classic Elo
#361 Men: Pound for Pound#40 Light Heavyweight
13001400150016001700201720192021202320251413 going into Henrique da Silva, Dec 20161692 going into Tyson Pedro, Mar 20171603 going into Khalil Rountree Jr., Jul 20171428 going into Magomed Ankalaev, Mar 20181417 going into Jimmy Crute, Dec 20181376 going into Kennedy Nzechukwu, Mar 20191380 going into Alonzo Menifield, Jun 20191370 going into Vinicius Moreira, Sep 20191403 going into Mauricio Rua, Nov 20191459 going into Gadzhimurad Antigulov, Jul 20201437 going into Mauricio Rua, Nov 20201486 going into Jamahal Hill, Jun 20211533 going into Nikita Krylov, Mar 20221502 going into Volkan Oezdemir, Jul 20221437 going into Johnny Walker, Jan 20231399 going into Andre Muniz, Jul 20231442 going into Brendan Allen, Nov 20231389 going into Caio Borralho, May 20241359 going into Bo Nickal, Nov 20241378 going into Modestas Bukauskas, Sep 20251317 today1317
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1493Today
1569Best, Jul 2022
1317Fighter Elo
#318 Men: Pound for Pound#32 Light Heavyweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015501600201720192021202320251500 going into Henrique da Silva, Dec 20161517 going into Tyson Pedro, Mar 20171501 going into Khalil Rountree Jr., Jul 20171485 going into Magomed Ankalaev, Mar 20181501 going into Jimmy Crute, Dec 20181485 going into Kennedy Nzechukwu, Mar 20191502 going into Alonzo Menifield, Jun 20191487 going into Vinicius Moreira, Sep 20191502 going into Mauricio Rua, Nov 20191504 going into Gadzhimurad Antigulov, Jul 20201520 going into Mauricio Rua, Nov 20201538 going into Jamahal Hill, Jun 20211553 going into Nikita Krylov, Mar 20221569 going into Volkan Oezdemir, Jul 20221550 going into Johnny Walker, Jan 20231533 going into Andre Muniz, Jul 20231550 going into Brendan Allen, Nov 20231537 going into Caio Borralho, May 20241523 going into Bo Nickal, Nov 20241508 going into Modestas Bukauskas, Sep 20251493 today1493
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.50Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
45%Striking Accuracy
3.04Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
43%Striking Defense
0.09Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.43Takedowns per 15 Minutes
19%Takedown Accuracy
35%Takedown Defense
1.34Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
14%Share of Fight Time in Control
8.0 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins360
Losses622

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Modestas BukauskasKO/TKO · R1 5:00Sep 6, 2025UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigModestas Bukauskas
1378Fighter Elo Going In1460
1508Classic Elo Going In1536
6 of 14Significant Strikes22 of 36
30 of 39Total Strikes29 of 44
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:45Control Time1:50
Lossvs. Bo NickalUnanimous DecisionNov 16, 2024UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigBo Nickal
1359Fighter Elo Going In1632
1523Classic Elo Going In1545
47 of 129Significant Strikes54 of 85
48 of 130Total Strikes54 of 85
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Caio BorralhoKO/TKO · R2 2:10May 4, 2024UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigCaio Borralho
1389Fighter Elo Going In1615
1537Classic Elo Going In1577
22 of 48Significant Strikes36 of 50
22 of 50Total Strikes43 of 57
0 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:30Control Time0:19
Lossvs. Brendan AllenSubmission · R3 0:38Nov 18, 2023UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Paul CraigBrendan Allen
1442Fighter Elo Going In1628
1550Classic Elo Going In1618
6 of 14Significant Strikes32 of 43
13 of 21Total Strikes52 of 64
0 of 2Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts2
0:34Control Time7:58
Winvs. Andre MunizKO/TKO · R2 4:40Jul 22, 2023UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigAndre Muniz
1399Fighter Elo Going In1574
1533Classic Elo Going In1565
40 of 82Significant Strikes24 of 40
54 of 101Total Strikes31 of 47
2 of 2Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:56Control Time1:47
Lossvs. Johnny WalkerKO/TKO · R1 2:16Jan 21, 2023UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigJohnny Walker
1437Fighter Elo Going In1581
1550Classic Elo Going In1523
3 of 8Significant Strikes16 of 20
3 of 8Total Strikes17 of 21
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:04
Lossvs. Volkan OezdemirUnanimous DecisionJul 23, 2022UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigVolkan Oezdemir
1502Fighter Elo Going In1543
1569Classic Elo Going In1515
33 of 126Significant Strikes72 of 129
41 of 136Total Strikes108 of 170
0 of 15Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:07Control Time5:09
Winvs. Nikita KrylovSubmission · R1 3:57Mar 19, 2022UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigNikita Krylov
1533Fighter Elo Going In1509
1553Classic Elo Going In1535
2 of 3Significant Strikes19 of 25
11 of 12Total Strikes30 of 39
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time3:49
Winvs. Jamahal HillKO/TKO · R1 1:59Jun 12, 2021UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigJamahal Hill
1486Fighter Elo Going In1738
1538Classic Elo Going In1533
23 of 25Significant Strikes1 of 8
43 of 47Total Strikes3 of 10
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts0
0:03Control Time0:53
Winvs. Mauricio RuaKO/TKO · R2 3:36Nov 21, 2020UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigMauricio Rua
1437Fighter Elo Going In1421
1520Classic Elo Going In1561
29 of 57Significant Strikes10 of 28
54 of 88Total Strikes25 of 46
4 of 8Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:46Control Time1:44
Winvs. Gadzhimurad AntigulovSubmission · R1 2:06Jul 25, 2020UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigGadzhimurad Antigulov
1459Fighter Elo Going In1351
1504Classic Elo Going In1499
2 of 5Significant Strikes11 of 16
4 of 7Total Strikes16 of 22
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time1:41
Drawvs. Mauricio RuaSplit DecisionNov 16, 2019UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigMauricio Rua
1403Fighter Elo Going In1504
1502Classic Elo Going In1548
51 of 99Significant Strikes25 of 66
106 of 160Total Strikes51 of 108
1 of 4Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:16Control Time8:21
Winvs. Vinicius MoreiraSubmission · R1 3:19Sep 21, 2019UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigVinicius Moreira
1370Fighter Elo Going In1352
1487Classic Elo Going In1468
18 of 27Significant Strikes1 of 3
33 of 43Total Strikes1 of 3
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:08Control Time0:51
Lossvs. Alonzo MenifieldKO/TKO · R1 3:19Jun 29, 2019UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigAlonzo Menifield
1380Fighter Elo Going In1571
1502Classic Elo Going In1516
7 of 13Significant Strikes8 of 22
21 of 28Total Strikes8 of 23
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:12Control Time1:22
Winvs. Kennedy NzechukwuSubmission · R3 4:20Mar 30, 2019UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigKennedy Nzechukwu
1376Fighter Elo Going In1540
1485Classic Elo Going In1500
25 of 77Significant Strikes40 of 72
31 of 83Total Strikes47 of 80
1 of 16Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
1:37Control Time4:22
Lossvs. Jimmy CruteSubmission · R3 4:51Dec 1, 2018UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigJimmy Crute
1417Fighter Elo Going In1539
1501Classic Elo Going In1500
12 of 22Significant Strikes17 of 38
45 of 57Total Strikes49 of 75
3 of 7Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts4
4:18Control Time8:27
Winvs. Magomed AnkalaevSubmission · R3 4:59Mar 17, 2018UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigMagomed Ankalaev
1428Fighter Elo Going In1525
1485Classic Elo Going In1500
18 of 50Significant Strikes59 of 96
34 of 70Total Strikes89 of 129
2 of 7Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:47Control Time6:43
Lossvs. Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO · R1 4:56Jul 16, 2017UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigKhalil Rountree Jr.
1603Fighter Elo Going In1463
1501Classic Elo Going In1485
17 of 29Significant Strikes15 of 47
17 of 29Total Strikes15 of 47
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:04
Lossvs. Tyson PedroKO/TKO · R1 4:10Mar 4, 2017UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigTyson Pedro
1692Fighter Elo Going In1505
1517Classic Elo Going In1515
12 of 24Significant Strikes23 of 35
29 of 47Total Strikes34 of 46
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:06Control Time2:37
Winvs. Henrique da SilvaSubmission · R2 1:59Dec 17, 2016UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul CraigHenrique da Silva
1413Fighter Elo Going In1458
1500Classic Elo Going In1532
31 of 49Significant Strikes16 of 24
57 of 75Total Strikes23 of 33
1 of 2Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts0
2:08Control Time3:23