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All Fighters
Lightweight · Last Fought Feb 2011

Paul Kelly

UFC Record
5-4
Age
42
Height
5'9"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1498Going Into Their Last Fight, Feb 2011
1553Best, Feb 2009
1512Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

140014501500155016002009201020111445 going into Paul Taylor, Jan 20081547 going into Marcus Davis, Oct 20081553 going into Troy Mandaloniz, Feb 20091498 going into Rolando Delgado, Jun 20091519 going into Dennis Siver, Nov 20091462 going into Matt Veach, Apr 20101515 going into Jacob Volkmann, Aug 20101494 going into TJ O'Brien, Nov 20101498 going into Donald Cerrone, Feb 20111498
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1512After Their Last Fight, Feb 2011
1535Best, Nov 2009
1498Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015502009201020111500 going into Paul Taylor, Jan 20081516 going into Marcus Davis, Oct 20081502 going into Troy Mandaloniz, Feb 20091519 going into Rolando Delgado, Jun 20091535 going into Dennis Siver, Nov 20091517 going into Matt Veach, Apr 20101532 going into Jacob Volkmann, Aug 20101514 going into TJ O'Brien, Nov 20101530 going into Donald Cerrone, Feb 20111512 after their last fight1512
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.22Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
38%Striking Accuracy
2.61Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
60%Striking Defense
0.15Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.34Takedowns per 15 Minutes
60%Takedown Accuracy
31%Takedown Defense
1.49Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
40%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.2 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins113
Losses121

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Donald CerroneSubmission · R2 3:48Feb 5, 2011UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul KellyDonald Cerrone
1498Fighter Elo Going In1486
1530Classic Elo Going In1500
22 of 75Significant Strikes37 of 74
29 of 82Total Strikes62 of 101
0 of 0Takedowns3 of 4
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time3:31
Winvs. TJ O'BrienKO/TKO · R2 3:16Nov 20, 2010UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul KellyTJ O'Brien
1494Fighter Elo Going In1407
1514Classic Elo Going In1500
44 of 104Significant Strikes32 of 69
106 of 171Total Strikes38 of 77
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:54Control Time0:27
Lossvs. Jacob VolkmannUnanimous DecisionAug 1, 2010UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul KellyJacob Volkmann
1515Fighter Elo Going In1408
1532Classic Elo Going In1488
24 of 61Significant Strikes32 of 79
45 of 85Total Strikes61 of 111
0 of 0Takedowns6 of 7
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts2
3:55Control Time7:51
Winvs. Matt VeachSubmission · R2 3:41Apr 10, 2010UFC 112: Invincible

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul KellyMatt Veach
1462Fighter Elo Going In1568
1517Classic Elo Going In1502
47 of 73Significant Strikes4 of 9
110 of 145Total Strikes9 of 14
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts2
5:25Control Time2:26
Lossvs. Dennis SiverKO/TKO · R2 2:53Nov 14, 2009UFC 105: Couture vs Vera

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul KellyDennis Siver
1519Fighter Elo Going In1397
1535Classic Elo Going In1503
12 of 84Significant Strikes38 of 165
15 of 87Total Strikes44 of 171
1 of 3Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:56Control Time0:27
Winvs. Rolando DelgadoUnanimous DecisionJun 13, 2009UFC 99: The Comeback

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul KellyRolando Delgado
1498Fighter Elo Going In1625
1519Classic Elo Going In1516
32 of 74Significant Strikes14 of 28
90 of 134Total Strikes42 of 59
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 5
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts3
7:55Control Time4:04
Winvs. Troy MandalonizUnanimous DecisionFeb 21, 2009UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul KellyTroy Mandaloniz
1553Fighter Elo Going In1433
1502Classic Elo Going In1516
71 of 190Significant Strikes38 of 82
192 of 327Total Strikes44 of 88
2 of 6Takedowns4 of 4
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
6:23Control Time2:45
Lossvs. Marcus DavisSubmission · R2 2:16Oct 18, 2008UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul KellyMarcus Davis
1547Fighter Elo Going In1564
1516Classic Elo Going In1561
3 of 56Significant Strikes25 of 63
3 of 56Total Strikes36 of 74
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
0:23Control Time0:46
Winvs. Paul TaylorUnanimous DecisionJan 19, 2008UFC 80: Rapid Fire

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Paul KellyPaul Taylor
1445Fighter Elo Going In1553
1500Classic Elo Going In1501
70 of 139Significant Strikes43 of 81
154 of 234Total Strikes149 of 202
3 of 3Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts3
12:07Control Time1:21