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Welterweight · Last Fought Jul 2018

Sage Northcutt

UFC Record
6-2
Age
30
Height
6'0"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1576Going Into Their Last Fight, Jul 2018
1698Best, Jan 2016
1556Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

14001500160017002016201720181489 going into Francisco Trevino, Oct 20151630 going into Cody Pfister, Dec 20151698 going into Bryan Barberena, Jan 20161584 going into Enrique Marin, Jul 20161596 going into Mickey Gall, Dec 20161576 going into Michel Quinones, Nov 20171589 going into Thibault Gouti, Feb 20181576 going into Zak Ottow, Jul 20181576
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1556After Their Last Fight, Jul 2018
1576Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1500155016002016201720181500 going into Francisco Trevino, Oct 20151516 going into Cody Pfister, Dec 20151531 going into Bryan Barberena, Jan 20161514 going into Enrique Marin, Jul 20161528 going into Mickey Gall, Dec 20161513 going into Michel Quinones, Nov 20171527 going into Thibault Gouti, Feb 20181541 going into Zak Ottow, Jul 20181556 after their last fight1556
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.58Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
52%Striking Accuracy
1.96Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
59%Striking Defense
0.40Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.81Takedowns per 15 Minutes
35%Takedown Accuracy
42%Takedown Defense
0.60Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
17%Share of Fight Time in Control
9.3 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins213
Losses020

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Zak OttowKO/TKO · R2 3:13Jul 14, 2018UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sage NorthcuttZak Ottow
1576Fighter Elo Going In1469
1541Classic Elo Going In1520
24 of 37Significant Strikes6 of 16
37 of 50Total Strikes33 of 47
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 4
1Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts1
1:34Control Time5:13
Winvs. Thibault GoutiUnanimous DecisionFeb 18, 2018UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sage NorthcuttThibault Gouti
1589Fighter Elo Going In1348
1527Classic Elo Going In1473
63 of 138Significant Strikes28 of 66
125 of 204Total Strikes30 of 68
1 of 9Takedowns4 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:53Control Time6:11
Winvs. Michel QuinonesUnanimous DecisionNov 11, 2017UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sage NorthcuttMichel Quinones
1576Fighter Elo Going In1265
1513Classic Elo Going In1484
79 of 161Significant Strikes55 of 161
82 of 166Total Strikes55 of 161
3 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:43Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Mickey GallSubmission · R2 1:40Dec 17, 2016UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sage NorthcuttMickey Gall
1596Fighter Elo Going In1663
1528Classic Elo Going In1531
13 of 23Significant Strikes9 of 18
22 of 32Total Strikes29 of 40
0 of 1Takedowns2 of 2
1Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts3
1:04Control Time3:26
Winvs. Enrique MarinUnanimous DecisionJul 9, 2016UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sage NorthcuttEnrique Marin
1584Fighter Elo Going In1402
1514Classic Elo Going In1484
41 of 66Significant Strikes16 of 36
106 of 135Total Strikes26 of 48
0 of 2Takedowns4 of 10
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts2
4:22Control Time7:28
Lossvs. Bryan BarberenaSubmission · R2 3:06Jan 30, 2016UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sage NorthcuttBryan Barberena
1698Fighter Elo Going In1537
1531Classic Elo Going In1501
18 of 45Significant Strikes26 of 48
27 of 56Total Strikes67 of 94
1 of 5Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:24Control Time3:15
Winvs. Cody PfisterSubmission · R2 0:41Dec 10, 2015UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sage NorthcuttCody Pfister
1630Fighter Elo Going In1417
1516Classic Elo Going In1499
8 of 9Significant Strikes5 of 8
19 of 21Total Strikes40 of 44
2 of 2Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:57Control Time3:17
Winvs. Francisco TrevinoKO/TKO · R1 0:57Oct 3, 2015UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Sage NorthcuttFrancisco Trevino
1489Fighter Elo Going In1465
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
21 of 31Significant Strikes1 of 3
21 of 31Total Strikes1 of 3
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:09