Phins
Create Account
All Fighters
Lightweight · Last Fought Jul 2013

Aaron Riley

UFC Record
3-6
Age
45
Height
5'8"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1323Going Into Their Last Fight, Jul 2013
1463Best, May 2002
1462Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

130013501400145015002003200520072009201120131463 going into Robbie Lawler, May 20021403 going into Spencer Fisher, Jan 20061422 going into Jorge Gurgel, Nov 20081443 going into Shane Nelson, Mar 20091403 going into Shane Nelson, Aug 20091442 going into Ross Pearson, Nov 20091390 going into Joe Brammer, May 20101363 going into Tony Ferguson, Sep 20111323 going into Justin Salas, Jul 20131323
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1462After Their Last Fight, Jul 2013
1500Best, May 2002
1323Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015002003200520072009201120131500 going into Robbie Lawler, May 20021484 going into Spencer Fisher, Jan 20061469 going into Jorge Gurgel, Nov 20081487 going into Shane Nelson, Mar 20091472 going into Shane Nelson, Aug 20091491 going into Ross Pearson, Nov 20091476 going into Joe Brammer, May 20101492 going into Tony Ferguson, Sep 20111477 going into Justin Salas, Jul 20131462 after their last fight1462
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.29Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
35%Striking Accuracy
3.91Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
61%Striking Defense
0.00Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.26Takedowns per 15 Minutes
35%Takedown Accuracy
61%Takedown Defense
0.16Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
20%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.6 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins003
Losses402

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Justin SalasSplit DecisionJul 27, 2013UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Aaron RileyJustin Salas
1323Fighter Elo Going In1385
1477Classic Elo Going In1500
26 of 172Significant Strikes54 of 140
26 of 172Total Strikes58 of 144
0 of 0Takedowns3 of 9
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:30
Lossvs. Tony FergusonTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R1 5:00Sep 24, 2011UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Aaron RileyTony Ferguson
1363Fighter Elo Going In1595
1492Classic Elo Going In1516
11 of 49Significant Strikes31 of 82
11 of 49Total Strikes31 of 82
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:02
Winvs. Joe BrammerUnanimous DecisionMay 29, 2010UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Aaron RileyJoe Brammer
1390Fighter Elo Going In1427
1476Classic Elo Going In1485
46 of 104Significant Strikes37 of 107
124 of 184Total Strikes51 of 122
3 of 8Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
5:05Control Time0:32
Lossvs. Ross PearsonTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R2 4:38Nov 14, 2009UFC 105: Couture vs Vera

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Aaron RileyRoss Pearson
1442Fighter Elo Going In1494
1491Classic Elo Going In1516
15 of 73Significant Strikes59 of 122
19 of 77Total Strikes70 of 135
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:19Control Time0:52
Winvs. Shane NelsonUnanimous DecisionAug 8, 2009UFC 101: Declaration

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Aaron RileyShane Nelson
1403Fighter Elo Going In1611
1472Classic Elo Going In1531
50 of 122Significant Strikes28 of 74
154 of 236Total Strikes80 of 128
2 of 5Takedowns0 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
7:45Control Time0:01
Lossvs. Shane NelsonKO/TKO · R1 0:44Mar 7, 2009UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Aaron RileyShane Nelson
1443Fighter Elo Going In1563
1487Classic Elo Going In1516
4 of 9Significant Strikes5 of 12
4 of 9Total Strikes5 of 12
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:06
Winvs. Jorge GurgelUnanimous DecisionNov 15, 2008UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Aaron RileyJorge Gurgel
1422Fighter Elo Going In1371
1469Classic Elo Going In1498
98 of 222Significant Strikes70 of 199
133 of 261Total Strikes91 of 220
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:29Control Time0:12
Lossvs. Spencer FisherTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R1 5:00Jan 16, 2006UFC Fight Night 3

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Aaron RileySpencer Fisher
1403Fighter Elo Going In1451
1484Classic Elo Going In1516
9 of 23Significant Strikes25 of 65
17 of 32Total Strikes30 of 70
2 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:29Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Robbie LawlerUnanimous DecisionMay 10, 2002UFC 37: High Impact

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Aaron RileyRobbie Lawler
1463Fighter Elo Going In1495
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
55 of 130Significant Strikes64 of 153
93 of 170Total Strikes87 of 176
0 of 3Takedowns6 of 8
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
1:26Control Time4:27