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Welterweight · Last Fought Aug 2024

Tony Ferguson

UFC Record
15-9
Age
42
Height
5'11"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1315Going Into Their Last Fight, Aug 2024
1723Best, Oct 2017
1548Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

120014001600180020122014201620182020202220241484 going into Ramsey Nijem, Jun 20111595 going into Aaron Riley, Sep 20111651 going into Yves Edwards, Dec 20111640 going into Michael Johnson, May 20121534 going into Mike Rio, Oct 20131572 going into Katsunori Kikuno, May 20141623 going into Danny Castillo, Aug 20141600 going into Abel Trujillo, Dec 20141623 going into Gleison Tibau, Feb 20151666 going into Josh Thomson, Jul 20151709 going into Edson Barboza, Dec 20151711 going into Lando Vannata, Jul 20161719 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Nov 20161723 going into Kevin Lee, Oct 20171689 going into Anthony Pettis, Oct 20181677 going into Donald Cerrone, Jun 20191661 going into Justin Gaethje, May 20201552 going into Charles Oliveira, Dec 20201486 going into Beneil Dariush, May 20211491 going into Michael Chandler, May 20221418 going into Nate Diaz, Sep 20221410 going into King Green, Jul 20231345 going into Paddy Pimblett, Dec 20231315 going into Michael Chiesa, Aug 20241315
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1548After Their Last Fight, Aug 2024
1698Best, May 2020
1315Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

15001600170020122014201620182020202220241500 going into Ramsey Nijem, Jun 20111516 going into Aaron Riley, Sep 20111531 going into Yves Edwards, Dec 20111548 going into Michael Johnson, May 20121530 going into Mike Rio, Oct 20131544 going into Katsunori Kikuno, May 20141559 going into Danny Castillo, Aug 20141575 going into Abel Trujillo, Dec 20141589 going into Gleison Tibau, Feb 20151606 going into Josh Thomson, Jul 20151617 going into Edson Barboza, Dec 20151632 going into Lando Vannata, Jul 20161642 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Nov 20161658 going into Kevin Lee, Oct 20171672 going into Anthony Pettis, Oct 20181683 going into Donald Cerrone, Jun 20191698 going into Justin Gaethje, May 20201675 going into Charles Oliveira, Dec 20201658 going into Beneil Dariush, May 20211641 going into Michael Chandler, May 20221619 going into Nate Diaz, Sep 20221600 going into King Green, Jul 20231581 going into Paddy Pimblett, Dec 20231564 going into Michael Chiesa, Aug 20241548 after their last fight1548
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.91Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
46%Striking Accuracy
4.37Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
55%Striking Defense
0.17Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.39Takedowns per 15 Minutes
35%Takedown Accuracy
66%Takedown Defense
0.88Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
3%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.3 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins564
Losses234

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Michael ChiesaSubmission · R1 3:44Aug 3, 2024UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonMichael Chiesa
1315Fighter Elo Going In1528
1564Classic Elo Going In1566
10 of 18Significant Strikes4 of 25
10 of 18Total Strikes4 of 25
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time0:34
Lossvs. Paddy PimblettUnanimous DecisionDec 16, 2023UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonPaddy Pimblett
1345Fighter Elo Going In1535
1581Classic Elo Going In1562
62 of 105Significant Strikes106 of 165
90 of 134Total Strikes151 of 217
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time8:53
Lossvs. King GreenSubmission · R3 4:54Jul 29, 2023UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonKing Green
1410Fighter Elo Going In1552
1600Classic Elo Going In1526
54 of 123Significant Strikes137 of 217
62 of 138Total Strikes145 of 227
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:13Control Time3:25
Lossvs. Nate DiazSubmission · R4 2:52Sep 10, 2022UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Tony FergusonNate Diaz
1418Fighter Elo Going In1404
1619Classic Elo Going In1559
80 of 172Significant Strikes101 of 217
80 of 172Total Strikes101 of 217
1 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:08Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Michael ChandlerKO/TKO · R2 0:17May 7, 2022UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonMichael Chandler
1491Fighter Elo Going In1403
1641Classic Elo Going In1496
20 of 50Significant Strikes27 of 53
27 of 58Total Strikes43 of 73
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time2:31
Lossvs. Beneil DariushUnanimous DecisionMay 15, 2021UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonBeneil Dariush
1486Fighter Elo Going In1688
1658Classic Elo Going In1644
15 of 34Significant Strikes23 of 55
37 of 59Total Strikes76 of 142
0 of 0Takedowns3 of 6
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
0:05Control Time12:15
Lossvs. Charles OliveiraUnanimous DecisionDec 12, 2020UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonCharles Oliveira
1552Fighter Elo Going In1664
1675Classic Elo Going In1640
19 of 42Significant Strikes41 of 63
26 of 49Total Strikes86 of 112
0 of 0Takedowns3 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts3
0:05Control Time11:39
Lossvs. Justin GaethjeKO/TKO · R5 3:39May 9, 2020UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje

UFC Interim Lightweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Tony FergusonJustin Gaethje
1661Fighter Elo Going In1549
1698Classic Elo Going In1555
136 of 296Significant Strikes143 of 197
136 of 296Total Strikes143 of 197
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00
Winvs. Donald CerroneTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R2 5:00Jun 8, 2019UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonDonald Cerrone
1677Fighter Elo Going In1602
1683Classic Elo Going In1665
104 of 200Significant Strikes68 of 185
104 of 200Total Strikes68 of 185
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:07
Winvs. Anthony PettisKO/TKO · R2 5:00Oct 6, 2018UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonAnthony Pettis
1689Fighter Elo Going In1606
1672Classic Elo Going In1558
114 of 194Significant Strikes45 of 99
115 of 195Total Strikes49 of 104
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:04Control Time1:11
Winvs. Kevin LeeSubmission · R3 4:02Oct 7, 2017UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee

UFC Interim Lightweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Tony FergusonKevin Lee
1723Fighter Elo Going In1715
1658Classic Elo Going In1609
54 of 103Significant Strikes55 of 119
57 of 106Total Strikes71 of 137
0 of 0Takedowns3 of 6
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time4:49
Winvs. Rafael Dos AnjosUnanimous DecisionNov 5, 2016UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Tony FergusonRafael Dos Anjos
1719Fighter Elo Going In1636
1642Classic Elo Going In1629
199 of 401Significant Strikes121 of 276
200 of 402Total Strikes126 of 281
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:30
Winvs. Lando VannataSubmission · R2 2:22Jul 13, 2016UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonLando Vannata
1711Fighter Elo Going In1442
1632Classic Elo Going In1500
66 of 119Significant Strikes40 of 110
69 of 122Total Strikes42 of 112
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns1
3Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time1:09
Winvs. Edson BarbozaSubmission · R2 2:54Dec 11, 2015The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonEdson Barboza
1709Fighter Elo Going In1621
1617Classic Elo Going In1596
61 of 116Significant Strikes41 of 85
69 of 127Total Strikes45 of 91
0 of 2Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:20Control Time1:57
Winvs. Josh ThomsonUnanimous DecisionJul 15, 2015UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonJosh Thomson
1666Fighter Elo Going In1459
1606Classic Elo Going In1508
83 of 149Significant Strikes33 of 100
101 of 167Total Strikes35 of 102
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 6
1Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
1:46Control Time2:33
Winvs. Gleison TibauSubmission · R1 2:37Feb 28, 2015UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonGleison Tibau
1623Fighter Elo Going In1572
1589Classic Elo Going In1602
11 of 38Significant Strikes2 of 20
17 of 45Total Strikes2 of 20
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
0:46Control Time0:00
Winvs. Abel TrujilloSubmission · R2 4:19Dec 6, 2014UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonAbel Trujillo
1600Fighter Elo Going In1583
1575Classic Elo Going In1532
20 of 55Significant Strikes15 of 76
38 of 76Total Strikes16 of 77
1 of 1Takedowns2 of 5
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
2:02Control Time2:01
Winvs. Danny CastilloSplit DecisionAug 30, 2014UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonDanny Castillo
1623Fighter Elo Going In1563
1559Classic Elo Going In1559
23 of 80Significant Strikes23 of 105
71 of 130Total Strikes30 of 114
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 8
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
0:07Control Time9:29
Winvs. Katsunori KikunoKO/TKO · R1 4:06May 24, 2014UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonKatsunori Kikuno
1572Fighter Elo Going In1479
1544Classic Elo Going In1515
38 of 67Significant Strikes22 of 44
40 of 69Total Strikes23 of 46
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:37Control Time0:23
Winvs. Mike RioSubmission · R1 1:52Oct 19, 2013UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonMike Rio
1534Fighter Elo Going In1489
1530Classic Elo Going In1499
5 of 15Significant Strikes4 of 8
7 of 18Total Strikes4 of 8
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:18Control Time0:16
Lossvs. Michael JohnsonUnanimous DecisionMay 5, 2012UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonMichael Johnson
1640Fighter Elo Going In1435
1548Classic Elo Going In1502
45 of 176Significant Strikes67 of 183
45 of 176Total Strikes67 of 183
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:01
Winvs. Yves EdwardsUnanimous DecisionDec 3, 2011The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonYves Edwards
1651Fighter Elo Going In1497
1531Classic Elo Going In1551
61 of 232Significant Strikes45 of 150
62 of 234Total Strikes45 of 150
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:10Control Time0:03
Winvs. Aaron RileyTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R1 5:00Sep 24, 2011UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonAaron Riley
1595Fighter Elo Going In1363
1516Classic Elo Going In1492
31 of 82Significant Strikes11 of 49
31 of 82Total Strikes11 of 49
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00
Winvs. Ramsey NijemKO/TKO · R1 3:54Jun 4, 2011The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale

Ultimate Fighter 13 Welterweight Tournament Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Tony FergusonRamsey Nijem
1484Fighter Elo Going In1497
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
21 of 38Significant Strikes12 of 57
29 of 46Total Strikes13 of 58
2 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:15Control Time0:00