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Welterweight · Last Fought Mar 2022

Alex Oliveira

UFC Record
11-10
Age
38
Height
5'11"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1503Going Into Their Last Fight, Mar 2022
1695Best, Dec 2017
1500Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

140015001600170020162017201820192020202120221433 going into Gilbert Burns, Mar 20151509 going into KJ Noons, May 20151543 going into Joe Merritt, Jun 20151562 going into Piotr Hallmann, Nov 20151556 going into Donald Cerrone, Feb 20161573 going into James Moontasri, Jul 20161609 going into Will Brooks, Oct 20161657 going into Tim Means, Mar 20171673 going into Ryan LaFlare, Jul 20171695 going into Yancy Medeiros, Dec 20171667 going into Carlos Condit, Apr 20181670 going into Carlo Pedersoli Jr., Sep 20181668 going into Gunnar Nelson, Dec 20181638 going into Mike Perry, Apr 20191585 going into Nicolas Dalby, Sep 20191574 going into Max Griffin, Mar 20201567 going into Peter Sobotta, Jul 20201575 going into Shavkat Rakhmonov, Oct 20201551 going into Randy Brown, Apr 20211528 going into Niko Price, Oct 20211503 going into Kevin Holland, Mar 20221503
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1500After Their Last Fight, Mar 2022
1595Best, Dec 2018
1503Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

145015001550160020162017201820192020202120221500 going into Gilbert Burns, Mar 20151485 going into KJ Noons, May 20151503 going into Joe Merritt, Jun 20151519 going into Piotr Hallmann, Nov 20151534 going into Donald Cerrone, Feb 20161523 going into James Moontasri, Jul 20161538 going into Will Brooks, Oct 20161553 going into Tim Means, Mar 20171569 going into Ryan LaFlare, Jul 20171586 going into Yancy Medeiros, Dec 20171567 going into Carlos Condit, Apr 20181582 going into Carlo Pedersoli Jr., Sep 20181595 going into Gunnar Nelson, Dec 20181577 going into Mike Perry, Apr 20191559 going into Nicolas Dalby, Sep 20191539 going into Max Griffin, Mar 20201553 going into Peter Sobotta, Jul 20201566 going into Shavkat Rakhmonov, Oct 20201547 going into Randy Brown, Apr 20211531 going into Niko Price, Oct 20211514 going into Kevin Holland, Mar 20221500 after their last fight1500
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.99Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
51%Striking Accuracy
2.55Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
47%Striking Defense
0.43Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
2.35Takedowns per 15 Minutes
38%Takedown Accuracy
64%Takedown Defense
0.57Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
33%Share of Fight Time in Control
9.6 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins434
Losses253

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Kevin HollandKO/TKO · R2 0:38Mar 5, 2022UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraKevin Holland
1503Fighter Elo Going In1654
1514Classic Elo Going In1560
21 of 44Significant Strikes50 of 76
21 of 44Total Strikes51 of 77
2 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
0:22Control Time0:15
Lossvs. Niko PriceUnanimous DecisionOct 2, 2021UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraNiko Price
1528Fighter Elo Going In1420
1531Classic Elo Going In1519
65 of 112Significant Strikes64 of 116
83 of 131Total Strikes108 of 167
1 of 2Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:14Control Time4:50
Lossvs. Randy BrownSubmission · R1 2:50Apr 24, 2021UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraRandy Brown
1551Fighter Elo Going In1526
1547Classic Elo Going In1535
7 of 12Significant Strikes16 of 32
9 of 14Total Strikes23 of 39
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time1:23
Lossvs. Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission · R1 4:40Oct 24, 2020UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraShavkat Rakhmonov
1575Fighter Elo Going In1448
1566Classic Elo Going In1500
9 of 18Significant Strikes13 of 25
16 of 26Total Strikes32 of 44
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
2:04Control Time0:44
Winvs. Peter SobottaUnanimous DecisionJul 25, 2020UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraPeter Sobotta
1567Fighter Elo Going In1401
1553Classic Elo Going In1498
45 of 93Significant Strikes29 of 67
48 of 96Total Strikes30 of 68
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:26Control Time0:47
Winvs. Max GriffinSplit DecisionMar 7, 2020UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraMax Griffin
1574Fighter Elo Going In1535
1539Classic Elo Going In1481
40 of 77Significant Strikes23 of 50
61 of 98Total Strikes62 of 96
1 of 5Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:31Control Time5:35
Lossvs. Nicolas DalbyUnanimous DecisionSep 28, 2019UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraNicolas Dalby
1585Fighter Elo Going In1368
1559Classic Elo Going In1484
18 of 47Significant Strikes31 of 84
31 of 65Total Strikes64 of 122
3 of 4Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:56Control Time5:29
Lossvs. Mike PerryUnanimous DecisionApr 27, 2019UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraMike Perry
1638Fighter Elo Going In1563
1577Classic Elo Going In1523
48 of 137Significant Strikes65 of 110
50 of 139Total Strikes75 of 120
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:18Control Time2:09
Lossvs. Gunnar NelsonSubmission · R2 4:17Dec 8, 2018UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraGunnar Nelson
1668Fighter Elo Going In1537
1595Classic Elo Going In1562
36 of 49Significant Strikes11 of 11
52 of 69Total Strikes20 of 20
0 of 2Takedowns2 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
3:06Control Time4:43
Winvs. Carlo Pedersoli Jr.KO/TKO · R1 0:39Sep 22, 2018UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraCarlo Pedersoli Jr.
1670Fighter Elo Going In1464
1582Classic Elo Going In1515
7 of 10Significant Strikes2 of 4
10 of 13Total Strikes2 of 4
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:05Control Time0:00
Winvs. Carlos ConditSubmission · R2 3:17Apr 14, 2018UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraCarlos Condit
1667Fighter Elo Going In1561
1567Classic Elo Going In1527
9 of 23Significant Strikes12 of 18
22 of 37Total Strikes42 of 49
3 of 3Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
3:44Control Time2:52
Lossvs. Yancy MedeirosKO/TKO · R3 2:02Dec 2, 2017UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraYancy Medeiros
1695Fighter Elo Going In1471
1586Classic Elo Going In1534
93 of 161Significant Strikes75 of 151
96 of 164Total Strikes78 of 155
2 of 5Takedowns1 of 1
2Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
3:05Control Time1:07
Winvs. Ryan LaFlareKO/TKO · R2 1:50Jul 22, 2017UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraRyan LaFlare
1673Fighter Elo Going In1560
1569Classic Elo Going In1580
8 of 21Significant Strikes5 of 14
8 of 21Total Strikes8 of 17
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 2
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time4:19
Winvs. Tim MeansSubmission · R2 2:38Mar 11, 2017UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraTim Means
1657Fighter Elo Going In1604
1553Classic Elo Going In1561
12 of 24Significant Strikes9 of 12
18 of 31Total Strikes34 of 41
6 of 11Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
4:49Control Time2:01
Winvs. Will BrooksKO/TKO · R3 3:30Oct 1, 2016UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraWill Brooks
1609Fighter Elo Going In1618
1538Classic Elo Going In1519
48 of 59Significant Strikes16 of 17
80 of 102Total Strikes29 of 37
4 of 10Takedowns4 of 8
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
8:12Control Time3:44
Winvs. James MoontasriUnanimous DecisionJul 23, 2016UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraJames Moontasri
1573Fighter Elo Going In1491
1523Classic Elo Going In1503
58 of 78Significant Strikes12 of 26
156 of 196Total Strikes30 of 48
2 of 8Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
11:21Control Time1:19
Lossvs. Donald CerroneSubmission · R1 2:33Feb 21, 2016UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Alex OliveiraDonald Cerrone
1556Fighter Elo Going In1592
1534Classic Elo Going In1652
14 of 24Significant Strikes4 of 6
17 of 27Total Strikes7 of 10
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:51Control Time0:33
Winvs. Piotr HallmannKO/TKO · R3 0:51Nov 7, 2015UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraPiotr Hallmann
1562Fighter Elo Going In1582
1519Classic Elo Going In1488
42 of 109Significant Strikes36 of 71
54 of 121Total Strikes79 of 117
0 of 4Takedowns1 of 2
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:00Control Time3:29
Winvs. Joe MerrittUnanimous DecisionJun 27, 2015UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraJoe Merritt
1543Fighter Elo Going In1382
1503Classic Elo Going In1500
11 of 33Significant Strikes23 of 39
33 of 60Total Strikes34 of 50
5 of 16Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
10:24Control Time2:31
Winvs. KJ NoonsSubmission · R1 2:51May 30, 2015UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraKJ Noons
1509Fighter Elo Going In1418
1485Classic Elo Going In1522
3 of 13Significant Strikes7 of 11
4 of 14Total Strikes7 of 11
3 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:20Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Gilbert BurnsSubmission · R3 4:14Mar 21, 2015UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Alex OliveiraGilbert Burns
1433Fighter Elo Going In1599
1500Classic Elo Going In1531
29 of 76Significant Strikes17 of 44
31 of 80Total Strikes37 of 69
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
3:20Control Time4:03