Phins
Create Account
All Fighters
Welterweight · Active

Nicolas Dalby

UFC Record
8-5-1
Age
41
Height
5'11"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1366Today
1579Best, Apr 2016
1556Classic Elo
#319 Men: Pound for Pound#59 Welterweight
13001400150016002016201820202022202420261390 going into Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, May 20151529 going into Darren Till, Oct 20151579 going into Zak Cummings, Apr 20161482 going into Peter Sobotta, Sep 20161368 going into Alex Oliveira, Sep 20191387 going into Daniel Rodriguez, Nov 20201397 going into Tim Means, Jun 20211342 going into Claudio Silva, Jul 20221413 going into Warlley Alves, Jan 20231434 going into Muslim Salikhov, Jun 20231437 going into Gabriel Bonfim, Nov 20231438 going into Rinat Fakhretdinov, Jun 20241429 going into Randy Brown, Apr 20251383 going into Saygid Izagakhmaev, Nov 20251366 today1366
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1556Today
1573Best, Jun 2024
1366Fighter Elo
#150 Men: Pound for Pound#31 Welterweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

14501500155016002016201820202022202420261500 going into Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, May 20151516 going into Darren Till, Oct 20151516 going into Zak Cummings, Apr 20161501 going into Peter Sobotta, Sep 20161484 going into Alex Oliveira, Sep 20191503 going into Daniel Rodriguez, Nov 20201521 going into Tim Means, Jun 20211507 going into Claudio Silva, Jul 20221524 going into Warlley Alves, Jan 20231541 going into Muslim Salikhov, Jun 20231558 going into Gabriel Bonfim, Nov 20231573 going into Rinat Fakhretdinov, Jun 20241556 going into Randy Brown, Apr 20251542 going into Saygid Izagakhmaev, Nov 20251556 today1556
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.88Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
44%Striking Accuracy
3.51Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
52%Striking Defense
0.15Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.90Takedowns per 15 Minutes
27%Takedown Accuracy
59%Takedown Defense
0.07Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
23%Share of Fight Time in Control
13.3 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins107
Losses104

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Saygid IzagakhmaevSplit DecisionNov 22, 2025UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbySaygid Izagakhmaev
1383Fighter Elo Going In1340
1542Classic Elo Going In1500
26 of 63Significant Strikes20 of 34
87 of 140Total Strikes65 of 88
0 of 2Takedowns4 of 10
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
6:29Control Time5:18
Lossvs. Randy BrownKO/TKO · R2 1:39Apr 26, 2025UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyRandy Brown
1429Fighter Elo Going In1542
1556Classic Elo Going In1604
26 of 74Significant Strikes54 of 114
40 of 90Total Strikes58 of 118
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
1:22Control Time0:03
Lossvs. Rinat FakhretdinovSplit DecisionJun 22, 2024UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyRinat Fakhretdinov
1438Fighter Elo Going In1658
1573Classic Elo Going In1552
66 of 134Significant Strikes68 of 134
123 of 195Total Strikes99 of 173
0 of 4Takedowns5 of 11
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:57Control Time6:17
Winvs. Gabriel BonfimKO/TKO · R2 4:33Nov 4, 2023UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyGabriel Bonfim
1437Fighter Elo Going In1662
1558Classic Elo Going In1534
53 of 113Significant Strikes39 of 91
64 of 128Total Strikes47 of 103
0 of 1Takedowns3 of 5
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:27Control Time4:19
Winvs. Muslim SalikhovUnanimous DecisionJun 17, 2023UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyMuslim Salikhov
1434Fighter Elo Going In1542
1541Classic Elo Going In1571
86 of 140Significant Strikes57 of 88
104 of 158Total Strikes70 of 101
2 of 5Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
6:36Control Time0:55
Winvs. Warlley AlvesSplit DecisionJan 21, 2023UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyWarlley Alves
1413Fighter Elo Going In1485
1524Classic Elo Going In1539
119 of 248Significant Strikes66 of 144
167 of 298Total Strikes75 of 153
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:02Control Time2:09
Winvs. Claudio SilvaUnanimous DecisionJul 23, 2022UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyClaudio Silva
1342Fighter Elo Going In1360
1507Classic Elo Going In1541
45 of 94Significant Strikes11 of 21
61 of 114Total Strikes46 of 59
1 of 1Takedowns4 of 12
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
4:17Control Time7:17
Lossvs. Tim MeansUnanimous DecisionJun 26, 2021UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyTim Means
1397Fighter Elo Going In1523
1521Classic Elo Going In1555
54 of 116Significant Strikes53 of 93
84 of 146Total Strikes94 of 134
0 of 4Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:31Control Time8:03
Winvs. Daniel RodriguezUnanimous DecisionNov 21, 2020UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyDaniel Rodriguez
1387Fighter Elo Going In1507
1503Classic Elo Going In1548
50 of 147Significant Strikes83 of 199
58 of 155Total Strikes105 of 222
0 of 7Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:28Control Time0:41
Winvs. Alex OliveiraUnanimous DecisionSep 28, 2019UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyAlex Oliveira
1368Fighter Elo Going In1585
1484Classic Elo Going In1559
31 of 84Significant Strikes18 of 47
64 of 122Total Strikes31 of 65
1 of 4Takedowns3 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
5:29Control Time3:56
Lossvs. Peter SobottaUnanimous DecisionSep 3, 2016UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyPeter Sobotta
1482Fighter Elo Going In1450
1501Classic Elo Going In1475
14 of 52Significant Strikes38 of 76
48 of 87Total Strikes83 of 127
0 of 1Takedowns3 of 5
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:28Control Time10:22
Lossvs. Zak CummingsUnanimous DecisionApr 10, 2016UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyZak Cummings
1579Fighter Elo Going In1503
1516Classic Elo Going In1532
57 of 150Significant Strikes56 of 158
69 of 163Total Strikes77 of 183
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:07Control Time3:31
Drawvs. Darren TillMajority DecisionOct 24, 2015UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyDarren Till
1529Fighter Elo Going In1514
1516Classic Elo Going In1515
84 of 170Significant Strikes49 of 88
111 of 197Total Strikes49 of 88
2 of 4Takedowns0 of 3
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
3:43Control Time0:43
Winvs. Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosSplit DecisionMay 30, 2015UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nicolas DalbyElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
1390Fighter Elo Going In1350
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
41 of 139Significant Strikes57 of 131
50 of 150Total Strikes61 of 135
6 of 10Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:15Control Time0:36