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Lightweight · Active

Elves Brener

UFC Record
4-3
Age
29
Height
5'10"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1478Today
1554Best, May 2024
1515Classic Elo
140014501500155016002024202520261435 going into Zubaira Tukhugov, Feb 20231531 going into Guram Kutateladze, Jul 20231531 going into Kaynan Kruschewsky, Nov 20231554 going into Myktybek Orolbai, May 20241528 going into Joel Alvarez, Aug 20241454 going into Esteban Ribovics, Aug 20251427 going into Josiah Harrell, Sep 20261478 today1478
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1515Today
1548Best, May 2024
1478Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1450150015502024202520261500 going into Zubaira Tukhugov, Feb 20231518 going into Guram Kutateladze, Jul 20231533 going into Kaynan Kruschewsky, Nov 20231548 going into Myktybek Orolbai, May 20241530 going into Joel Alvarez, Aug 20241515 going into Esteban Ribovics, Aug 20251499 going into Josiah Harrell, Sep 20261515 today1515
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.82Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
48%Striking Accuracy
5.67Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
51%Striking Defense
0.56Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.94Takedowns per 15 Minutes
17%Takedown Accuracy
71%Takedown Defense
0.00Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
8%Share of Fight Time in Control
11.4 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins301
Losses102

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Josiah HarrellKO/TKO · R1 4:14Sep 26, 2026UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Elves BrenerJosiah Harrell
1427Fighter Elo Going In1397
1499Classic Elo Going In1485
25 of 36Significant Strikes9 of 21
28 of 39Total Strikes9 of 21
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:05Control Time0:33
Lossvs. Esteban RibovicsUnanimous DecisionAug 2, 2025UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Elves BrenerEsteban Ribovics
1454Fighter Elo Going In1480
1515Classic Elo Going In1521
118 of 250Significant Strikes122 of 281
123 of 256Total Strikes123 of 284
0 of 9Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time1:02
Lossvs. Joel AlvarezKO/TKO · R3 3:36Aug 3, 2024UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Elves BrenerJoel Alvarez
1528Fighter Elo Going In1519
1530Classic Elo Going In1547
45 of 97Significant Strikes95 of 141
45 of 98Total Strikes114 of 164
0 of 5Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:22Control Time0:51
Lossvs. Myktybek OrolbaiUnanimous DecisionMay 4, 2024UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Elves BrenerMyktybek Orolbai
1554Fighter Elo Going In1608
1548Classic Elo Going In1518
48 of 91Significant Strikes65 of 119
79 of 125Total Strikes83 of 138
3 of 6Takedowns5 of 17
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
2:55Control Time7:12
Winvs. Kaynan KruschewskyKO/TKO · R1 4:01Nov 4, 2023UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Elves BrenerKaynan Kruschewsky
1531Fighter Elo Going In1444
1533Classic Elo Going In1500
16 of 33Significant Strikes8 of 31
16 of 33Total Strikes8 of 31
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:03Control Time0:00
Winvs. Guram KutateladzeKO/TKO · R3 3:17Jul 1, 2023UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Elves BrenerGuram Kutateladze
1531Fighter Elo Going In1425
1518Classic Elo Going In1502
65 of 132Significant Strikes85 of 163
93 of 165Total Strikes99 of 177
2 of 7Takedowns1 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:48Control Time2:23
Winvs. Zubaira TukhugovSplit DecisionFeb 11, 2023UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Elves BrenerZubaira Tukhugov
1435Fighter Elo Going In1510
1500Classic Elo Going In1543
69 of 157Significant Strikes70 of 169
82 of 170Total Strikes73 of 172
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time2:11