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Welterweight · Active

Myktybek Orolbai

UFC Record
5-2
Age
28
Height
5'10"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1696Today
1550Classic Elo
14001500160017002024202520261432 going into Uros Medic, Nov 20231608 going into Elves Brener, May 20241683 going into Mateusz Rebecki, Oct 20241639 going into Tofiq Musayev, Jun 20251655 going into Jack Hermansson, Nov 20251672 going into Chris Curtis, Mar 20261686 going into Jeremiah Wells, Aug 20261696 today1696
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1550Today
1567Best, Aug 2026
1696Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1500155016002024202520261500 going into Uros Medic, Nov 20231518 going into Elves Brener, May 20241535 going into Mateusz Rebecki, Oct 20241519 going into Tofiq Musayev, Jun 20251534 going into Jack Hermansson, Nov 20251551 going into Chris Curtis, Mar 20261567 going into Jeremiah Wells, Aug 20261550 today1550
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.70Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
52%Striking Accuracy
2.50Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
53%Striking Defense
0.41Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
8.22Takedowns per 15 Minutes
60%Takedown Accuracy
36%Takedown Defense
0.41Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
54%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.4 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins122
Losses011

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Jeremiah WellsSubmission · R3 1:24Aug 15, 2026UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Myktybek OrolbaiJeremiah Wells
1686Fighter Elo Going In1579
1567Classic Elo Going In1546
26 of 35Significant Strikes16 of 45
67 of 83Total Strikes28 of 57
4 of 6Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
6:20Control Time0:23
Winvs. Chris CurtisUnanimous DecisionMar 14, 2026UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Myktybek OrolbaiChris Curtis
1672Fighter Elo Going In1488
1551Classic Elo Going In1538
20 of 28Significant Strikes12 of 31
83 of 102Total Strikes57 of 81
19 of 24Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
12:33Control Time0:06
Winvs. Jack HermanssonKO/TKO · R1 2:46Nov 22, 2025UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Myktybek OrolbaiJack Hermansson
1655Fighter Elo Going In1522
1534Classic Elo Going In1562
15 of 33Significant Strikes19 of 38
15 of 33Total Strikes19 of 38
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:03Control Time0:00
Winvs. Tofiq MusayevSubmission · R1 4:35Jun 21, 2025UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Myktybek OrolbaiTofiq Musayev
1639Fighter Elo Going In1374
1519Classic Elo Going In1500
2 of 7Significant Strikes2 of 6
15 of 25Total Strikes17 of 23
3 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
3:40Control Time0:12
Lossvs. Mateusz RebeckiSplit DecisionOct 26, 2024UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Myktybek OrolbaiMateusz Rebecki
1683Fighter Elo Going In1482
1535Classic Elo Going In1532
61 of 135Significant Strikes71 of 146
85 of 162Total Strikes93 of 174
2 of 5Takedowns3 of 4
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
2:05Control Time2:24
Winvs. Elves BrenerUnanimous DecisionMay 4, 2024UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Myktybek OrolbaiElves Brener
1608Fighter Elo Going In1554
1518Classic Elo Going In1548
65 of 119Significant Strikes48 of 91
83 of 138Total Strikes79 of 125
5 of 17Takedowns3 of 6
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
7:12Control Time2:55
Winvs. Uros MedicSubmission · R2 4:12Nov 18, 2023UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Myktybek OrolbaiUros Medic
1432Fighter Elo Going In1533
1500Classic Elo Going In1533
8 of 20Significant Strikes14 of 27
16 of 31Total Strikes17 of 32
7 of 10Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
7:26Control Time0:02