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Welterweight · Active

Michael Chiesa

UFC Record
15-7
Age
38
Height
6'1"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1584Today
1656Best, Aug 2021
1617Classic Elo
140015001600170020132015201720192021202320251524 going into Al Iaquinta, Jun 20121601 going into Anton Kuivanen, Feb 20131645 going into Jorge Masvidal, Jul 20131566 going into Colton Smith, Nov 20131594 going into Francisco Trinaldo, May 20141599 going into Joe Lauzon, Sep 20141557 going into Mitch Clarke, Apr 20151555 going into Jim Miller, Dec 20151579 going into Beneil Dariush, Apr 20161543 going into Kevin Lee, Jun 20171490 going into Anthony Pettis, Jul 20181521 going into Carlos Condit, Dec 20181562 going into Diego Sanchez, Jul 20191594 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Jan 20201597 going into Neil Magny, Jan 20211656 going into Vicente Luque, Aug 20211640 going into Sean Brady, Nov 20211575 going into Kevin Holland, Jul 20231528 going into Tony Ferguson, Aug 20241548 going into Max Griffin, Dec 20241559 going into Court McGee, Jun 20251590 going into Niko Price, Mar 20261584 today1584
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1617Today
1584Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015501600165020132015201720192021202320251500 going into Al Iaquinta, Jun 20121516 going into Anton Kuivanen, Feb 20131531 going into Jorge Masvidal, Jul 20131515 going into Colton Smith, Nov 20131530 going into Francisco Trinaldo, May 20141546 going into Joe Lauzon, Sep 20141530 going into Mitch Clarke, Apr 20151545 going into Jim Miller, Dec 20151564 going into Beneil Dariush, Apr 20161581 going into Kevin Lee, Jun 20171565 going into Anthony Pettis, Jul 20181548 going into Carlos Condit, Dec 20181562 going into Diego Sanchez, Jul 20191579 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Jan 20201597 going into Neil Magny, Jan 20211615 going into Vicente Luque, Aug 20211600 going into Sean Brady, Nov 20211582 going into Kevin Holland, Jul 20231566 going into Tony Ferguson, Aug 20241582 going into Max Griffin, Dec 20241596 going into Court McGee, Jun 20251607 going into Niko Price, Mar 20261617 today1617
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.02Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
41%Striking Accuracy
1.73Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
58%Striking Defense
0.07Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
3.11Takedowns per 15 Minutes
48%Takedown Accuracy
66%Takedown Defense
1.04Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
40%Share of Fight Time in Control
9.2 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins096
Losses151

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Niko PriceSubmission · R1 1:03Mar 28, 2026UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaNiko Price
1590Fighter Elo Going In1283
1607Classic Elo Going In1476
0 of 1Significant Strikes1 of 3
0 of 1Total Strikes1 of 3
1 of 2Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:23Control Time0:08
Winvs. Court McGeeUnanimous DecisionJun 14, 2025UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaCourt McGee
1559Fighter Elo Going In1391
1596Classic Elo Going In1486
72 of 160Significant Strikes39 of 145
81 of 169Total Strikes51 of 158
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 6
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:32Control Time0:45
Winvs. Max GriffinSubmission · R3 1:56Dec 7, 2024UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaMax Griffin
1548Fighter Elo Going In1501
1582Classic Elo Going In1530
13 of 39Significant Strikes10 of 34
54 of 87Total Strikes18 of 43
2 of 8Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
3:48Control Time1:19
Winvs. Tony FergusonSubmission · R1 3:44Aug 3, 2024UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaTony Ferguson
1528Fighter Elo Going In1315
1566Classic Elo Going In1564
4 of 25Significant Strikes10 of 18
4 of 25Total Strikes10 of 18
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:34Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Kevin HollandSubmission · R1 2:39Jul 29, 2023UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaKevin Holland
1575Fighter Elo Going In1618
1582Classic Elo Going In1575
4 of 11Significant Strikes9 of 16
6 of 13Total Strikes12 of 19
0 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:15Control Time0:40
Lossvs. Sean BradyUnanimous DecisionNov 20, 2021UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaSean Brady
1640Fighter Elo Going In1704
1600Classic Elo Going In1565
29 of 57Significant Strikes18 of 42
71 of 107Total Strikes51 of 80
1 of 1Takedowns5 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:53Control Time7:45
Lossvs. Vicente LuqueSubmission · R1 3:25Aug 7, 2021UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaVicente Luque
1656Fighter Elo Going In1573
1615Classic Elo Going In1638
4 of 12Significant Strikes7 of 12
6 of 16Total Strikes8 of 13
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts1
1:01Control Time0:10
Winvs. Neil MagnyUnanimous DecisionJan 20, 2021UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Michael ChiesaNeil Magny
1597Fighter Elo Going In1639
1597Classic Elo Going In1648
24 of 52Significant Strikes12 of 50
93 of 125Total Strikes52 of 96
4 of 6Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
15:21Control Time2:15
Winvs. Rafael Dos AnjosUnanimous DecisionJan 25, 2020UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaRafael Dos Anjos
1594Fighter Elo Going In1636
1579Classic Elo Going In1618
9 of 51Significant Strikes14 of 36
54 of 107Total Strikes23 of 52
6 of 8Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
10:13Control Time0:42
Winvs. Diego SanchezUnanimous DecisionJul 6, 2019UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaDiego Sanchez
1562Fighter Elo Going In1400
1562Classic Elo Going In1571
47 of 67Significant Strikes7 of 11
98 of 132Total Strikes23 of 31
5 of 6Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
11:45Control Time2:24
Winvs. Carlos ConditSubmission · R2 0:56Dec 29, 2018UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaCarlos Condit
1521Fighter Elo Going In1540
1548Classic Elo Going In1513
10 of 22Significant Strikes5 of 24
16 of 33Total Strikes20 of 39
4 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
4:10Control Time0:18
Lossvs. Anthony PettisSubmission · R2 0:52Jul 7, 2018UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaAnthony Pettis
1490Fighter Elo Going In1606
1565Classic Elo Going In1541
12 of 26Significant Strikes9 of 22
19 of 35Total Strikes13 of 26
2 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
2:39Control Time1:03
Lossvs. Kevin LeeSubmission · R1 4:37Jun 25, 2017UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Michael ChiesaKevin Lee
1543Fighter Elo Going In1683
1581Classic Elo Going In1594
4 of 9Significant Strikes22 of 30
9 of 14Total Strikes37 of 45
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:08Control Time3:34
Winvs. Beneil DariushSubmission · R2 1:20Apr 16, 2016UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaBeneil Dariush
1579Fighter Elo Going In1636
1564Classic Elo Going In1584
11 of 52Significant Strikes27 of 53
12 of 53Total Strikes27 of 53
1 of 2Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
1:16Control Time1:00
Winvs. Jim MillerSubmission · R2 2:57Dec 10, 2015UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaJim Miller
1555Fighter Elo Going In1554
1545Classic Elo Going In1606
13 of 30Significant Strikes7 of 15
33 of 55Total Strikes19 of 31
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
4:13Control Time2:27
Winvs. Mitch ClarkeUnanimous DecisionApr 4, 2015UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaMitch Clarke
1557Fighter Elo Going In1378
1530Classic Elo Going In1504
59 of 128Significant Strikes65 of 120
98 of 173Total Strikes81 of 141
4 of 7Takedowns0 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
5:23Control Time2:35
Lossvs. Joe LauzonTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R2 2:14Sep 5, 2014UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaJoe Lauzon
1599Fighter Elo Going In1453
1546Classic Elo Going In1549
30 of 57Significant Strikes21 of 41
42 of 70Total Strikes42 of 66
1 of 4Takedowns2 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:23Control Time2:43
Winvs. Francisco TrinaldoUnanimous DecisionMay 24, 2014UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaFrancisco Trinaldo
1594Fighter Elo Going In1469
1530Classic Elo Going In1530
19 of 70Significant Strikes13 of 34
121 of 208Total Strikes23 of 44
2 of 7Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
8:51Control Time0:00
Winvs. Colton SmithSubmission · R2 1:41Nov 6, 2013UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaColton Smith
1566Fighter Elo Going In1511
1515Classic Elo Going In1500
7 of 19Significant Strikes4 of 18
9 of 21Total Strikes13 of 27
1 of 2Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts1
1:21Control Time3:10
Lossvs. Jorge MasvidalSubmission · R2 4:59Jul 27, 2013UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaJorge Masvidal
1645Fighter Elo Going In1656
1531Classic Elo Going In1517
24 of 53Significant Strikes24 of 38
35 of 66Total Strikes66 of 86
2 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
2:42Control Time3:12
Winvs. Anton KuivanenSubmission · R2 2:29Feb 23, 2013UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaAnton Kuivanen
1601Fighter Elo Going In1497
1516Classic Elo Going In1500
5 of 50Significant Strikes18 of 55
9 of 54Total Strikes18 of 55
1 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
2:07Control Time0:50
Winvs. Al IaquintaSubmission · R1 2:47Jun 1, 2012The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale

Ultimate Fighter 15 Lightweight Tournament Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Michael ChiesaAl Iaquinta
1524Fighter Elo Going In1485
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
9 of 15Significant Strikes8 of 16
9 of 15Total Strikes8 of 16
1 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:05Control Time0:00