Tom Nolan
- UFC Record
- 5-1
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 6'3"
- Reach
- 73"
- Stance
- Southpaw
Fighter Elo
The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.
Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.
How Fighter Elo Works
Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.
Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.
Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.
Career Numbers
Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.
| Ended By | KO/TKO | Submission | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Fight History
Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.
Winvs. Fares ZiamUnanimous DecisionJun 6, 2026UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Tom Nolan | Fares Ziam | |
|---|---|---|
| 1500 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1679 |
| 1546 | Classic Elo Going In | 1594 |
| 31 of 66 | Significant Strikes | 16 of 32 |
| 65 of 116 | Total Strikes | 48 of 70 |
| 2 of 6 | Takedowns | 3 of 5 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 0 |
| 0 | Submission Attempts | 1 |
| 6:47 | Control Time | 5:07 |
Winvs. Charlie CampbellSubmission · R1 4:08Sep 27, 2025UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Tom Nolan | Charlie Campbell | |
|---|---|---|
| 1442 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1448 |
| 1530 | Classic Elo Going In | 1531 |
| 26 of 61 | Significant Strikes | 15 of 42 |
| 33 of 69 | Total Strikes | 15 of 42 |
| 1 of 1 | Takedowns | 0 of 1 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 0 |
| 1 | Submission Attempts | 0 |
| 0:34 | Control Time | 0:18 |
Winvs. Viacheslav BorshchevUnanimous DecisionFeb 8, 2025UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Tom Nolan | Viacheslav Borshchev | |
|---|---|---|
| 1412 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1393 |
| 1514 | Classic Elo Going In | 1502 |
| 69 of 175 | Significant Strikes | 66 of 118 |
| 111 of 236 | Total Strikes | 92 of 163 |
| 1 of 8 | Takedowns | 0 of 0 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 0 |
| 3 | Submission Attempts | 1 |
| 2:01 | Control Time | 3:11 |
Winvs. Alex ReyesUnanimous DecisionAug 17, 2024UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Tom Nolan | Alex Reyes | |
|---|---|---|
| 1489 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1213 |
| 1499 | Classic Elo Going In | 1470 |
| 84 of 176 | Significant Strikes | 69 of 140 |
| 104 of 198 | Total Strikes | 89 of 161 |
| 0 of 0 | Takedowns | 2 of 5 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 0 |
| 1 | Submission Attempts | 0 |
| 0:22 | Control Time | 4:16 |
Winvs. Victor MartinezKO/TKO · R1 3:50May 18, 2024UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Tom Nolan | Victor Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| 1449 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1339 |
| 1483 | Classic Elo Going In | 1485 |
| 33 of 64 | Significant Strikes | 18 of 26 |
| 41 of 72 | Total Strikes | 20 of 29 |
| 0 of 0 | Takedowns | 0 of 1 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 1 |
| 0 | Submission Attempts | 0 |
| 0:02 | Control Time | 0:48 |
Lossvs. Nikolas MottaKO/TKO · R1 1:03Jan 13, 2024UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds
| Tom Nolan | Nikolas Motta | |
|---|---|---|
| 1524 | Fighter Elo Going In | 1382 |
| 1500 | Classic Elo Going In | 1487 |
| 12 of 20 | Significant Strikes | 21 of 40 |
| 12 of 20 | Total Strikes | 21 of 40 |
| 0 of 0 | Takedowns | 0 of 0 |
| 0 | Knockdowns | 1 |
| 0 | Submission Attempts | 0 |
| 0:00 | Control Time | 0:09 |