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Welterweight · Active

Daniel Rodriguez

UFC Record
10-5
Age
39
Height
6'1"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1450Today
1601Best, Aug 2020
1577Classic Elo
130014001500160017002021202220232024202520261357 going into Tim Means, Feb 20201518 going into Gabe Green, May 20201601 going into Dwight Grant, Aug 20201507 going into Nicolas Dalby, Nov 20201541 going into Mike Perry, Apr 20211557 going into Preston Parsons, Jul 20211553 going into Kevin Lee, Aug 20211541 going into Li Jingliang, Sep 20221575 going into Neil Magny, Nov 20221576 going into Ian Machado Garry, May 20231470 going into Kelvin Gastelum, Jun 20241494 going into Alex Morono, Oct 20241502 going into Santiago Ponzinibbio, May 20251511 going into Kevin Holland, Jul 20251453 going into Uros Medic, Aug 20261450 today1450
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1577Today
1594Best, Aug 2026
1450Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

1500155016002021202220232024202520261500 going into Tim Means, Feb 20201518 going into Gabe Green, May 20201533 going into Dwight Grant, Aug 20201548 going into Nicolas Dalby, Nov 20201530 going into Mike Perry, Apr 20211546 going into Preston Parsons, Jul 20211560 going into Kevin Lee, Aug 20211577 going into Li Jingliang, Sep 20221593 going into Neil Magny, Nov 20221579 going into Ian Machado Garry, May 20231562 going into Kelvin Gastelum, Jun 20241545 going into Alex Morono, Oct 20241562 going into Santiago Ponzinibbio, May 20251579 going into Kevin Holland, Jul 20251594 going into Uros Medic, Aug 20261577 today1577
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

7.18Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
49%Striking Accuracy
5.36Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
57%Striking Defense
0.64Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.18Takedowns per 15 Minutes
29%Takedown Accuracy
64%Takedown Defense
0.09Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
5%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.9 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins316
Losses212

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Uros MedicKO/TKO · R1 0:30Aug 1, 2026UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Daniel RodriguezUros Medic
1453Fighter Elo Going In1516
1594Classic Elo Going In1564
1 of 3Significant Strikes11 of 14
1 of 3Total Strikes11 of 14
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:04
Winvs. Kevin HollandUnanimous DecisionJul 19, 2025UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezKevin Holland
1511Fighter Elo Going In1550
1579Classic Elo Going In1573
77 of 149Significant Strikes82 of 173
111 of 189Total Strikes111 of 207
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 4
2Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
3:34Control Time2:07
Winvs. Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO · R3 1:12May 3, 2025UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezSantiago Ponzinibbio
1502Fighter Elo Going In1490
1562Classic Elo Going In1570
66 of 166Significant Strikes49 of 111
70 of 170Total Strikes50 of 115
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 8
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:08Control Time0:44
Winvs. Alex MoronoSplit DecisionOct 12, 2024UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezAlex Morono
1494Fighter Elo Going In1435
1545Classic Elo Going In1565
123 of 257Significant Strikes74 of 257
126 of 260Total Strikes91 of 276
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:56Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Kelvin GastelumUnanimous DecisionJun 22, 2024UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov

Middleweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezKelvin Gastelum
1470Fighter Elo Going In1508
1562Classic Elo Going In1548
127 of 265Significant Strikes112 of 238
132 of 273Total Strikes123 of 250
0 of 0Takedowns4 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time2:47
Lossvs. Ian Machado GarryKO/TKO · R1 2:57May 13, 2023UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezIan Machado Garry
1576Fighter Elo Going In1636
1579Classic Elo Going In1560
7 of 25Significant Strikes23 of 46
7 of 25Total Strikes23 of 46
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:10
Lossvs. Neil MagnySubmission · R3 3:33Nov 5, 2022UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezNeil Magny
1575Fighter Elo Going In1538
1593Classic Elo Going In1632
66 of 108Significant Strikes57 of 109
71 of 113Total Strikes106 of 169
0 of 1Takedowns5 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
1:16Control Time4:08
Winvs. Li JingliangSplit DecisionSep 10, 2022UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson

Catch Weight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezLi Jingliang
1541Fighter Elo Going In1473
1577Classic Elo Going In1585
88 of 185Significant Strikes78 of 175
89 of 186Total Strikes78 of 175
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:02
Winvs. Kevin LeeUnanimous DecisionAug 28, 2021UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezKevin Lee
1553Fighter Elo Going In1645
1560Classic Elo Going In1581
120 of 210Significant Strikes56 of 160
137 of 229Total Strikes74 of 181
0 of 0Takedowns3 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:45Control Time3:34
Winvs. Preston ParsonsKO/TKO · R1 3:47Jul 17, 2021UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezPreston Parsons
1557Fighter Elo Going In1366
1546Classic Elo Going In1500
45 of 83Significant Strikes23 of 43
46 of 84Total Strikes24 of 44
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:09Control Time0:15
Winvs. Mike PerryUnanimous DecisionApr 10, 2021UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezMike Perry
1541Fighter Elo Going In1527
1530Classic Elo Going In1515
129 of 235Significant Strikes61 of 132
145 of 252Total Strikes65 of 137
0 of 1Takedowns2 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time2:49
Lossvs. Nicolas DalbyUnanimous DecisionNov 21, 2020UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezNicolas Dalby
1507Fighter Elo Going In1387
1548Classic Elo Going In1503
83 of 199Significant Strikes50 of 147
105 of 222Total Strikes58 of 155
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:41Control Time1:28
Winvs. Dwight GrantKO/TKO · R1 2:24Aug 22, 2020UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezDwight Grant
1601Fighter Elo Going In1478
1533Classic Elo Going In1519
15 of 32Significant Strikes30 of 68
15 of 32Total Strikes31 of 72
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
3Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:53
Winvs. Gabe GreenUnanimous DecisionMay 30, 2020UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezGabe Green
1518Fighter Elo Going In1372
1518Classic Elo Going In1500
175 of 344Significant Strikes127 of 273
175 of 345Total Strikes127 of 273
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:27Control Time0:11
Winvs. Tim MeansSubmission · R2 3:37Feb 15, 2020UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Daniel RodriguezTim Means
1357Fighter Elo Going In1524
1500Classic Elo Going In1541
49 of 121Significant Strikes41 of 95
49 of 121Total Strikes41 of 95
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 3
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:05Control Time0:11