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Lightweight · Active

Matt Frevola

UFC Record
5-6-1
Age
36
Height
5'9"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1305Today
1556Best, Jan 2018
1493Classic Elo
#370 Men: Pound for Pound#78 Lightweight
130014001500160020192021202320251556 going into Marco Polo Reyes, Jan 20181530 going into Lando Vannata, Nov 20181546 going into Jalin Turner, Apr 20191439 going into Luis Pena, Oct 20191400 going into Arman Tsarukyan, Jan 20211409 going into Terrance McKinney, Jun 20211371 going into Genaro Valdez, Jan 20221481 going into Ottman Azaitar, Nov 20221474 going into Drew Dober, May 20231486 going into Benoit Saint Denis, Nov 20231449 going into Fares Ziam, Sep 20241325 going into Kyle Nelson, Oct 20251305 today1305
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1493Today
1540Best, Nov 2023
1305Fighter Elo
#319 Men: Pound for Pound#67 Lightweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

14501500155020192021202320251500 going into Marco Polo Reyes, Jan 20181485 going into Lando Vannata, Nov 20181485 going into Jalin Turner, Apr 20191502 going into Luis Pena, Oct 20191519 going into Arman Tsarukyan, Jan 20211504 going into Terrance McKinney, Jun 20211487 going into Genaro Valdez, Jan 20221504 going into Ottman Azaitar, Nov 20221521 going into Drew Dober, May 20231540 going into Benoit Saint Denis, Nov 20231525 going into Fares Ziam, Sep 20241510 going into Kyle Nelson, Oct 20251493 today1493
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.38Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
40%Striking Accuracy
3.90Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
57%Striking Defense
0.90Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
2.24Takedowns per 15 Minutes
40%Takedown Accuracy
38%Takedown Defense
0.60Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
15%Share of Fight Time in Control
8.4 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins302
Losses402

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Kyle NelsonUnanimous DecisionOct 18, 2025UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt FrevolaKyle Nelson
1325Fighter Elo Going In1327
1510Classic Elo Going In1499
43 of 136Significant Strikes63 of 135
60 of 155Total Strikes92 of 170
2 of 3Takedowns2 of 5
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
1:58Control Time3:11
Lossvs. Fares ZiamKO/TKO · R3 2:59Sep 28, 2024UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt FrevolaFares Ziam
1449Fighter Elo Going In1575
1525Classic Elo Going In1548
16 of 59Significant Strikes58 of 94
25 of 72Total Strikes69 of 107
1 of 3Takedowns4 of 4
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts1
2:47Control Time4:43
Lossvs. Benoit Saint DenisKO/TKO · R1 1:31Nov 11, 2023UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt FrevolaBenoit Saint Denis
1486Fighter Elo Going In1657
1540Classic Elo Going In1551
5 of 9Significant Strikes6 of 11
7 of 12Total Strikes10 of 15
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:25Control Time0:19
Winvs. Drew DoberKO/TKO · R1 4:08May 6, 2023UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt FrevolaDrew Dober
1474Fighter Elo Going In1436
1521Classic Elo Going In1581
35 of 75Significant Strikes20 of 59
39 of 79Total Strikes20 of 59
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:08Control Time0:00
Winvs. Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO · R1 2:30Nov 12, 2022UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt FrevolaOttman Azaitar
1481Fighter Elo Going In1533
1504Classic Elo Going In1532
11 of 27Significant Strikes10 of 22
12 of 28Total Strikes11 of 23
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00
Winvs. Genaro ValdezKO/TKO · R1 3:15Jan 22, 2022UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt FrevolaGenaro Valdez
1371Fighter Elo Going In1470
1487Classic Elo Going In1500
60 of 101Significant Strikes10 of 38
71 of 114Total Strikes10 of 38
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
4Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:07Control Time0:08
Lossvs. Terrance McKinneyKO/TKO · R1 0:07Jun 12, 2021UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt FrevolaTerrance McKinney
1409Fighter Elo Going In1346
1504Classic Elo Going In1500
0 of 0Significant Strikes4 of 5
0 of 0Total Strikes5 of 7
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:03
Lossvs. Arman TsarukyanUnanimous DecisionJan 23, 2021UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt FrevolaArman Tsarukyan
1400Fighter Elo Going In1686
1519Classic Elo Going In1523
16 of 57Significant Strikes50 of 103
51 of 97Total Strikes103 of 180
0 of 2Takedowns10 of 12
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time8:24
Winvs. Luis PenaSplit DecisionOct 12, 2019UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt FrevolaLuis Pena
1439Fighter Elo Going In1632
1502Classic Elo Going In1534
48 of 110Significant Strikes51 of 120
51 of 115Total Strikes60 of 129
4 of 7Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts2
2:50Control Time1:05
Winvs. Jalin TurnerUnanimous DecisionApr 13, 2019UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt FrevolaJalin Turner
1546Fighter Elo Going In1617
1485Classic Elo Going In1503
31 of 77Significant Strikes35 of 116
49 of 95Total Strikes42 of 124
4 of 13Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts1
5:05Control Time1:06
Drawvs. Lando VannataMajority DecisionNov 3, 2018UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt FrevolaLando Vannata
1530Fighter Elo Going In1546
1485Classic Elo Going In1479
66 of 176Significant Strikes67 of 164
66 of 177Total Strikes80 of 177
2 of 6Takedowns1 of 5
0Knockdowns2
1Submission Attempts1
0:41Control Time0:20
Lossvs. Marco Polo ReyesKO/TKO · R1 1:00Jan 14, 2018UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Matt FrevolaMarco Polo Reyes
1556Fighter Elo Going In1439
1500Classic Elo Going In1530
9 of 30Significant Strikes18 of 39
9 of 30Total Strikes19 of 40
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:00