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Featherweight · Active

Melquizael Costa

UFC Record
7-3
Age
30
Height
5'10"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1536Today
1596Best, May 2026
1569Classic Elo
13001400150016002024202520261404 going into Thiago Moises, Jan 20231397 going into Austin Lingo, Jul 20231517 going into Steve Garcia, Dec 20231459 going into Shayilan Nuerdanbieke, Jun 20241505 going into Andre Fili, Feb 20251541 going into Christian Rodriguez, Mar 20251523 going into Julian Erosa, May 20251562 going into Morgan Charriere, Dec 20251570 going into Dan Ige, Feb 20261596 going into Arnold Allen, May 20261536 today1536
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1569Today
1584Best, May 2026
1536Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

14501500155016002024202520261500 going into Thiago Moises, Jan 20231485 going into Austin Lingo, Jul 20231502 going into Steve Garcia, Dec 20231487 going into Shayilan Nuerdanbieke, Jun 20241504 going into Andre Fili, Feb 20251521 going into Christian Rodriguez, Mar 20251539 going into Julian Erosa, May 20251555 going into Morgan Charriere, Dec 20251569 going into Dan Ige, Feb 20261584 going into Arnold Allen, May 20261569 today1569
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.29Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
47%Striking Accuracy
3.19Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
50%Striking Defense
0.28Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.53Takedowns per 15 Minutes
36%Takedown Accuracy
51%Takedown Defense
0.84Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
17%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins223
Losses111

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Arnold AllenUnanimous DecisionMay 16, 2026UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Melquizael CostaArnold Allen
1596Fighter Elo Going In1551
1584Classic Elo Going In1606
100 of 254Significant Strikes98 of 152
118 of 280Total Strikes156 of 222
0 of 4Takedowns7 of 7
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
1:45Control Time9:28
Winvs. Dan IgeKO/TKO · R1 4:56Feb 21, 2026UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Melquizael CostaDan Ige
1570Fighter Elo Going In1500
1569Classic Elo Going In1533
19 of 40Significant Strikes7 of 11
26 of 48Total Strikes12 of 16
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 3
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:32Control Time1:31
Winvs. Morgan CharriereKO/TKO · R1 1:14Dec 13, 2025UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Melquizael CostaMorgan Charriere
1562Fighter Elo Going In1514
1555Classic Elo Going In1520
4 of 9Significant Strikes2 of 4
4 of 9Total Strikes2 of 4
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00
Winvs. Julian ErosaUnanimous DecisionMay 17, 2025UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Melquizael CostaJulian Erosa
1523Fighter Elo Going In1396
1539Classic Elo Going In1550
102 of 204Significant Strikes69 of 173
128 of 236Total Strikes85 of 202
2 of 3Takedowns3 of 10
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:23Control Time3:34
Winvs. Christian RodriguezUnanimous DecisionMar 29, 2025UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Melquizael CostaChristian Rodriguez
1541Fighter Elo Going In1595
1521Classic Elo Going In1547
65 of 105Significant Strikes64 of 98
159 of 208Total Strikes77 of 113
1 of 2Takedowns6 of 15
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
4:53Control Time6:48
Winvs. Andre FiliSubmission · R1 4:30Feb 22, 2025UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Melquizael CostaAndre Fili
1505Fighter Elo Going In1422
1504Classic Elo Going In1535
27 of 56Significant Strikes7 of 24
27 of 56Total Strikes7 of 24
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:24
Winvs. Shayilan NuerdanbiekeSubmission · R3 1:50Jun 15, 2024UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Melquizael CostaShayilan Nuerdanbieke
1459Fighter Elo Going In1388
1487Classic Elo Going In1511
16 of 35Significant Strikes6 of 8
76 of 106Total Strikes20 of 28
2 of 2Takedowns4 of 10
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts1
3:00Control Time6:26
Lossvs. Steve GarciaKO/TKO · R2 1:01Dec 9, 2023UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Melquizael CostaSteve Garcia
1517Fighter Elo Going In1508
1502Classic Elo Going In1519
6 of 10Significant Strikes29 of 49
20 of 25Total Strikes41 of 66
2 of 10Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
4:41Control Time0:46
Winvs. Austin LingoUnanimous DecisionJul 15, 2023UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva

Featherweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Melquizael CostaAustin Lingo
1397Fighter Elo Going In1385
1485Classic Elo Going In1501
100 of 220Significant Strikes39 of 139
108 of 236Total Strikes39 of 140
3 of 8Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
2:44Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Thiago MoisesSubmission · R2 4:05Jan 21, 2023UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Melquizael CostaThiago Moises
1404Fighter Elo Going In1519
1500Classic Elo Going In1527
23 of 50Significant Strikes22 of 33
43 of 71Total Strikes45 of 58
0 of 0Takedowns4 of 7
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:02Control Time5:31