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Light Heavyweight · Last Fought Jul 2020

Rogerio Nogueira

UFC Record
6-7
Age
50
Height
6'2"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1267Going Into Their Last Fight, Jul 2020
1512Best, Mar 2011
1505Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

120013001400150016002010201220142016201820201373 going into Luiz Cane, Nov 20091488 going into Jason Brilz, May 20101512 going into Ryan Bader, Sep 20101512 going into Phil Davis, Mar 20111497 going into Tito Ortiz, Dec 20111489 going into Rashad Evans, Feb 20131485 going into Anthony Johnson, Jul 20141400 going into Mauricio Rua, Aug 20151417 going into Patrick Cummins, May 20161465 going into Ryan Bader, Nov 20161288 going into Sam Alvey, Sep 20181335 going into Ryan Spann, May 20191267 going into Mauricio Rua, Jul 20201267
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1505After Their Last Fight, Jul 2020
1546Best, Jul 2014
1267Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015502010201220142016201820201500 going into Luiz Cane, Nov 20091518 going into Jason Brilz, May 20101534 going into Ryan Bader, Sep 20101519 going into Phil Davis, Mar 20111505 going into Tito Ortiz, Dec 20111524 going into Rashad Evans, Feb 20131546 going into Anthony Johnson, Jul 20141531 going into Mauricio Rua, Aug 20151513 going into Patrick Cummins, May 20161529 going into Ryan Bader, Nov 20161518 going into Sam Alvey, Sep 20181536 going into Ryan Spann, May 20191520 going into Mauricio Rua, Jul 20201505 after their last fight1505
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.78Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
37%Striking Accuracy
3.23Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
55%Striking Defense
0.49Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.12Takedowns per 15 Minutes
100%Takedown Accuracy
64%Takedown Defense
0.24Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
5%Share of Fight Time in Control
9.4 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins402
Losses304

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Lossvs. Mauricio RuaSplit DecisionJul 25, 2020UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraMauricio Rua
1267Fighter Elo Going In1446
1520Classic Elo Going In1546
46 of 100Significant Strikes54 of 103
75 of 129Total Strikes78 of 129
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:21Control Time2:57
Lossvs. Ryan SpannKO/TKO · R1 2:07May 11, 2019UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraRyan Spann
1335Fighter Elo Going In1516
1536Classic Elo Going In1515
6 of 24Significant Strikes13 of 32
6 of 24Total Strikes13 of 32
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time0:44
Winvs. Sam AlveyKO/TKO · R2 1:00Sep 22, 2018UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraSam Alvey
1288Fighter Elo Going In1572
1518Classic Elo Going In1575
26 of 52Significant Strikes34 of 82
26 of 53Total Strikes34 of 82
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:03Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Ryan BaderKO/TKO · R3 3:51Nov 19, 2016UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraRyan Bader
1465Fighter Elo Going In1691
1529Classic Elo Going In1628
3 of 12Significant Strikes86 of 116
12 of 23Total Strikes129 of 164
0 of 0Takedowns5 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:00Control Time11:18
Winvs. Patrick CumminsKO/TKO · R1 4:52May 14, 2016UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraPatrick Cummins
1417Fighter Elo Going In1610
1513Classic Elo Going In1520
30 of 58Significant Strikes12 of 36
36 of 65Total Strikes14 of 38
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 2
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:12Control Time0:11
Lossvs. Mauricio RuaUnanimous DecisionAug 1, 2015UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraMauricio Rua
1400Fighter Elo Going In1568
1531Classic Elo Going In1499
63 of 166Significant Strikes53 of 98
73 of 177Total Strikes82 of 130
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 5
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:14Control Time4:19
Lossvs. Anthony JohnsonKO/TKO · R1 0:44Jul 26, 2014UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraAnthony Johnson
1485Fighter Elo Going In1654
1546Classic Elo Going In1566
0 of 2Significant Strikes8 of 17
0 of 2Total Strikes8 of 17
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:01
Winvs. Rashad EvansUnanimous DecisionFeb 2, 2013UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraRashad Evans
1489Fighter Elo Going In1752
1524Classic Elo Going In1645
40 of 152Significant Strikes22 of 81
40 of 152Total Strikes22 of 81
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:15
Winvs. Tito OrtizKO/TKO · R1 3:15Dec 10, 2011UFC 140: Jones vs Machida

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraTito Ortiz
1497Fighter Elo Going In1542
1505Classic Elo Going In1573
54 of 90Significant Strikes9 of 17
80 of 119Total Strikes13 of 21
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:37Control Time0:56
Lossvs. Phil DavisUnanimous DecisionMar 26, 2011UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraPhil Davis
1512Fighter Elo Going In1803
1519Classic Elo Going In1560
8 of 54Significant Strikes42 of 101
16 of 68Total Strikes72 of 143
0 of 0Takedowns4 of 11
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time6:09
Lossvs. Ryan BaderUnanimous DecisionSep 25, 2010UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraRyan Bader
1512Fighter Elo Going In1703
1534Classic Elo Going In1561
28 of 127Significant Strikes42 of 127
39 of 138Total Strikes66 of 161
0 of 0Takedowns5 of 16
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:06Control Time3:42
Winvs. Jason BrilzSplit DecisionMay 29, 2010UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraJason Brilz
1488Fighter Elo Going In1499
1518Classic Elo Going In1531
23 of 67Significant Strikes18 of 50
42 of 90Total Strikes41 of 80
1 of 1Takedowns3 of 13
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts3
2:53Control Time4:55
Winvs. Luiz CaneKO/TKO · R1 1:56Nov 21, 2009UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Rogerio NogueiraLuiz Cane
1373Fighter Elo Going In1598
1500Classic Elo Going In1533
14 of 28Significant Strikes3 of 14
15 of 30Total Strikes3 of 14
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:00