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Light Heavyweight · Last Fought Nov 2016

Ryan Bader

UFC Record
15-5
Age
43
Height
6'2"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1691Going Into Their Last Fight, Nov 2016
1741Best, Jan 2016
1640Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

150016001700180020092011201320151516 going into Vinny Magalhaes, Dec 20081598 going into Carmelo Marrero, Apr 20091696 going into Eric Schafer, Oct 20091651 going into Keith Jardine, Feb 20101703 going into Rogerio Nogueira, Sep 20101724 going into Jon Jones, Feb 20111654 going into Tito Ortiz, Jul 20111631 going into Jason Brilz, Nov 20111652 going into Quinton Jackson, Feb 20121694 going into Lyoto Machida, Aug 20121639 going into Vladimir Matyushenko, Jan 20131670 going into Glover Teixeira, Sep 20131647 going into Anthony Perosh, Dec 20131678 going into Rafael Cavalcante, Jun 20141695 going into Ovince Saint Preux, Aug 20141704 going into Phil Davis, Jan 20151715 going into Rashad Evans, Oct 20151741 going into Anthony Johnson, Jan 20161682 going into Ilir Latifi, Sep 20161691 going into Rogerio Nogueira, Nov 20161691
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1640After Their Last Fight, Nov 2016
1691Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015501600165020092011201320151500 going into Vinny Magalhaes, Dec 20081516 going into Carmelo Marrero, Apr 20091531 going into Eric Schafer, Oct 20091546 going into Keith Jardine, Feb 20101561 going into Rogerio Nogueira, Sep 20101575 going into Jon Jones, Feb 20111559 going into Tito Ortiz, Jul 20111544 going into Jason Brilz, Nov 20111558 going into Quinton Jackson, Feb 20121574 going into Lyoto Machida, Aug 20121559 going into Vladimir Matyushenko, Jan 20131574 going into Glover Teixeira, Sep 20131558 going into Anthony Perosh, Dec 20131572 going into Rafael Cavalcante, Jun 20141584 going into Ovince Saint Preux, Aug 20141599 going into Phil Davis, Jan 20151615 going into Rashad Evans, Oct 20151633 going into Anthony Johnson, Jan 20161615 going into Ilir Latifi, Sep 20161628 going into Rogerio Nogueira, Nov 20161640 after their last fight1640
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

2.82Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
43%Striking Accuracy
1.39Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
72%Striking Defense
0.51Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
3.37Takedowns per 15 Minutes
44%Takedown Accuracy
81%Takedown Defense
0.44Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
37%Share of Fight Time in Control
10.2 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins519
Losses320

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Rogerio NogueiraKO/TKO · R3 3:51Nov 19, 2016UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Ryan BaderRogerio Nogueira
1691Fighter Elo Going In1465
1628Classic Elo Going In1529
86 of 116Significant Strikes3 of 12
129 of 164Total Strikes12 of 23
5 of 5Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
11:18Control Time0:00
Winvs. Ilir LatifiKO/TKO · R2 2:06Sep 3, 2016UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderIlir Latifi
1682Fighter Elo Going In1495
1615Classic Elo Going In1547
13 of 34Significant Strikes9 of 30
15 of 36Total Strikes11 of 32
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 5
1Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time0:26
Lossvs. Anthony JohnsonKO/TKO · R1 1:26Jan 30, 2016UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Ryan BaderAnthony Johnson
1741Fighter Elo Going In1656
1633Classic Elo Going In1595
0 of 0Significant Strikes11 of 13
0 of 0Total Strikes13 of 15
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time1:13
Winvs. Rashad EvansUnanimous DecisionOct 3, 2015UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderRashad Evans
1715Fighter Elo Going In1639
1615Classic Elo Going In1649
52 of 133Significant Strikes25 of 111
55 of 136Total Strikes27 of 113
1 of 6Takedowns0 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:03Control Time0:56
Winvs. Phil DavisSplit DecisionJan 24, 2015UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderPhil Davis
1704Fighter Elo Going In1753
1599Classic Elo Going In1601
26 of 117Significant Strikes35 of 129
29 of 120Total Strikes51 of 145
1 of 3Takedowns0 of 9
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:45Control Time1:28
Winvs. Ovince Saint PreuxUnanimous DecisionAug 16, 2014UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Ryan BaderOvince Saint Preux
1695Fighter Elo Going In1603
1584Classic Elo Going In1561
24 of 72Significant Strikes24 of 91
77 of 137Total Strikes30 of 97
9 of 21Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
10:07Control Time1:45
Winvs. Rafael CavalcanteUnanimous DecisionJun 14, 2014UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderRafael Cavalcante
1678Fighter Elo Going In1425
1572Classic Elo Going In1502
53 of 94Significant Strikes10 of 37
107 of 154Total Strikes20 of 47
7 of 16Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
8:22Control Time0:30
Winvs. Anthony PeroshUnanimous DecisionDec 6, 2013UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderAnthony Perosh
1647Fighter Elo Going In1429
1558Classic Elo Going In1505
70 of 100Significant Strikes9 of 37
156 of 188Total Strikes11 of 39
3 of 3Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
12:16Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO · R1 2:55Sep 4, 2013UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Ryan BaderGlover Teixeira
1670Fighter Elo Going In1728
1574Classic Elo Going In1566
11 of 27Significant Strikes14 of 24
16 of 32Total Strikes20 of 30
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
0:38Control Time0:51
Winvs. Vladimir MatyushenkoSubmission · R1 0:50Jan 26, 2013UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderVladimir Matyushenko
1639Fighter Elo Going In1421
1559Classic Elo Going In1547
3 of 6Significant Strikes0 of 4
3 of 6Total Strikes1 of 5
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:06Control Time0:14
Lossvs. Lyoto MachidaKO/TKO · R2 1:32Aug 4, 2012UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderLyoto Machida
1694Fighter Elo Going In1686
1574Classic Elo Going In1587
7 of 32Significant Strikes21 of 31
7 of 32Total Strikes21 of 31
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:03
Winvs. Quinton JacksonUnanimous DecisionFeb 25, 2012UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderQuinton Jackson
1652Fighter Elo Going In1605
1558Classic Elo Going In1574
55 of 101Significant Strikes16 of 39
109 of 158Total Strikes30 of 53
4 of 9Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
8:49Control Time0:21
Winvs. Jason BrilzKO/TKO · R1 1:17Nov 19, 2011UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderJason Brilz
1631Fighter Elo Going In1461
1544Classic Elo Going In1500
6 of 14Significant Strikes1 of 13
6 of 14Total Strikes1 of 13
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:01Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Tito OrtizSubmission · R1 1:56Jul 2, 2011UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderTito Ortiz
1654Fighter Elo Going In1600
1559Classic Elo Going In1571
4 of 21Significant Strikes6 of 16
4 of 21Total Strikes7 of 17
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts1
0:09Control Time0:06
Lossvs. Jon JonesSubmission · R2 4:20Feb 5, 2011UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderJon Jones
1724Fighter Elo Going In1835
1575Classic Elo Going In1566
5 of 24Significant Strikes20 of 42
8 of 27Total Strikes31 of 54
0 of 2Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts3
0:00Control Time4:23
Winvs. Rogerio NogueiraUnanimous DecisionSep 25, 2010UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderRogerio Nogueira
1703Fighter Elo Going In1512
1561Classic Elo Going In1534
42 of 127Significant Strikes28 of 127
66 of 161Total Strikes39 of 138
5 of 16Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:42Control Time0:06
Winvs. Keith JardineKO/TKO · R3 2:10Feb 20, 2010UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderKeith Jardine
1651Fighter Elo Going In1470
1546Classic Elo Going In1516
29 of 62Significant Strikes15 of 74
55 of 89Total Strikes18 of 77
3 of 9Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
4:36Control Time0:00
Winvs. Eric SchaferUnanimous DecisionOct 24, 2009UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderEric Schafer
1696Fighter Elo Going In1537
1531Classic Elo Going In1517
52 of 166Significant Strikes25 of 116
74 of 192Total Strikes45 of 136
3 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
2Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
4:24Control Time0:01
Winvs. Carmelo MarreroUnanimous DecisionApr 1, 2009UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann

Light Heavyweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderCarmelo Marrero
1598Fighter Elo Going In1427
1516Classic Elo Going In1487
24 of 56Significant Strikes9 of 43
87 of 122Total Strikes20 of 55
5 of 7Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
10:04Control Time1:01
Winvs. Vinny MagalhaesKO/TKO · R1 2:18Dec 13, 2008The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale

Ultimate Fighter 8 Light Heavyweight Tournament Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Ryan BaderVinny Magalhaes
1516Fighter Elo Going In1484
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
15 of 30Significant Strikes4 of 20
15 of 30Total Strikes4 of 20
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:04Control Time0:00