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Women's Strawweight · Active

Mackenzie Dern

UFC Record
12-5
Age
33
Height
5'4"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1504Today
1524Best, Oct 2019
1601Classic Elo
#28 Women: Pound for Pound#11 Women's Strawweight
140014501500155020192021202320251473 going into Ashley Yoder, Mar 20181492 going into Amanda Cooper, May 20181524 going into Amanda Ribas, Oct 20191420 going into Hannah Cifers, May 20201439 going into Randa Markos, Sep 20201493 going into Virna Jandiroba, Dec 20201483 going into Nina Nunes, Apr 20211517 going into Marina Rodriguez, Oct 20211451 going into Tecia Pennington, Apr 20221488 going into Yan Xiaonan, Oct 20221500 going into Angela Hill, May 20231511 going into Jessica Andrade, Nov 20231480 going into Amanda Lemos, Feb 20241437 going into Loopy Godinez, Aug 20241448 going into Amanda Ribas, Jan 20251462 going into Virna Jandiroba, Oct 20251469 going into Gillian Robertson, Aug 20261504 today1504
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight, and today.
Classic Elo
1601Today
1504Fighter Elo
#6 Women: Pound for Pound#2 Women's Strawweight

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015501600165020192021202320251500 going into Ashley Yoder, Mar 20181515 going into Amanda Cooper, May 20181530 going into Amanda Ribas, Oct 20191513 going into Hannah Cifers, May 20201528 going into Randa Markos, Sep 20201543 going into Virna Jandiroba, Dec 20201558 going into Nina Nunes, Apr 20211572 going into Marina Rodriguez, Oct 20211555 going into Tecia Pennington, Apr 20221571 going into Yan Xiaonan, Oct 20221554 going into Angela Hill, May 20231567 going into Jessica Andrade, Nov 20231551 going into Amanda Lemos, Feb 20241536 going into Loopy Godinez, Aug 20241552 going into Amanda Ribas, Jan 20251568 going into Virna Jandiroba, Oct 20251585 going into Gillian Robertson, Aug 20261601 today1601
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

3.38Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
41%Striking Accuracy
3.74Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
53%Striking Defense
0.12Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
1.07Takedowns per 15 Minutes
22%Takedown Accuracy
41%Takedown Defense
1.01Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
30%Share of Fight Time in Control
14.8 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins057
Losses104

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Gillian RobertsonUnanimous DecisionAug 15, 2026UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry

UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Mackenzie DernGillian Robertson
1469Fighter Elo Going In1528
1585Classic Elo Going In1602
65 of 168Significant Strikes49 of 131
122 of 239Total Strikes136 of 237
4 of 6Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
10:48Control Time6:47
Winvs. Virna JandirobaUnanimous DecisionOct 25, 2025UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane

UFC Women's Strawweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Mackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
1462Fighter Elo Going In1558
1568Classic Elo Going In1588
118 of 231Significant Strikes106 of 217
249 of 372Total Strikes208 of 331
2 of 8Takedowns9 of 17
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
3:45Control Time9:07
Winvs. Amanda RibasSubmission · R3 4:56Jan 11, 2025UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Mackenzie DernAmanda Ribas
1448Fighter Elo Going In1529
1552Classic Elo Going In1545
27 of 46Significant Strikes17 of 56
82 of 107Total Strikes99 of 151
1 of 3Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
4:34Control Time5:47
Winvs. Loopy GodinezUnanimous DecisionAug 3, 2024UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mackenzie DernLoopy Godinez
1437Fighter Elo Going In1578
1536Classic Elo Going In1545
72 of 203Significant Strikes67 of 146
103 of 235Total Strikes72 of 152
2 of 5Takedowns2 of 3
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
2:45Control Time1:41
Lossvs. Amanda LemosUnanimous DecisionFeb 17, 2024UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mackenzie DernAmanda Lemos
1480Fighter Elo Going In1349
1551Classic Elo Going In1564
21 of 54Significant Strikes41 of 80
50 of 85Total Strikes47 of 86
1 of 3Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns1
0Submission Attempts0
6:00Control Time4:02
Lossvs. Jessica AndradeKO/TKO · R2 3:15Nov 11, 2023UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mackenzie DernJessica Andrade
1511Fighter Elo Going In1551
1567Classic Elo Going In1564
49 of 114Significant Strikes53 of 107
50 of 115Total Strikes53 of 107
0 of 4Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns4
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:13
Winvs. Angela HillUnanimous DecisionMay 20, 2023UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Mackenzie DernAngela Hill
1500Fighter Elo Going In1430
1554Classic Elo Going In1494
126 of 210Significant Strikes66 of 108
247 of 340Total Strikes94 of 142
3 of 9Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
13:12Control Time7:11
Lossvs. Yan XiaonanMajority DecisionOct 1, 2022UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Mackenzie DernYan Xiaonan
1488Fighter Elo Going In1421
1571Classic Elo Going In1552
61 of 151Significant Strikes113 of 195
224 of 339Total Strikes151 of 240
2 of 11Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
9:19Control Time4:11
Winvs. Tecia PenningtonSplit DecisionApr 9, 2022UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mackenzie DernTecia Pennington
1451Fighter Elo Going In1505
1555Classic Elo Going In1554
50 of 156Significant Strikes76 of 124
58 of 164Total Strikes78 of 126
0 of 5Takedowns0 of 2
0Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts0
2:24Control Time2:54
Lossvs. Marina RodriguezUnanimous DecisionOct 9, 2021UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Mackenzie DernMarina Rodriguez
1517Fighter Elo Going In1450
1572Classic Elo Going In1551
49 of 174Significant Strikes144 of 279
80 of 209Total Strikes148 of 284
1 of 8Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
7:21Control Time0:10
Winvs. Nina NunesSubmission · R1 4:48Apr 10, 2021UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mackenzie DernNina Nunes
1483Fighter Elo Going In1370
1558Classic Elo Going In1519
12 of 22Significant Strikes4 of 7
31 of 44Total Strikes5 of 8
1 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
4:00Control Time0:00
Winvs. Virna JandirobaUnanimous DecisionDec 12, 2020UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mackenzie DernVirna Jandiroba
1493Fighter Elo Going In1529
1543Classic Elo Going In1518
82 of 174Significant Strikes63 of 134
101 of 195Total Strikes80 of 152
0 of 5Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:34Control Time2:44
Winvs. Randa MarkosSubmission · R1 3:44Sep 19, 2020UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mackenzie DernRanda Markos
1439Fighter Elo Going In1378
1528Classic Elo Going In1489
9 of 13Significant Strikes3 of 5
11 of 17Total Strikes7 of 10
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
5Submission Attempts0
1:45Control Time1:36
Winvs. Hannah CifersSubmission · R1 2:36May 30, 2020UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mackenzie DernHannah Cifers
1420Fighter Elo Going In1272
1513Classic Elo Going In1497
5 of 21Significant Strikes7 of 26
5 of 21Total Strikes11 of 31
0 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:24
Lossvs. Amanda RibasUnanimous DecisionOct 12, 2019UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mackenzie DernAmanda Ribas
1524Fighter Elo Going In1499
1530Classic Elo Going In1517
20 of 145Significant Strikes74 of 206
50 of 175Total Strikes84 of 216
0 of 6Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:02Control Time1:47
Winvs. Amanda CooperSubmission · R1 2:27May 12, 2018UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mackenzie DernAmanda Cooper
1492Fighter Elo Going In1404
1515Classic Elo Going In1499
15 of 32Significant Strikes6 of 25
16 of 33Total Strikes6 of 25
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:09Control Time0:00
Winvs. Ashley YoderSplit DecisionMar 3, 2018UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya

Women's Strawweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Mackenzie DernAshley Yoder
1473Fighter Elo Going In1416
1500Classic Elo Going In1468
70 of 143Significant Strikes52 of 142
76 of 149Total Strikes73 of 165
1 of 6Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
5:51Control Time0:43