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Welterweight · Last Fought Sep 2022

Nate Diaz

UFC Record
16-11
Age
41
Height
6'0"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw

Fighter Elo

The rating the forecasts are built on. It projects fighters.

Fighter Elo
1404Going Into Their Last Fight, Sep 2022
1774Best, May 2012
1578Classic Elo

No fight in the last two years, so there is no rating for today.

130014001500160017001800200820112014201720201515 going into Manvel Gamburyan, Jun 20071540 going into Junior Assuncao, Sep 20071650 going into Alvin Robinson, Jan 20081626 going into Kurt Pellegrino, Apr 20081608 going into Josh Neer, Sep 20081626 going into Clay Guida, Jan 20091611 going into Joe Stevenson, Jun 20091586 going into Melvin Guillard, Sep 20091634 going into Gray Maynard, Jan 20101673 going into Rory Markham, Mar 20101688 going into Marcus Davis, Aug 20101719 going into Dong Hyun Kim, Jan 20111715 going into Rory MacDonald, Apr 20111676 going into Takanori Gomi, Sep 20111720 going into Donald Cerrone, Dec 20111774 going into Jim Miller, May 20121769 going into Benson Henderson, Dec 20121668 going into Josh Thomson, Apr 20131629 going into Gray Maynard, Nov 20131598 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Dec 20141499 going into Michael Johnson, Dec 20151570 going into Conor McGregor, Mar 20161607 going into Conor McGregor, Aug 20161498 going into Anthony Pettis, Aug 20191515 going into Jorge Masvidal, Nov 20191389 going into Leon Edwards, Jun 20211404 going into Tony Ferguson, Sep 20221404
Fighter Elo going into each UFC fight.
Classic Elo
1578After Their Last Fight, Sep 2022
1589Best, Aug 2016
1404Fighter Elo

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses, so it reads more like normal rankings.

150015501600200820112014201720201500 going into Manvel Gamburyan, Jun 20071516 going into Junior Assuncao, Sep 20071531 going into Alvin Robinson, Jan 20081546 going into Kurt Pellegrino, Apr 20081561 going into Josh Neer, Sep 20081574 going into Clay Guida, Jan 20091556 going into Joe Stevenson, Jun 20091539 going into Melvin Guillard, Sep 20091554 going into Gray Maynard, Jan 20101540 going into Rory Markham, Mar 20101554 going into Marcus Davis, Aug 20101571 going into Dong Hyun Kim, Jan 20111554 going into Rory MacDonald, Apr 20111536 going into Takanori Gomi, Sep 20111550 going into Donald Cerrone, Dec 20111566 going into Jim Miller, May 20121585 going into Benson Henderson, Dec 20121569 going into Josh Thomson, Apr 20131551 going into Gray Maynard, Nov 20131569 going into Rafael Dos Anjos, Dec 20141555 going into Michael Johnson, Dec 20151571 going into Conor McGregor, Mar 20161589 going into Conor McGregor, Aug 20161573 going into Anthony Pettis, Aug 20191589 going into Jorge Masvidal, Nov 20191573 going into Leon Edwards, Jun 20211559 going into Tony Ferguson, Sep 20221578 after their last fight1578
Classic Elo going into each UFC fight, and after the last one.

How Fighter Elo Works

Fighter Elo is the model's rating for a fighter, on the same scale chess uses. An average UFC fighter sits around 1500. The gap between two fighters sets the forecast: 100 points ahead is about a 64% chance to win, 200 points about 76%, and 400 points about 91%.

Classic Elo only moves on wins and losses. Fighter Elo also counts how the fights went (striking and grappling numbers), age and build, and how active a fighter has been. It is worked out fresh before every fight, so it can move between fights too, for example with age or a long layoff.

Classic Elo, shown next to it, is the results-only version. It reads more like normal rankings, and the Rankings page can be switched to it.

Career Numbers

Across every UFC fight with recorded stats.

4.58Sig. Strikes Landed per Minute
45%Striking Accuracy
4.00Sig. Strikes Absorbed per Minute
53%Striking Defense
0.18Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
0.80Takedowns per 15 Minutes
26%Takedown Accuracy
44%Takedown Defense
1.16Submission Attempts per 15 Minutes
14%Share of Fight Time in Control
12.5 minAverage Fight Length
Ended ByKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Wins2104
Losses209

Fight History

Every UFC fight, newest first. Tap a fight to see what both fighters put up.

Winvs. Tony FergusonSubmission · R4 2:52Sep 10, 2022UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Nate DiazTony Ferguson
1404Fighter Elo Going In1418
1559Classic Elo Going In1619
101 of 217Significant Strikes80 of 172
101 of 217Total Strikes80 of 172
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:08
Lossvs. Leon EdwardsUnanimous DecisionJun 12, 2021UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Nate DiazLeon Edwards
1389Fighter Elo Going In1617
1573Classic Elo Going In1630
76 of 162Significant Strikes77 of 132
130 of 223Total Strikes83 of 139
0 of 0Takedowns4 of 5
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:53Control Time4:59
Lossvs. Jorge MasvidalTKO (Doctor's Stoppage) · R3 5:00Nov 2, 2019UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Nate DiazJorge Masvidal
1515Fighter Elo Going In1614
1589Classic Elo Going In1586
43 of 104Significant Strikes112 of 179
125 of 194Total Strikes114 of 184
0 of 2Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns2
0Submission Attempts0
0:44Control Time6:56
Winvs. Anthony PettisUnanimous DecisionAug 17, 2019UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazAnthony Pettis
1498Fighter Elo Going In1549
1573Classic Elo Going In1565
114 of 201Significant Strikes69 of 133
205 of 306Total Strikes86 of 153
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
5:59Control Time1:49
Lossvs. Conor McGregorMajority DecisionAug 20, 2016UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Nate DiazConor McGregor
1607Fighter Elo Going In1679
1589Classic Elo Going In1599
166 of 343Significant Strikes164 of 286
252 of 435Total Strikes197 of 322
1 of 7Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns3
0Submission Attempts0
5:50Control Time1:31
Winvs. Conor McGregorSubmission · R2 4:12Mar 5, 2016UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Nate DiazConor McGregor
1570Fighter Elo Going In1777
1571Classic Elo Going In1617
77 of 152Significant Strikes61 of 140
89 of 169Total Strikes66 of 145
1 of 1Takedowns0 of 1
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
1:12Control Time0:39
Winvs. Michael JohnsonUnanimous DecisionDec 19, 2015UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazMichael Johnson
1499Fighter Elo Going In1572
1555Classic Elo Going In1558
153 of 300Significant Strikes103 of 301
157 of 304Total Strikes104 of 303
0 of 0Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:19
Lossvs. Rafael Dos AnjosUnanimous DecisionDec 13, 2014UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazRafael Dos Anjos
1598Fighter Elo Going In1670
1569Classic Elo Going In1604
13 of 104Significant Strikes77 of 119
51 of 145Total Strikes129 of 175
0 of 0Takedowns2 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time7:47
Winvs. Gray MaynardKO/TKO · R1 2:38Nov 30, 2013The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazGray Maynard
1629Fighter Elo Going In1602
1551Classic Elo Going In1602
33 of 55Significant Strikes5 of 15
34 of 56Total Strikes6 of 16
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 2
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:06Control Time0:48
Lossvs. Josh ThomsonKO/TKO · R2 3:44Apr 20, 2013UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazJosh Thomson
1668Fighter Elo Going In1343
1569Classic Elo Going In1517
21 of 74Significant Strikes36 of 71
40 of 94Total Strikes44 of 79
1 of 1Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
0:55Control Time1:22
Lossvs. Benson HendersonUnanimous DecisionDec 8, 2012UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz

UFC Lightweight Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Nate DiazBenson Henderson
1769Fighter Elo Going In1753
1585Classic Elo Going In1593
30 of 83Significant Strikes124 of 198
95 of 160Total Strikes183 of 259
0 of 6Takedowns8 of 12
0Knockdowns1
2Submission Attempts0
0:44Control Time16:58
Winvs. Jim MillerSubmission · R2 4:09May 5, 2012UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 5 rounds

Nate DiazJim Miller
1774Fighter Elo Going In1656
1566Classic Elo Going In1612
46 of 98Significant Strikes25 of 71
97 of 154Total Strikes27 of 73
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 5
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts0
2:37Control Time1:15
Winvs. Donald CerroneUnanimous DecisionDec 30, 2011UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazDonald Cerrone
1720Fighter Elo Going In1661
1550Classic Elo Going In1565
238 of 362Significant Strikes96 of 182
260 of 391Total Strikes104 of 193
0 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:04Control Time0:05
Winvs. Takanori GomiSubmission · R1 4:27Sep 24, 2011UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazTakanori Gomi
1676Fighter Elo Going In1498
1536Classic Elo Going In1493
36 of 73Significant Strikes4 of 23
42 of 81Total Strikes6 of 25
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 1
1Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts0
0:23Control Time0:36
Lossvs. Rory MacDonaldUnanimous DecisionApr 30, 2011UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazRory MacDonald
1715Fighter Elo Going In1612
1554Classic Elo Going In1499
26 of 62Significant Strikes42 of 99
72 of 112Total Strikes60 of 121
0 of 7Takedowns7 of 10
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
2:29Control Time5:13
Lossvs. Dong Hyun KimUnanimous DecisionJan 1, 2011UFC 125: Resolution

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazDong Hyun Kim
1719Fighter Elo Going In1707
1571Classic Elo Going In1562
36 of 85Significant Strikes19 of 46
81 of 138Total Strikes34 of 66
1 of 1Takedowns3 of 7
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:57Control Time8:19
Winvs. Marcus DavisSubmission · R3 4:02Aug 28, 2010UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazMarcus Davis
1688Fighter Elo Going In1536
1554Classic Elo Going In1565
94 of 328Significant Strikes52 of 203
122 of 358Total Strikes61 of 213
1 of 5Takedowns1 of 1
0Knockdowns1
1Submission Attempts0
2:24Control Time0:12
Winvs. Rory MarkhamKO/TKO · R1 2:47Mar 27, 2010UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy

Welterweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazRory Markham
1673Fighter Elo Going In1398
1540Classic Elo Going In1500
34 of 60Significant Strikes3 of 22
54 of 84Total Strikes3 of 22
0 of 0Takedowns0 of 0
1Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
1:15Control Time0:00
Lossvs. Gray MaynardSplit DecisionJan 11, 2010UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazGray Maynard
1634Fighter Elo Going In1692
1554Classic Elo Going In1594
70 of 251Significant Strikes41 of 142
77 of 259Total Strikes53 of 154
0 of 3Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts0
0:00Control Time0:11
Winvs. Melvin GuillardSubmission · R2 2:13Sep 16, 2009UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Guillard

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazMelvin Guillard
1586Fighter Elo Going In1582
1539Classic Elo Going In1529
21 of 73Significant Strikes11 of 42
27 of 79Total Strikes12 of 43
2 of 2Takedowns3 of 3
0Knockdowns1
2Submission Attempts0
1:23Control Time0:43
Lossvs. Joe StevensonUnanimous DecisionJun 20, 2009The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazJoe Stevenson
1611Fighter Elo Going In1569
1556Classic Elo Going In1533
6 of 29Significant Strikes27 of 47
58 of 86Total Strikes49 of 71
1 of 2Takedowns8 of 14
0Knockdowns0
4Submission Attempts1
2:14Control Time10:33
Lossvs. Clay GuidaSplit DecisionJan 31, 2009UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazClay Guida
1626Fighter Elo Going In1654
1574Classic Elo Going In1522
49 of 135Significant Strikes49 of 99
70 of 158Total Strikes75 of 127
0 of 8Takedowns4 of 11
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts1
0:51Control Time8:47
Winvs. Josh NeerSplit DecisionSep 17, 2008UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazJosh Neer
1608Fighter Elo Going In1554
1561Classic Elo Going In1503
40 of 72Significant Strikes26 of 50
114 of 157Total Strikes48 of 74
5 of 11Takedowns4 of 8
0Knockdowns0
0Submission Attempts4
7:26Control Time5:35
Winvs. Kurt PellegrinoSubmission · R2 3:06Apr 2, 2008UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazKurt Pellegrino
1626Fighter Elo Going In1503
1546Classic Elo Going In1518
6 of 17Significant Strikes20 of 34
28 of 41Total Strikes35 of 50
1 of 1Takedowns3 of 3
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts0
1:22Control Time5:43
Winvs. Alvin RobinsonSubmission · R1 3:39Jan 23, 2008UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazAlvin Robinson
1650Fighter Elo Going In1558
1531Classic Elo Going In1503
3 of 8Significant Strikes2 of 5
25 of 30Total Strikes5 of 8
2 of 2Takedowns0 of 0
0Knockdowns0
2Submission Attempts2
2:31Control Time0:56
Winvs. Junior AssuncaoSubmission · R1 4:10Sep 19, 2007UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian

Lightweight Bout · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazJunior Assuncao
1540Fighter Elo Going In1504
1516Classic Elo Going In1499
10 of 11Significant Strikes7 of 14
25 of 28Total Strikes9 of 16
1 of 3Takedowns1 of 2
1Knockdowns0
3Submission Attempts0
1:34Control Time2:00
Winvs. Manvel GamburyanSubmission · R2 0:20Jun 23, 2007The Ultimate Fighter: Team Pulver vs. Team Penn Finale

Ultimate Fighter 5 Lightweight Tournament Title Bout · Title Fight · Scheduled for 3 rounds

Nate DiazManvel Gamburyan
1515Fighter Elo Going In1480
1500Classic Elo Going In1500
2 of 5Significant Strikes16 of 34
56 of 60Total Strikes28 of 46
0 of 1Takedowns1 of 4
0Knockdowns0
1Submission Attempts1
0:25Control Time4:17